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Thanks to all of you who voted, we had a great turnout this round. We'll be taking this information and applying it to the prospect list in the coming days, keep an eye out for it!

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North Side Contributor
Posted

McGeary is an interesting guy right now. I think you can make a case on him being in the bottom quarter of a top-20 based on his 2022-2023. He's had a pretty rough 2024. I guess it just depends on if you buy McGeary as broken right now or something under the hood is happening. His swing just feels messed up. 

I didn't have a chance to really think through a top-20 with how busy life has been, and I think he'd have been in the 18-25 range or so in my head. So I think maybe I'd have slipped him in, but probably more likely he wouldn't have made it.

North Side Contributor
Posted

I don't live and die as much as you do on MiLB batted ball data such as GB/FB%. I would agree, he could use a bit of a LA adjustment, but it's not enough for me to just ignore the rest of the package, and probably not others, too. Yes, he's 1b/DH type, and that's going to limit the path to the Major Leagues (and where you'd list him on a top-20!). But he's also posted the right kind of BB:K you'd look for, and the ISO's have been in the ballpark of what you'd want (though I think .180 is right on the low end of that from Double-A standards). So I think there's a few sides to the dice.

Like I said, 2024 has been a rough go for McGeary on the overall season line. When you couple that with the worsening batted ball data, there's something clearly wrong today (even with a recent go that seems better - more on that later). What that is...not super sure as I can't say I've spent what little time I've had the last month on a ton of McGeary PA's. And as stated, I'd probably have left him off a top-20, but I can see an argument for why you'd keep him in the top-20, as well. I'm pretty patient about moving guys up and down, and if you were someone who looked past the GB% as something of a polish, there was enough there that throwing him in the 17-20 range is defensible even with a tough start to 2024.

If there's a positive, he's been better over his last month, posting a 126 wRC+ (though with much worse K numbers than the past and much worse HR numbers). McGeary's first 40 PA's where he had a -27 wRC+ are doing some heavy lifting right now still. It seems like the nosedive is past him, but now the real work comes in, so I think if you thought he was, say, the 18th best prospect in the system, holding serve is probably fine. 

Would I have him 18th or whatever? Probably not, so please, don't think I'm Captain McGeary over here. I'm just saying, I, personally, can buy that argument enough that it's something within reason. If you can't, that's why you have your own list. There's little to no consensus when it comes to such subjectivity. 

Posted

As mentioned elsewhere, putting together this list from 11-20 was entertaining.  The Cubs have a really fun mix of guys right now who fit whatever your prospect needs may fancy, whether it's low ceiling/low floor types like Bateman and Vazquez, lottery tickets like Cruz and Valdez, fallen stars who could rebound (?) like Davis and Hernandez, and weirdass profile guys who could break the mold like Ramirez and Aliendo, and that's just hitters!

If we omit PCA and Canario due to graduations and did this today, I'd probably nudge Davis and Murray onto my list, drop Sanders in favor of Birdsell, and tinker with spots 8-20.

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North Side Contributor
Posted
1 minute ago, Outshined_One said:

As mentioned elsewhere, putting together this list from 11-20 was entertaining.  The Cubs have a really fun mix of guys right now who fit whatever your prospect needs may fancy, whether it's low ceiling/low floor types like Bateman and Vazquez, lottery tickets like Cruz and Valdez, fallen stars who could rebound (?) like Davis and Hernandez, and weirdass profile guys who could break the mold like Ramirez and Aliendo, and that's just hitters!

If we omit PCA and Canario due to graduations and did this today, I'd probably nudge Davis and Murray onto my list, drop Sanders in favor of Birdsell, and tinker with spots 8-20.

Yeah the Cubs system is in a ton of flux right now. There's a clear...like 8 guys who are all really good and two or three of them are about to fall off due to graduation. The lower levels are pretty foggy right now, so there's probably like 20 guys you could list between 11-20 and all I could do is shrug and say "Might not be my 10, but it's defensible!"

Posted
15 minutes ago, 1908_Cubs said:

Yeah the Cubs system is in a ton of flux right now. There's a clear...like 8 guys who are all really good and two or three of them are about to fall off due to graduation. The lower levels are pretty foggy right now, so there's probably like 20 guys you could list between 11-20 and all I could do is shrug and say "Might not be my 10, but it's defensible!"

Pretty much, but I would add one addendum, though.  This isn't like the stretch from 2008 - 2012 when you could name off a handful of guys for the top spots, and then commence throwing darts in the hopes that you find a guy who maybe could get called up for a cup of coffee some day.

The Cubs actually feel like they have quality depth in the low minors this time, and it's a great feeling!  You can see the development paths and possible worlds in which guys like Cruz or Wiggins are vying for the #1 prospect in the system and a spot in MLB's Top 20 prospect lists by opening day 2026.

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North Side Contributor
Posted
Just now, Outshined_One said:

Pretty much, but I would add one addendum, though.  This isn't like the stretch from 2008 - 2012 when you could name off a handful of guys for the top spots, and then commence throwing darts in the hopes that you find a guy who [i]maybe[/i] could get called up for a cup of coffee some day.

The Cubs actually feel like they have quality depth in the low minors this time, and it's a great feeling!  You can see the development paths and possible worlds in which guys like Cruz or Wiggins are vying for the #1 prospect in the system and a spot in MLB's Top 20 prospect lists by opening day 2026.

Oh, fully. I didn't mean to seem like there were 20 guys where it was "horsefeathers it" territory. There are like 20 guys who have legitimate MLB upside in some fashion. I meant more in the terms of "right now, they're all so close in terms of warts, age, potential..." that this next group is homogenous enough that I could have a guy at 27, and you could have him at 12 and I think we'd both be justified in it. And regardless of him being 12th or 27th, I think we'd both agree that there was some level of MLB upside there. 

Posted

I'm pretty solid here

  1. Cade Horton
  2. Pete Crow-Armstrong
  3. Ben Brown
  4. Owen Caissie
  5. Moises Ballesteros
    only if he stays at C
  6. Matt Shaw
  7. Kevin Alcantara
  8. James Triantos
  9. Jefferson Rojas
  10. Luis Vazquez
  11. Alexander Canario

The rest are interchangeable and there are probably 15 guys for 9 spots that are all about the same but different. Like one slider is high, one is low and one is mid for whatever skill set they have. A lot of volatility and a lot of relying on others because I haven't seen them play or know the numbers well. 

 

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