The thing with PCA is that he shattered everyone’s wildest expectations in very unconventional ways with his low OBP, strikeout rate and bad plate discipline. How sustainable is that? I’m not worried about Bregman, Busch or Swanson because they’ve been consistent and have have rebounded from slumps before.
PCA finished with a 109 last season. Not everyone is Ian Happ who you can pencil in for a 115 wRC+ every season. I’m not worried in the sense that he’s a 70 wRC+ guy, will he be mid 90’s-low 100’s, better? Much better?
It’s a lot easier forecast someone with more traditional slash slash lines. I’m not boxing him in with Frank Schwindel because he’s had a 6 month stretch of MVP play with success at all levels but he’s really up and down.
To your first point, the first half offense offense broke the fanbase with unrealistic expectations expecting a 40+ home run pace from PCA and Suzuki to hold, in addition to Busch’s first half tear. It’s like saying that the post July 3rd cubs of 2024 were the real cubs and the anemic May-June offense were frauds. I’m more than guilty of knee jerk reactions.