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    Cubs-Brewers Game One Thread, By The Numbers

    The Cubs head up I-94 to open the NLDS to face the Brewers. Join our game thread!
    Brock Beauchamp

    By Brock Beauchamp

    Image courtesy of © David Banks-Imagn Images

    Cubs Video

    Milwaukee and Chicago open their series at American Family Field today at 1:08 p.m. CDT, with right-hander Freddy Peralta scheduled for the Brewers and left-hander Matthew Boyd for the Cubs. 

    Peralta threw 176 2/3 innings across 33 starts with a 2.70 ERA, a 3.65 FIP, a 28.2 percent strikeout rate, and a 9.1 percent walk rate. He allowed 1.07 home runs per nine innings. Boyd logged 179 2/3 innings in 31 starts with a 3.21 ERA and a 3.65 FIP. His strikeout rate was 21.4 percent with a 5.8 percent walk rate, and he allowed 0.95 home runs per nine innings. 

    Brewers Offense
    Milwaukee’s offense produced a .322 wOBA and a 107 wRC+. Brice Turang led regulars with a .346 wOBA and a 124 wRC+ across 659 plate appearances. William Contreras had 659 plate appearances with a .332 wOBA and a 113 wRC+. Christian Yelich added a .343 wOBA and a 121 wRC+ in 644 plate appearances. Sal Frelick logged 594 plate appearances with a .332 wOBA and a 114 wRC+, and Jackson Chourio had 589 plate appearances with a .328 wOBA and a 111 wRC+. 

    Matthew Boyd vs. Milwaukee Brewers: Current Batters Table
    Rk Player B PA AB H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO BA OBP SLG OPS SH SF IBB HBP GIDP
    1 Andrew Vaughn R 14 12 3 2 0 1 1 2 4 .250 .357 .667 1.024 0 0 0 0 0
    2 Jake Bauers L 11 11 1 0 0 0 0 0 2 .091 .091 .091 .182 0 0 0 0 0
    3 Christian Yelich L 11 11 3 1 0 1 2 0 3 .273 .273 .636 .909 0 0 0 0 0
    4 William Contreras R 9 9 4 0 0 1 1 0 0 .444 .444 .778 1.222 0 0 0 0 1
    5 Brice Turang L 8 7 2 0 0 0 2 0 1 .286 .250 .286 .536 0 1 0 0 0
    6 Isaac Collins B 6 5 1 0 0 0 2 1 1 .200 .333 .200 .533 0 0 0 0 0
    7 Sal Frelick L 6 5 2 0 0 0 1 1 2 .400 .500 .400 .900 0 0 0 0 0
    8 Joey Ortiz R 6 6 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 .167 .167 .167 .333 0 0 0 0 0
    9 Caleb Durbin R 5 4 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 .000 .200 .000 .200 0 0 0 0 0
    10 Brandon Lockridge R 4 3 1 1 0 0 0 1 1 .333 .500 .667 1.167 0 0 0 0 0
    11 Jackson Chourio R 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 .000 .667 .000 .667 0 0 0 0 0
    12 Rhys Hoskins R 3 2 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 .500 .667 .500 1.167 0 0 0 0 0
    13 Blake Perkins B 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 .000 .000 .000 .000 0 0 0 0 0
    Provided by Stathead.com: Found with Stathead. See Full Results.
    Generated 10/4/2025.

    Cubs Offense
    Chicago’s offense finished with a .325 wOBA and a 110 wRC+. Kyle Tucker had 597 plate appearances with a .363 wOBA and a 136 wRC+. Michael Busch posted a .369 wOBA and a 140 wRC+ over 592 plate appearances. Seiya Suzuki contributed a .343 wOBA and a 123 wRC+ in 651 plate appearances. At the top of the order, Pete Crow-Armstrong and Nico Hoerner each recorded a 109 wRC+, with Crow-Armstrong adding 31 home runs and 35 steals and Hoerner adding 29 steals. 

