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Cubs-Brewers Game One Thread, By The Numbers

Brock Beauchamp
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Brock Beauchamp All-Star

Brock Beauchamp

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Image courtesy of © David Banks-Imagn Images

Milwaukee and Chicago open their series at American Family Field today at 1:08 p.m. CDT, with right-hander Freddy Peralta scheduled for the Brewers and left-hander Matthew Boyd for the Cubs. 

Peralta threw 176 2/3 innings across 33 starts with a 2.70 ERA, a 3.65 FIP, a 28.2 percent strikeout rate, and a 9.1 percent walk rate. He allowed 1.07 home runs per nine innings. Boyd logged 179 2/3 innings in 31 starts with a 3.21 ERA and a 3.65 FIP. His strikeout rate was 21.4 percent with a 5.8 percent walk rate, and he allowed 0.95 home runs per nine innings. 

Brewers Offense
Milwaukee’s offense produced a .322 wOBA and a 107 wRC+. Brice Turang led regulars with a .346 wOBA and a 124 wRC+ across 659 plate appearances. William Contreras had 659 plate appearances with a .332 wOBA and a 113 wRC+. Christian Yelich added a .343 wOBA and a 121 wRC+ in 644 plate appearances. Sal Frelick logged 594 plate appearances with a .332 wOBA and a 114 wRC+, and Jackson Chourio had 589 plate appearances with a .328 wOBA and a 111 wRC+. 

Matthew Boyd vs. Milwaukee Brewers: Current Batters Table
Rk Player B PA AB H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO BA OBP SLG OPS SH SF IBB HBP GIDP
1 Andrew Vaughn R 14 12 3 2 0 1 1 2 4 .250 .357 .667 1.024 0 0 0 0 0
2 Jake Bauers L 11 11 1 0 0 0 0 0 2 .091 .091 .091 .182 0 0 0 0 0
3 Christian Yelich L 11 11 3 1 0 1 2 0 3 .273 .273 .636 .909 0 0 0 0 0
4 William Contreras R 9 9 4 0 0 1 1 0 0 .444 .444 .778 1.222 0 0 0 0 1
5 Brice Turang L 8 7 2 0 0 0 2 0 1 .286 .250 .286 .536 0 1 0 0 0
6 Isaac Collins B 6 5 1 0 0 0 2 1 1 .200 .333 .200 .533 0 0 0 0 0
7 Sal Frelick L 6 5 2 0 0 0 1 1 2 .400 .500 .400 .900 0 0 0 0 0
8 Joey Ortiz R 6 6 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 .167 .167 .167 .333 0 0 0 0 0
9 Caleb Durbin R 5 4 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 .000 .200 .000 .200 0 0 0 0 0
10 Brandon Lockridge R 4 3 1 1 0 0 0 1 1 .333 .500 .667 1.167 0 0 0 0 0
11 Jackson Chourio R 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 .000 .667 .000 .667 0 0 0 0 0
12 Rhys Hoskins R 3 2 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 .500 .667 .500 1.167 0 0 0 0 0
13 Blake Perkins B 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 .000 .000 .000 .000 0 0 0 0 0
Provided by Stathead.com: Found with Stathead. See Full Results.
Generated 10/4/2025.

Cubs Offense
Chicago’s offense finished with a .325 wOBA and a 110 wRC+. Kyle Tucker had 597 plate appearances with a .363 wOBA and a 136 wRC+. Michael Busch posted a .369 wOBA and a 140 wRC+ over 592 plate appearances. Seiya Suzuki contributed a .343 wOBA and a 123 wRC+ in 651 plate appearances. At the top of the order, Pete Crow-Armstrong and Nico Hoerner each recorded a 109 wRC+, with Crow-Armstrong adding 31 home runs and 35 steals and Hoerner adding 29 steals. 

Freddy Peralta vs. Chicago Cubs: Current Batters Table
Rk Player B PA AB H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO BA OBP SLG OPS SH SF IBB HBP GIDP
1 Ian Happ B 38 32 2 0 0 1 2 6 14 .063 .211 .156 .367 0 0 0 0 0
2 Nico Hoerner R 31 28 5 3 0 1 5 2 5 .179 .258 .393 .651 0 0 0 1 0
3 Seiya Suzuki R 27 23 3 0 0 1 3 4 12 .130 .259 .261 .520 0 0 0 0 0
4 Dansby Swanson R 22 20 2 0 0 1 1 2 8 .100 .182 .250 .432 0 0 1 0 0
5 Michael Busch L 20 16 2 0 0 2 2 4 7 .125 .300 .500 .800 0 0 0 0 0
6 Kyle Tucker L 15 11 5 1 0 0 0 4 1 .455 .600 .545 1.145 0 0 0 0 0
7 Pete Crow-Armstrong L 13 11 5 1 0 1 3 1 1 .455 .500 .818 1.318 1 0 0 0 0
8 Carson Kelly R 11 10 1 0 0 0 1 1 4 .100 .182 .100 .282 0 0 0 0 0
9 Justin Turner R 8 8 1 0 0 0 0 0 2 .125 .125 .125 .250 0 0 0 0 0
10 Willi Castro B 7 7 1 0 0 0 0 0 3 .143 .143 .143 .286 0 0 0 0 0
11 Matt Shaw R 6 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 .000 .167 .000 .167 0 0 0 1 0
12 Moisés Ballesteros L 2 2 1 1 0 0 3 0 0 .500 .500 1.000 1.500 0 0 0 0 0
13 Reese McGuire L 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 0 0 0 0 0
14 Jameson Taillon R 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 .000 .000 .000 .000 0 0 0 0 0
Provided by Stathead.com: Found with Stathead. See Full Results.
Generated 10/4/2025.

