Geographyhater8888
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Everything posted by Geographyhater8888
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I never said that the Cubs can’t develop farm talent, I think the Brewers have earned the benefit of the doubt at this point. They’re like a tumor that can’t be removed because it’s too close to a major artery. I’d also like to keep the payrol advantage.
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It’s a pull heavy lineup full of guys with 20-25 home run power. Not a ton of diversity, and Nico’s struggles are killing them as the teams lone bat ball skills guy, who’s impervious to the elements. Great lineup, lots of warning track power that struggles to manufacture runs in bad conditions or when the wind blows in, which is compounded by a bad slump.
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The Crazy PCA Stats and Tidbits Thread
Geographyhater8888 replied to Banedon's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
The thing about high leverage relief is that you need your teammates to step up and score between 1-3 more runs than your opponent for a save opportunity. Then you’d have to assume that a replacement level closer would blow every save opportunity. Distributing 1000 total war over the course of 30 teams in a season requires balancing run value. Is 3 outs with a full win? He seems to think so. Do we just cut off a couple solo homers in the bottom of the 8th inning for insurance runs to extend the lead from 2-1 to 4-1 and subtract their run value, because those runs didn’t ultimately matter? He seems to think war should he handed out like Halloween candy -
You’d have to think Cleveland is doing something similar and maybe Tampa. We also don’t want the Cubs to operate like that and circumvent talent with a philosophy that works in the regular season but not the postseason, outside of their pitching infrastructure. But their farm is loaded so it’s not like there’s a light at the end of the tunnel. And if there’s a hard cap and floor, the Cubs competitive advantage will close even more.
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Yeah. The Rays don’t do this. They’ll have a 3-5 year stretch of 90+ wins and they’ll have a couple years of retooling and finishing under 500. Cleveland has only won 90+ games twice this decade. Since 2018, Milwaukee has won 96, 89, COVID, 95, 86, 92, 93, 97, 101+. It wouldn’t be annoying if the Cubs were a perennial disgrace like the pre Ricketts Cubs, but 10 winning seasons in 12 years, 5 90+ win seasons and only 2 division championships. Brewers are a way bigger thorn than the Cardinals ever were based on the Cubs consistent success.
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7.7-2.6 average score in their 34 second half wins. 3-1-5.7 average score in their 31 second half losses. Season total is an average score of 7.2-2.9 in wins and 2.9-6.1 in losses. fourth year in a row they’ll underperform their expected win total by 4+ games based on run differential. They’ve also underperformed by combined 9 wins based on team fWAR since 2023. -3 this year, and were at -6 in 2023. What is it with this roster construction that causes this imbalance?
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Willy Mo-Pena?
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The Redsox offered to play 3 home games at Wrigley. They couldn’t give a horsefeathers less who wins.
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It’s alright. The team of freak injuries and horrific losses will snap out of this as soon as the playoffs start. It’s been a season of enchantment and good fortune
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It’s baseball, positive variance, these balls won’t find gloves forever….. Have you been paying attention to the team of freak injuries galore? They absolutely will never be on the good side of this “variance” thing in the playoffs. They’re cursed. If they start hitting then the pitching staff will suck again.
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Who cares at this point. They blew a 5 game lead in the NL wild card. If they need home field advantage for an edge against tough but beatable Braves or padres teams then they have no shot against the dodgers or Brewers. Who the horsefeathers would consider losing to Milwaukee in the LDS again a successful season anyways.
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Way to show up against their B team guys.
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He sucks. At what point does platooning stop working when you have a lefty who can’t get anyone out regardless of handedness?
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Hopefully the entire team eats contaminated lettuce in the team cafeteria and gets explosive diarrhea just in time for Tuesday.
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What are the odds that the Cubs come back to win here? I’m setting them at 15:1?
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That’s pretty much the game.
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Nico has been next to worthless since April. Nice that he got an rbi single yesterday. He also has a 75 wRC+ since.
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Is Theilbar making the playoff roster? He would’ve been DFAs by just about every other playoff team I’d assume
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Steal Pete. You’re still chasing 11 war.
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Yeah. Let’s just hope it’s safe to fly.
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Let’s see how these hungover cubs look having to fly to Boston and play a double header with 27 innings of baseball packed into a 27 hour window. Because for some reason, Manfred or whoever cares more about the Phillies and Padres horsefeathers over the Cubs than logistics. Will the storm effect their ability to travel too?
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Including playing in Tampa? MLB should intervene. Who gives a horsefeathers about them and why should they have any say over it?
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Not only that but they’re moving the second game up to 4:35. There’s a perfectly viable option in Tampa with no inclement weather and no need to change start times on the fly. Players will be on call like ER doctors. I’m wondering how a hungover cubs team will look having to play a double header packed into a 7 hour window for a game that ended 20 hours before first pitch.
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The biggest problem is that the wind blowing in neutralizes the Cubs power advantage.
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That’s what happens to teams like the Guardians who don’t hit home runs.
