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Posted

 

This 4 game stretch is pace of 395-565, 70%, 4465, 38 TDs, 13 INTs., 106.1 QB rating
As is, his pace is 368-564, 65.2%, 3731, 26 TD, 11 INT, 91.26 QB rating

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Posted (edited)

I can't wait for Caleb to shut up the 'Jayden Daniels is an offensive ROY lock' chatter in 2 weeks.

Favorite pass was the 1st throw to Keenan on 3rd and goal from the 9.  I am so used to the Bears being in that situation and saying "Damn, 3rd and goal from the 9, at least we got 3 points here as long as [insert name of failed Bears QB] doesn't throw a pick"  But no, we got a perfectly placed back shoulder dart to a WR right over the middle of the field.  Incredible, just incredible.

The last 3 opponents have 3 of the worst defenses in the NFL so it might now always be this perfect, but clearly we got the guy and I'm so excited to see where it goes.

Edited by UMFan83
Posted

So heading into the bye the Bears of course lost @Texans but went 4-1 in the winnable games.  Combined with what Caleb looks like and you'd have to be a real sicko to not take this start to the season if it had been offered up in August.

Posted
Just now, Bertz said:

So heading into the bye the Bears of course lost @Texans but went 4-1 in the winnable games.  Combined with what Caleb looks like and you'd have to be a real sicko to not take this start to the season if it had been offered up in August.

Very happy, but man that Indy game. If the Bears are 5-1 right now, they more than likely only need to go 4-7 the rest of the way to make the playoffs.

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Posted
2 hours ago, Tryptamine said:

Very happy, but man that Indy game. If the Bears are 5-1 right now, they more than likely only need to go 4-7 the rest of the way to make the playoffs.

9-8 doesn't get you in the playoffs. There will be least 4 other 4-win (or 1 loss, Detroit) teams....which doesn't include 2 division winners (West, South) guaranteed a spot, after this week. 4-7 finish would also likely mean 3-7 vs the NFC (Patriots lone AFC game remaining), and that probably only means 2 division wins at most.

Posted

Non Caleb thoughts:

I thought the pass protection had a really shaky day and got bailed out by playcalling and scramblng.

But the run blocking might be the best we've seen this season, especailly on the outside they were getting some serious push.

I think I saw Swift not getting taken down by the first guy at least once, which is notable because it almost never happens. And he made a couple of nice reads on zone runs that were missing earlier in the season from him.  I still think in a perfect world he's a 3rd/long specialist and not an every-down back, but he's doing a good enough job. Whatever, it's RB, who cares.  Roschon Johnson had that one really nice catch, I'll give him that, but I think he's extremely medicore even as an RB2.  You can hand him the football and let him run forward 3-4 yards without fumbling.

Cole Kmet should get his first pro bowl this season.

Tory Taylor outkicked his coverage twice.  I think most special teams coaches would rather see 45 and hanging with no chance of a return over 60 and returnable.  It wasn't a bad game by Taylor, but it was just fine.

The defense is so well-coached.  It feels like you can just plug guys in every week and they hold their spots reasonably well.  They make tackles, punch balls for fumbles and incompletions, and don't make big mistakes.  I wouldn't have minded seeing a smidge more pass rush early, but that's a thin complaint.



 

Posted
1 hour ago, NotKyle said:

I still think playoffs are less than 50/50.

I don't know.  3 NFC north teams might be wild cards plus the division winner.  Yes the North will eat each other alive but San Fran will probably only be from the west, Tampa from the South and Philly from the East. Washington and last place in the North will battle for the 7 seed

Posted

I really have no idea how to gauge playoff odds for the Bears this year. I still think one of DET-MIN-GB is in for some regression, though I’m not exactly sure who. 
 

But 4-2 and Caleb playing the way he is right now is not exactly the top of my expectations for the first six weeks, it is probably in the 90th percentile. Defense better than expected, offense a smidge worse.
 

Agreeing with Kyle re: the run blocking this week. They were getting significant push and Swift was able to gash them for chunks. If that keeps up this offense gets scary for people.  

Posted

If the Lions win this game...

Division records against teams not in their division:
8. AFC East 5-10
7. NFC West 5-10
6. AFC North 8-12
5. AFC South 6-9
4. NFC South 6-8
3. NFC East 10-8
2. AFC West 9-4
1. NFC North 16-4

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Posted (edited)
26 minutes ago, bukie said:

If the Lions win this game...

Division records against teams not in their division:
8. AFC East 5-10
7. NFC West 5-10
6. AFC North 8-12
5. AFC South 6-9
4. NFC South 6-8
3. NFC East 10-8
2. AFC West 9-4
1. NFC North 16-4

Live best point differentials in the entire NFL

Minnesota + 63
Detroit +50 (game in progress)
Chicago +47
Green Bay +41
Tampa Bay +37

Buffalo leads the AFC at +36

Edited by UMFan83
Posted

Oof. I saw a still frame.  His leg takes a 90-degree turn at a place that isn't his knee.

Season ending is definite. He'll be fortunate if it isn't life altering.

Posted
10 minutes ago, UMFan83 said:

Live best point differentials in the entire NFL

Minnesota + 63
Detroit +50 (game in progress)
Chicago +47
Green Bay +41
Tampa Bay +37

Buffalo leads the AFC at +36

Also

And that was before the Packers won by 21 and the Lions leading by 28

Posted

Im so fascinated to know what Steelers fans think of Justin Fields’s play. Right now the Steelers have the game totally in hand but he’s 13 of 22 for 114 yards. Which just isn’t NFL acceptable, generally.  Yet they keep winning, so 🤷‍♂️

Posted
4 minutes ago, BigSlick said:

Im so fascinated to know what Steelers fans think of Justin Fields’s play. Right now the Steelers have the game totally in hand but he’s 13 of 22 for 114 yards. Which just isn’t NFL acceptable, generally.  Yet they keep winning, so 🤷‍♂️

It seems pretty mixed. They've got quite the civil war going.

 

Posted
42 minutes ago, BigSlick said:

Im so fascinated to know what Steelers fans think of Justin Fields’s play. Right now the Steelers have the game totally in hand but he’s 13 of 22 for 114 yards. Which just isn’t NFL acceptable, generally.  Yet they keep winning, so 🤷‍♂️

His numbers still look bad even when you factor in how it kinda seems like 300 yards passing is the new 400+ yards passing since everyone is playing some kind of 2 deep safeties and forcing a lot of short passes. Like today he had 145 yards passing.

Posted
44 minutes ago, NotKyle said:

It seems pretty mixed. They've got quite the civil war going.

 

I'd assume the pro Fields side is making similar arguments to the 1992 Jack Morris arguments. Morris was 21-6 with a 4.04 ERA and the arguments were something like "he pitches to the score" etc. Meanwhile it was the Blue Jays bats that were winning those games.

Posted
1 hour ago, BigSlick said:

Im so fascinated to know what Steelers fans think of Justin Fields’s play. Right now the Steelers have the game totally in hand but he’s 13 of 22 for 114 yards. Which just isn’t NFL acceptable, generally.  Yet they keep winning, so 🤷‍♂️

I just want to see him get 9 games so the Bears get a 4th rounder. Is it 9 games or 9 starts for Fields?

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Posted
3 minutes ago, Wilson A2000 said:

I just want to see him get 9 games so the Bears get a 4th rounder. Is it 9 games or 9 starts for Fields?

What I recall is 51% of the offensive snaps

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