From a run-prevention standpoint, Peralta’s profile paired a high strikeout rate with a FIP close to his ERA. Boyd’s season line showed comparable FIP to ERA with fewer walks and a lower home-run rate. 


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chibears55 Myrtle Beach Pelicans

chibears55

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Kinda iffy with starting Boyd here, I get Counsell thinking with hoping to get 3 or 4 out of him today and then he'll have normal rest if there a Game 4 and also have Imanaga for Game 5 if needed, but I kinda felt with Peralta going for them this game would be a tough one to win as it was.  I just figured if they lose today then at least the Cubs would have a well rested Boyd and Imanaga with extra days rest going for them in Games 2 and 3, then have Taillon for Game 4 and then Boyd with regular rest for 5.

We'll see how it works out, obviously bats have to produce, hopefully Peralta will be a little wild and rusty with only having pitched 2 innings since he went 5 on September 22nd and the bats can take advantage early. 

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Rcal10 ACL Cubs

Rcal10

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7 minutes ago, chibears55 said:

Kinda iffy with starting Boyd here, I get Counsell thinking with hoping to get 3 or 4 out of him today and then he'll have normal rest if there a Game 4 and also have Imanaga for Game 5 if needed, but I kinda felt with Peralta going for them this game would be a tough one to win as it was.  I just figured if they lose today then at least the Cubs would have a well rested Boyd and Imanaga with extra days rest going for them in Games 2 and 3, then have Taillon for Game 4 and then Boyd with regular rest for 5.

We'll see how it works out, obviously bats have to produce, hopefully Peralta will be a little wild and rusty with only having pitched 2 innings since he went 5 on September 22nd and the bats can take advantage early. 

The only thing I can see as a reason for Boyd today is he can then pitch again in game 4, at Wrigley, on normal rest. If the Cubs can steal one I. Milwaukee I think they can close it out in Chicago with Tailon, who has been our best the last ) starts, and Boyd at home. But if they go to game 5 all hands on deck. Might not even be Imanaga. Anything goes. 

Jason Ross Myrtle Beach Pelicans

Jason Ross

North Side Contributor
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15 minutes ago, s2obed said:

Ben Brown made the cut? Wtf

Ben Brown in the year vs Milwaukee:

11 IP, 9K, 2 ER, 2BB

While small sample stuff is what it is he has been successful in two starts against them this year. He won't be counted on for much, but for a neutral splits team (even with the BABIP as Bertz pointed out) his success probably a small benefit here. 

He can be dominant with his fastball and curve. And if you use him it's likely only for an inning or two, but his length could be important in any extra inning game. 

Cubs have two lefties as well and the Padres were much worse against LHP than RHP. 

Rcal10 ACL Cubs

Rcal10

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Not a fan of adding Brown. But willing to acknowledge the coaching staff knows better than we do. So if they feel he is the guy I trust them. 

Tryptamine South Bend Cubs

Tryptamine

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They really need to figure out a way to get Ballesteros in these line ups. They score 6 runs over 3 games and just keep marching the same lineup out there. 

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chibears55 Myrtle Beach Pelicans

chibears55

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7 minutes ago, Tryptamine said:

They really need to figure out a way to get Ballesteros in these line ups. They score 6 runs over 3 games and just keep marching the same lineup out there. 

Who are you replacing for Mo though ?

Tucker is DH, Busch is 1B, Kelly is C

Even if Tucker is back in RF, are you taking Suzuki out now?

 

Tryptamine South Bend Cubs

Tryptamine

Old-Timey Member
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1 minute ago, chibears55 said:

Who are you replacing for Mo though ?

Tucker is DH, Busch is 1B, Kelly is C

Even if Tucker is back in RF, are you taking Suzuki out now?

 

I mean at least get him in to PH or something. Have the Cub pinch hit a single time?

DrCub College Ball

DrCub

Old-Timey Member
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2 minutes ago, ILMindState said:

WLWW

Cubs in 4 LFG!!

Bold strategy Cotton.  Let’s see if it works out for them……

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