    Freddy Peralta vs. Chicago Cubs: Current Batters Table
    Rk Player B PA AB H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO BA OBP SLG OPS SH SF IBB HBP GIDP
    1 Ian Happ B 38 32 2 0 0 1 2 6 14 .063 .211 .156 .367 0 0 0 0 0
    2 Nico Hoerner R 31 28 5 3 0 1 5 2 5 .179 .258 .393 .651 0 0 0 1 0
    3 Seiya Suzuki R 27 23 3 0 0 1 3 4 12 .130 .259 .261 .520 0 0 0 0 0
    4 Dansby Swanson R 22 20 2 0 0 1 1 2 8 .100 .182 .250 .432 0 0 1 0 0
    5 Michael Busch L 20 16 2 0 0 2 2 4 7 .125 .300 .500 .800 0 0 0 0 0
    6 Kyle Tucker L 15 11 5 1 0 0 0 4 1 .455 .600 .545 1.145 0 0 0 0 0
    7 Pete Crow-Armstrong L 13 11 5 1 0 1 3 1 1 .455 .500 .818 1.318 1 0 0 0 0
    8 Carson Kelly R 11 10 1 0 0 0 1 1 4 .100 .182 .100 .282 0 0 0 0 0
    9 Justin Turner R 8 8 1 0 0 0 0 0 2 .125 .125 .125 .250 0 0 0 0 0
    10 Willi Castro B 7 7 1 0 0 0 0 0 3 .143 .143 .143 .286 0 0 0 0 0
    11 Matt Shaw R 6 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 .000 .167 .000 .167 0 0 0 1 0
    12 Moisés Ballesteros L 2 2 1 1 0 0 3 0 0 .500 .500 1.000 1.500 0 0 0 0 0
    13 Reese McGuire L 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 0 0 0 0 0
    14 Jameson Taillon R 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 .000 .000 .000 .000 0 0 0 0 0
    Provided by Stathead.com: Found with Stathead. See Full Results.
    Generated 10/4/2025.

    From a run-prevention standpoint, Peralta’s profile paired a high strikeout rate with a FIP close to his ERA. Boyd’s season line showed comparable FIP to ERA with fewer walks and a lower home-run rate. 

    Brock Beauchamp is the technical and community lead for the DiamondCentric network of sites. He has been an avid baseball fan since the mid-80s and founded his first baseball site, Battle Your Tail Off, in the mid-2000s.

    Follow Brock Beauchamp on Twitter: brock_beauchamp

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    Featured Comments

    chibears55

    chibears55 793

    Posted

    Kinda iffy with starting Boyd here, I get Counsell thinking with hoping to get 3 or 4 out of him today and then he'll have normal rest if there a Game 4 and also have Imanaga for Game 5 if needed, but I kinda felt with Peralta going for them this game would be a tough one to win as it was.  I just figured if they lose today then at least the Cubs would have a well rested Boyd and Imanaga with extra days rest going for them in Games 2 and 3, then have Taillon for Game 4 and then Boyd with regular rest for 5.

    We'll see how it works out, obviously bats have to produce, hopefully Peralta will be a little wild and rusty with only having pitched 2 innings since he went 5 on September 22nd and the bats can take advantage early. 

    • Like 2
    Bertz

    Bertz 2,649

    Posted

     

     

    Outshined_One

    Outshined_One 842

    Posted

    Let's horsefeathers these guys up.

    • Like 1
    • Love 1
    Rcal10

    Rcal10 1,540

    Posted

    7 minutes ago, chibears55 said:

    Kinda iffy with starting Boyd here, I get Counsell thinking with hoping to get 3 or 4 out of him today and then he'll have normal rest if there a Game 4 and also have Imanaga for Game 5 if needed, but I kinda felt with Peralta going for them this game would be a tough one to win as it was.  I just figured if they lose today then at least the Cubs would have a well rested Boyd and Imanaga with extra days rest going for them in Games 2 and 3, then have Taillon for Game 4 and then Boyd with regular rest for 5.

    We'll see how it works out, obviously bats have to produce, hopefully Peralta will be a little wild and rusty with only having pitched 2 innings since he went 5 on September 22nd and the bats can take advantage early. 

