7/29 Rockies (Butler) @ Cubs (Lester) 1:20 WGN, MLBN

[Tryptamine]

I don't care if it's exciting. It's a way to produce runs when you're not doing it in the traditional sense. Station to station hasn't exactly worked that well these past few months.

That's what I hate most about it. People excuse it because, 'hey, you tried', when in fact you ran yourself out of an opportunity.

 

But where I disagree is that you are coming at it from the perspective that it fails every single time when it fact it works out more than it doesn't.

It needs to work out far more than it doesn't to justify it. Isn't it generally accepted that you have to successfully steal like 75-80% of the time for it to even be a neutral effect on your offense?

 

I believe that number is significantly lower in today's run enivronment, something like 66%.

[jersey cubs fan]

I don't care if it's exciting. It's a way to produce runs when you're not doing it in the traditional sense. Station to station hasn't exactly worked that well these past few months.

That's what I hate most about it. People excuse it because, 'hey, you tried', when in fact you ran yourself out of an opportunity.

 

But where I disagree is that you are coming at it from the perspective that it fails every single time when it fact it works out more than it doesn't.

 

It needs to work out more than just "more than it doesn't" to justify it and today they are 0-2. There is also no justification to be doing it with Schwarber, Bryant and Rizzo coming up and nobody out.

[Guest]

Well done, Lester.

[Bryants Disco Ball]

I don't care if it's exciting. It's a way to produce runs when you're not doing it in the traditional sense. Station to station hasn't exactly worked that well these past few months.

That's what I hate most about it. People excuse it because, 'hey, you tried', when in fact you ran yourself out of an opportunity.

 

But where I disagree is that you are coming at it from the perspective that it fails every single time when it fact it works out more than it doesn't.

It needs to work out far more than it doesn't to justify it. Isn't it generally accepted that you have to successfully steal like 75-80% of the time for it to even be a neutral effect on your offense?

 

I fucked my response up on my phone, but I was saying this convo is actually funny considering the Rockies are in this game because of stolen bases today.

[UMFan83]

Hmm that made me a little nervous when I saw that it was Schwarber and he didnt look like he had a great read on it.

[Schwarber Fan]

I assumed that was gone off the bat.

[DiamondMind]

[expletive] yea Jon

[JonJayCutler]

Insurance here would be a very good idea.

[RammyFanny]

I know we still haven't scored a ton of runs lately, but the offense seems so much more interesting with high OBP Fowler back.

[sontensei]

Hmm that made me a little nervous when I saw that it was Schwarber and he didnt look like he had a great read on it.

 

shaky play in LF?

[DiamondMind]

very confidant in Rondon for the 9th, pls dont make me feel stupid

[DiamondMind]

Hmm that made me a little nervous when I saw that it was Schwarber and he didnt look like he had a great read on it.

 

shaky play in LF?

 

kind of. its just more typical baseball that in the most clutch moments the balls always hit to the new guy.

[Bryants Disco Ball]

I know we still haven't scored a ton of runs lately, but the offense seems so much more interesting with high OBP Fowler back.

 

It has really surprised me that he and Schwarbs having success somehow hasn't translated into a more consistent offense.

[Andy]

=D> =D> =D> =D> for Lester. Now we need some insurance.

[Guest]

Would be nice if they could lay a 4 spot on the board this inning

[BigSlick]

Regardless of what happens, what an excellent game by Lester

[JonJayCutler]

Schwalk

[Schwarber Fan]

Leadoff man on for the 7th time.

[BigSlick]

It's nice that Schwarbs is still reaching base at a nice clip

[Fred Hornkohl]

CUBS are 42-19 (.689) when they score 3 runs or more.... 10-28 (.263) when they don't

CUBS are 31-3 (.912) when they allow fewer than 3 runs.... 21-44 (.323) when they don't

 

 

Go CUBS !!

[Cubswin11]

2 really good fastballs for Bryant to hit to start the AB

[BigSlick]

Looking at At-Bat it looks like Bryant is missing meatballs right down the middle of the plate :(

[UMFan83]

Terrible AB for Bryant

[jersey cubs fan]

[Schwarber Fan]

That will 100% come back to hurt us.