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Posted
maybe they're still getting caught up on the pinch-framing thing too. castillo wasn't that bad in 2012, and pitch framing metrics i don't think were widely used a couple of years ago.

 

When it comes to pinch-framing, nobody will ever top Izturius:

 

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Posted
Win shares were always dumb. From day one.

 

Unless you're taking the position that pitch-framing is completely irrelevant, then we can all agree that fWAR for catchers is suspect.

 

Of course it's not irrelevant. Someone who argues a catcher makes a 5 win difference in pitch framing alone is.

 

I like our FO too much to believe they knowingly ran the relative Jake Fox out there behind the plate the last 3 years.

 

 

They're going to knowingly run Javy out there, that doesn't mean they don't put any stock in the value of OBP.

 

Javy getting on base 22% of the time isn't going to hurt the trade value of your other players in years you're punting.

 

Castillo being -15 runs for the year in framing is not going to move the needle for any individual pitcher. Similarly, we shouldn't be expecting some catcher ERA-esque like change in our current pitcher's numbers due to framing.

 

If we shouldn't expect a dramtic shift in our pitchers abilities then where are the saved runs showing up?

 

None of this is to say I dislike the deal. Bfd on the prospects and this is the type of move we should always be making, I just think some people are taking things too far on Montero

Posted
Castillo being -15 runs for the year in framing is not going to move the needle for any individual pitcher. Similarly, we shouldn't be expecting some catcher ERA-esque like change in our current pitcher's numbers due to framing.

 

If we shouldn't expect a dramtic shift in our pitchers abilities then where are the saved runs showing up?

 

None of this is to say I dislike the deal. Bfd on the prospects and this is the type of move we should always be making, I just think some people are taking things too far on Montero

 

My point is that a starting pitcher is throwing about a fifth of a catcher's innings. If Castillo is a -15 framer it's making a very modest difference in a starter's performance/value. Across all pitchers that adds up for the team, but having Castillo catching pitches wasn't hemorrhaging Shark or Maholm's trade value.

Posted
I think Montero makes a great deal of sense for the Cubs, but I'm puzzled that Theo would give up a very good prospect for a guy whose contract should push him into negative value. Considering what other, far more attractive targets have fetched in terms of prospect return this off-season, Mejia seems like a major overpay.
Posted
I think Montero makes a great deal of sense for the Cubs, but I'm puzzled that Theo would give up a very good prospect for a guy whose contract should push him into negative value. Considering what other, far more attractive targets have fetched in terms of prospect return this off-season, Mejia seems like a major overpay.

 

in what world is mejia a very good prospect?

Posted
I think Montero makes a great deal of sense for the Cubs, but I'm puzzled that Theo would give up a very good prospect for a guy whose contract should push him into negative value. Considering what other, far more attractive targets have fetched in terms of prospect return this off-season, Mejia seems like a major overpay.

 

in what world is mejia a very good prospect?

 

Is this a trick question? All prospects are very good. Because they're prospects. Prospects!

Posted
Mejia is a very good prospect. He's got a great arm, and his stuff is pretty advanced for a kid that young. Certainly a legit top 20 guy in a very good system, and someone the Cubs paid a good sized bonus points to. In what world is that not a very good prospect?
Posted
Patrick Mooney ‏@CSNMooney 19s20 seconds ago

Theo: "We'll always listen, just because it would be crazy not to listen. But we really like the way (Montero and Castillo) fit together."

More

Patrick Mooney ‏@CSNMooney 3m3 minutes ago

Theo: "We're not shopping (Castillo) at all. The second that the Montero news came out, we got calls from a number of teams about Wely

Posted
Mejia is a very good prospect. He's got a great arm, and his stuff is pretty advanced for a kid that young. Certainly a legit top 20 guy in a very good system, and someone the Cubs paid a good sized bonus points to. In what world is that not a very good prospect?

 

he's borderline to even be called a prospect, let alone a very good one.

Posted
Mejia is a very good prospect. He's got a great arm, and his stuff is pretty advanced for a kid that young. Certainly a legit top 20 guy in a very good system, and someone the Cubs paid a good sized bonus points to. In what world is that not a very good prospect?

 

Yeah he was a borderline top 15 guy for me. Only pitchers I had ahead of him were Edwards,Pierce,Tseng and Underwood. Sands was pretty close too.

Posted
Mejia is a very good prospect. He's got a great arm, and his stuff is pretty advanced for a kid that young. Certainly a legit top 20 guy in a very good system, and someone the Cubs paid a good sized bonus points to. In what world is that not a very good prospect?

 

he's borderline to even be called a prospect, let alone a very good one.

 

That's absolutely absurd, sorry. Just not even close to meshing with the facts.

Posted
Mejia has good stuff and is projectable with some pretty good results, he's not in some people's Top 20 for no reason. He's also a pitcher, very raw, and no less than 4 years from the major leagues. Considering the other guy they gave up is a slightly warmed body(24 yo reliever in A+ with good results), it's hardly paying a premium in a trade for Montero.
Posted
Mejia has good stuff and is projectable with some pretty good results, he's not in some people's Top 20 for no reason. He's also a pitcher, very raw, and no less than 4 years from the major leagues. Considering the other guy they gave up is a slightly warmed body(24 yo reliever in A+ with good results), it's hardly paying a premium in a trade for Montero.

 

It is if you believe Montero's contract pushes him into negative value.

Posted
Mejia has good stuff and is projectable with some pretty good results, he's not in some people's Top 20 for no reason. He's also a pitcher, very raw, and no less than 4 years from the major leagues. Considering the other guy they gave up is a slightly warmed body(24 yo reliever in A+ with good results), it's hardly paying a premium in a trade for Montero.

 

It is if you believe Montero's contract pushes him into negative value.

 

Well then stop believing that. Problem solved.

Posted
Mejia is a very good prospect. He's got a great arm, and his stuff is pretty advanced for a kid that young. Certainly a legit top 20 guy in a very good system, and someone the Cubs paid a good sized bonus points to. In what world is that not a very good prospect?

 

he's borderline to even be called a prospect, let alone a very good one.

 

That's absolutely absurd, sorry. Just not even close to meshing with the facts.

 

a raw 20 year old pitcher who hasn't pitched above rookie ball is not a very good prospect. he might be a prospect. cj edwards and pierce johnson are barely "very good" prospects.

 

i mean, [expletive], if mejia is a very good prospect, vogelbach must be blue chip

Posted
Hearing about all this incredible value Mejia has really makes me want to start shopping some more rookie and low A arms for major league talent ASAP. Can't wait to see the haul we could get for Trevor Clifton.

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