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Posted
  1. Pete Crow-Armstrong
  2. Cade Horton
  3. Kevin Alcantara
  4. Matt Shaw
  5. Ben Brown
  6. Jordan Wicks
  7. Owen Caissie
  8. Miguel Amaya
    Amaya over Mervis based on (limited) MLB production and positional value.
  9. Matt Mervis
  10. James Triantos
  11. Richard Gallardo
  12. Moises Ballesteros
  13. Jackson Ferris
  14. Cristian Hernandez
  15. Jefferson Rojas
    Contemplated flipping him and Hernandez, but went with pedigree over production.
  16. Brennan Davis
    Still has the tools if he can ever be healthy, but lack of health knocks him way down.
  17. Kevin Made
  18. Alexander Canario
  19. Daniel Palencia
  20. Luis Vazquez
    I buy the improvements with the bat. Defensive ability practically guarantees him a shot in the majors, and if he can hit at all he will stick around for a while.
Posted
  1. Pete Crow-Armstrong
  2. Cade Horton
  3. Matt Shaw
  4. Jordan Wicks
  5. Miguel Amaya
  6. Ben Brown
  7. Kevin Alcantara
  8. Owen Caissie
  9. Jackson Ferris
  10. Matt Mervis
  11. Moises Ballesteros
  12. Kevin Made
  13. James Triantos
  14. Alexander Canario
  15. Josh Rivera
  16. Cristian Hernandez
  17. Daniel Palencia
  18. Brennan Davis
  19. Richard Gallardo
  20. Jefferson Rojas

Roughly what I expected post-draft. As I mentioned elsewhere, I'm more bullish on pitching than hitting, but, I really like PCA, and Shaw is growing on me.

All I ask for the second half is for the pitching to stay healthy and for the hitters to rebound.

Posted (edited)

Law has Alcantara at 14 overall, ahead of PCA who is at 18. Horton at 53. Shaw at 55.

Edited by CubinNY
Posted
19 hours ago, TomtheBombadil said:

Are these all the lists? I submitted one with lots of comments…Ah well, I’ll do a post-TDL one

Any shot we can get comments posted? Would that eliminate valued clicks (real and not passive aggressive question)? 

No, comments were supposed to post in this thread. Thanks for pointing that out. Given that this is an all-new system, there's a good chance we just screwed up the code somewhere.

Posted

I always love me a good prospect roundtable, so what the heck, here are my justifications:

Pete Crow-Armstrong
Cade Horton

Pretty obvious 1-2 for me here.  PCA's giving me Javier Baez vibes in a good way and also in a not so great way due to his plate discipline.  Regardless, a guy like that can be a huge boon during his cost-controlled years.  Horton gets the nod as the top pitcher due to his meteoric rise through the system and balanced profile with stuff, command, and control as a SP, although he gets held back from the #1 spot due to the usual TINSTAAPP concerns.

Matt Shaw
Jordan Wicks
Miguel Amaya
Ben Brown

This next cluster tends to shuffle for me on a day to day basis.  I was initially bummed with Shaw on draft day, but when I was reminded that he probably would have been a Top 5 pick in a normal year and his bat would play anywhere on the diamond, I got over it.  Wicks gets the nod over Brown because LHPs are more likely to stick in the majors and I really like how Wicks has a different arsenal compared to the rest of the system.  Amaya seems like a good bet to get a second contract in the majors, but I get the feeling he's more of a competent C/DH type than an impact player.  To me, Brown has the second highest ceiling as a pitcher in the system (more on that below), but I have a nagging suspicion his control might merit a move to the bullpen, hence his placement below Wicks and Horton.

Kevin Alcantara
Owen Caissie

Two hitters with fantastic corner OF potential, but definite concerns about their development as they face more advanced pitching hold them back.  I'd feel more comfortable about their profiles if this were a different system, so I get the feeling they'd be more valuable as trade bait this coming offseason than keeping them in-system.

Jackson Ferris
Matt Mervis
Moises Ballesteros
Kevin Made
James Triantos

I think Ferris is the highest ceiling pitching prospect in the system.  I could easily see him as my #1 prospect by the end of next season, so long as he stays healthy and on track.  Mervis, Ballesteros, Made, and Triantos constitute my "there's good and not so good" blob of position prospects who have the attributes to be everyday types in the majors, but who also have noticeable issues that could see them flame out.

Alexander Canario

Canario is a complete wild card to me.  If he's healthy, his profile is beastly.  But the injury and the uncertainty around whether he can recover 100% keeps him out of my Top 10.

Josh Rivera
Cristian Hernandez
Daniel Palencia
Brennan Davis
Richard Gallardo
Jefferson Rojas

Not gonna lie, this is where I start throwing darts at random names.  Rivera is an intriguing senior sign who needs to hit the ground running next season to see how much there is there.  If I were doing this list today, I probably would have dropped Hernandez off, but he's here due to age and legacy status.  Palencia has the stuff to be a really good pen arm, and now has to prove it in the majors.  Davis' injury issues see him continue to slip, but the potential is still there.  Gallardo just needs to keep progressing and stay healthy, but he's shaping up to be a possible workhorse type SP.  Rojas got to 20 by the magic of being the flavor of the month, and by being really young and productive for his level.

HMs: Jaxon Wiggins (needs to sign and Luke Hagerty scared me off TJS guys having a routine recovery); Luis Vazquez (probably would have been #20 if I made the list today); Will Sanders (seems like the type who will benefit from the Pitch Lab); the third tier P prospects who haven't blown up (Hodge/Birdsell/Herz/Little/Franklin/Arias); BJ Murray (overshadowed by Mervis, but might be the better player when all is said and done); Pablo Aliendo (catchers tend to develop slower, but he's coming on).

Admittedly, the most depressing part of this exercise has been the fact that Caissie is the only positive contributor currently in the system from the Darvish deal.  Blech.

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