    The only thing I can see as a reason for Boyd today is he can then pitch again in game 4, at Wrigley, on normal rest. If the Cubs can steal one I. Milwaukee I think they can close it out in Chicago with Tailon, who has been our best the last ) starts, and Boyd at home. But if they go to game 5 all hands on deck. Might not even be Imanaga. Anything goes. 

    s2obed

    s2obed 80

    Posted (edited)

    Ben Brown made the cut? Wtf

    Edited by s2obed
    Jason Ross

    Jason Ross 2,536

    Posted

    15 minutes ago, s2obed said:

    Ben Brown made the cut? Wtf

    Ben Brown in the year vs Milwaukee:

    11 IP, 9K, 2 ER, 2BB

    While small sample stuff is what it is he has been successful in two starts against them this year. He won't be counted on for much, but for a neutral splits team (even with the BABIP as Bertz pointed out) his success probably a small benefit here. 

    He can be dominant with his fastball and curve. And if you use him it's likely only for an inning or two, but his length could be important in any extra inning game. 

    Cubs have two lefties as well and the Padres were much worse against LHP than RHP. 

    ILMindState

    ILMindState 277

    Posted

    17 minutes ago, s2obed said:

    Ben Brown made the cut? Wtf

     

    Transmogrified Tiger

    Transmogrified Tiger 2,745

    Posted

    The Brewers also seem to be a relatively weaker team against fastballs, so adding another with velo to the pen could pay dividends

     

    • Like 1
    Rcal10

    Rcal10 1,540

    Posted

    Not a fan of adding Brown. But willing to acknowledge the coaching staff knows better than we do. So if they feel he is the guy I trust them. 

    Tangled Up in Plaid

    Tangled Up in Plaid 398

    Posted

    I'd be shocked if throws a pitch in a close game. He's there if we're up a ton or down a ton.

    Derwood

    Derwood 3,368

    Posted

    Assad left off roster is a head scratcher

    • Like 1
    Tryptamine

    Tryptamine 2,033

    Posted

    They really need to figure out a way to get Ballesteros in these line ups. They score 6 runs over 3 games and just keep marching the same lineup out there. 

    • Like 1
    Tangled Up in Plaid

    Tangled Up in Plaid 398

    Posted

    Who do we have to endure as the announcers of this game?

    chibears55

    chibears55 793

    Posted

    7 minutes ago, Tryptamine said:

    They really need to figure out a way to get Ballesteros in these line ups. They score 6 runs over 3 games and just keep marching the same lineup out there. 

    Who are you replacing for Mo though ?

    Tucker is DH, Busch is 1B, Kelly is C

    Even if Tucker is back in RF, are you taking Suzuki out now?

     

    Tryptamine

    Tryptamine 2,033

    Posted

    1 minute ago, chibears55 said:

    Who are you replacing for Mo though ?

    Tucker is DH, Busch is 1B, Kelly is C

    Even if Tucker is back in RF, are you taking Suzuki out now?

     

    I mean at least get him in to PH or something. Have the Cub pinch hit a single time?

    Transmogrified Tiger

    Transmogrified Tiger 2,745

    Posted

    9 minutes ago, Tryptamine said:

    I mean at least get him in to PH or something. Have the Cub pinch hit a single time?

    Mo did in Game 2

    We Got The Whole 9

    We Got The Whole 9 1,139

    Posted

    The babip with risp must have been like .050 vs SD. They got 1 whole hit. 

     

    3 solo homers 

    Sac fly

    Bases loaded walk

    PCA single

    ILMindState

    ILMindState 277

    Posted

    WLWW

    Cubs in 4 LFG!!

    DrCub

    DrCub 71

    Posted

    2 minutes ago, ILMindState said:

    WLWW

    Cubs in 4 LFG!!

    Bold strategy Cotton.  Let’s see if it works out for them……

    Geographyhater8888

    Geographyhater8888 417

    Posted (edited)

    Where can I stream the game?

    Edited by Geographyhater8888
    Ding Dong Johnson

    Ding Dong Johnson 1,520

    Posted

    46 minutes ago, Derwood said:

    Assad left off roster is a head scratcher

    He doesn’t add a ton of value in a short series with multiple days off. 

    s2obed

    s2obed 80

    Posted (edited)

    This is probably going to 5 but hope it only takes 3 games. 

    Edited by s2obed
    gflore34

    gflore34 963

    Posted

    To me the Cubs are playing house money, all eyes, all pressure on the Brewers.  Don't know if means anything or if it'll be a positive for the Cubs but, hell, at least they have this.



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