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Geographyhater8888

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Everything posted by Geographyhater8888

  1. I don’t see any realistic path towards catching the Brewers if we’re demanding 97+ wins. It’s not a realistic bar and won’t happen overnight unless you have the Dodgers payroll or the Brewers secret potion for regular season success that neither David Stearns or Craig Counsell brought to their new teams.
  2. Another viral pandemic that ends the season indefinitely.
  3. I think it has something to do with a shortened sweet spot. Also, when you’re not waiting on pitches you’re vulnerable against changeups. It could be a complete coincidence, but 21 10+ run scoring games and 13 shutout losses is something to look closely at.
  4. Being a top scoring offense isn’t at all a problem. The way they distribute runs has contributed to underperformance of expected win loss record because of a bunch of blowout wins. It’s been a theme for the last 4 years. Obviously the pitching staff is the biggest problem but it’s too deep of a hole to dig themselves out of. The elements in Wrigley specifically make it difficult to string together hits when the wind is blowing in when lacking the type of hitters who can Brewer their way into scoring. So I’d prefer a 110 wRC+ from Nico of 2025 then Happ of this year with the mix of bats we already have, and Kwan is that hypothetical fit.
  5. I’m going off of anecdotes and opinion. I’d like an alternative path to a 110 wRC+ from a hitter (Nico of last year instead of Ian Happ of this year.) Different profiles will help you score more consistently in different environments, situations and matchups. To Only win 89 games with a +147 run differential and 21 games of 10+ runs while at the same time being shutouts 13 times is too boom or bust. The bullpen is the other obvious reason, but the way they can just turn off like a light switch is concerning. Nico coincidentally was the only productive hitter in the playoffs who’s a very different flavor of hitter than the other 8. They’ve been stacking blowout wins and run differential every single year since 2023. They have the run differential of a 92 win team on average and yet they’ve only won an average of 87 games. It’s noteworthy too that they’re top 5 in soft contact rate as a team and it checks out with a pull heavy approach where you’re susceptible to weak contact which hurts you in RISP opportunities where all you need is a hard hit grounder or an inside out swing to line a single to the opposite field.
  6. Swanson and Hoerner aren’t that movable with their contracts. Busch has years of control and would probably get a decent return. He’s solid but not untouchable.
  7. Whether or not the Cubs have the trade capital to pull it off, this offense could use some diversity, especially when the wind is blowing in and you have a lineup full of 20-25 home power with warning track power in said conditions. Kwan would be a great addition, whether or not it’s realistic.
  8. Busch is also one of the few disposable players that could net a decent return for some younger arms with years of control. I’m not saying that he should be traded, I don’t think he’ll be traded, but I’m not against it either. This team isn’t in as good of a spot as they were a year ago with all the pitching injuries and unloading a lot of the farm to fix a broken rotation. There’s enough redundant bats with 20-25 home run power.
  9. This has been a reoccurring theme in the playoffs in nearly every series they’ve been eliminated in outside of the LDS last year, and they only scored 6 total runs in 3 games against the Padres last year. They can’t hit past game 162 outside of 2015-2016, and scored only 8 runs against the Mets in the LCS at that. It’s strange how uncompetitive they are in the playoffs year after year and especially how often the bats go limp.
  10. It’s a lineup full of many redundant bats with 20-25 home run power who try and pull everything in the air. I can’t figure the 2/66 or whatever it is but they’re prone to rolling over pitches and weak fly outs, which makes bringing in a runner from second base a painful process. They had the 5th highest soft contact rate in baseball. We went through this back in May too.
  11. Sign more number 3/4 starters on medium length deals as bandaids, hope that one Edward Cabrera/Braxton Garret, or whoever outperform projections after the pitching lab spends an entire offseason “fixing” them, find a few platoon bats to fill the the corner outfield positions and hope to string together 85 wins. That’s not a fix, but what else should we expect? The more I think about it the less happy I am with so much $ invested in middle infield defense. It’ll raise your regular season floor but a team that’s underperformed their expected win total by over 5 games on average and over 2 war since 2023 with an average win total of 87 games is result of flawed roster construction.
  12. And the Padres bullpen is well rested for for the Milwaukee series.
  13. 2007: 0-3 vs Az. Outscored 16-6, 2008: 0-3 vs LA, outscored 20-6 2015: 0-4 vs Mets, R vs RA 21-8 1-4 vs LA 2017, outscored 29-7 2018 vs Rockies: 0-1, outscored 5-1 2020: 0-2 Vs Marlins, outscored 1-7 2025: 2-3 vs Milwaukee, outscored 17-22 (competitive) 2026: 0-2 vs the Padres, outscored 12-1 I’m sick and tired of this horsefeathers. I guess the extra night games have delayed their fatigue until late September when the bags inevitably go limp
  14. I can live with a loss, I can’t live with such uncompetitiveness. What an embarrassment, and this is far from the first time they’ve lost a playoff series where they looked like the 2024 Whitesox.
  15. Didn’t they trade Rojas for a starting pitcher to use in a best of 3?
  16. Thats why he values defense. The lack of swing and miss can make someone like David Peterson look decent. They tried and failed with Cabrera, Wiggins and Brown are injured too. Throw enough darts and you’ll land on Pomeranz, Theilbar, Keller and Rollison this year. They don’t draft many pitchers, they don’t sign expensive pitchers for fear of injury who have that swing and miss ability and instead rely on a $320 million infield to circumvent this which works to an extent in the regular season. If’s big market money ball. They’re horsefeathered if not for PCA shattering everyone’s wildest expectations.
  17. We also emphasize how home runs are key in the playoffs, I’m not sure how run prevention from an elite defense translate to postseason success. I’d guess it’s weak with a pitching sfaff full of guys who give up a ton of homers. That’s Jed, cutting corners for regular season success at the expense of what helps win championships. That $320 million gold glove middle infield and war that didn’t prevent 3 home runs last night and neither did their bats like an equivalent pitcher. The good news is that he’ll be able to sign more number 3/4 starters with Taillon, Boyd and Imanaga on medium length deals, the bad news is once again relying on guys beating projections without a true game 1 starter.
  18. They booed Montero in his return to Wrigley, the guy with an insurance RBI single in game 7 in the 10th inning and a grandslam in game 1 of the LCS, gave Theriot a standing ovation as a cardinal after telling the media he’s on the “right side of the rivalry”, gave mediocre slap hitter Ryan Theriot a standing ovation and if I remembercorrectly Arramis Ramirez had a few claps as a Brewer in 2012. My favorite was the third most requested autograph at cubs con in 2017 was not Lester, Arrietta, Baez, Zobrist etc. David Ross. The list goes on.
  19. At least he’s earned lofty expectations. Happ was the previous scapegoat despite being a complimentary bag with unrealistic expectations of carrying an offense.
  20. Boyd isn’t a problem. Boyd being your game 1 starter in a best of 3 is the problem, and it wouldn’t have mattered who was on the mound anyways with the offense deciding to face plant a week before the playoffs.
  21. Not mediocre, above average. Think of the 2000-2012 Whitesox with the goal of catching lightening in a bottle with their own version of a 2005 fluke WS win.
  22. I love how anything can happen in the playoffs. We all had concerns over the slumping offense, pitching and playing the red hot Padres on their home turf. We probably all expected them to lose 5-1 but because of variance, it was an 8-0 loss instead with 3 total hits. You just never know with how random baseball is.
  23. It’s only 1 game. They’ll bounce back with 4 hits tonighf.
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