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Geographyhater8888

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Everything posted by Geographyhater8888

  1. If Amaya wasn’t so damn slow, he might have his second cycle this year.
  2. Good team effort, Swanson and Amaya are the only guys who haven’t struck out yet but they only have 1 at bat each. They got this.
  3. Their defense sucks. The Cubs have roughly equal defensive run value to the other 5 teams with an above average run value combined. The Phillies and Cubs have the exact same team ERA despite a 12 war gap in pitching. Imanaga, Rea and Peterson can’t be trusted, someone of Boyd’s caliber is enough to effectively limit runs and go toe to toe with one of those starting pitchers. .
  4. And he gets no credit for that IBB that led to the game winning 3rd run.
  5. The Cubs defense is worth 1.3 runs fewer than the other 5 teams combined with a positive defensive run value. Something to keep in mind every time the offense has a bad night on the rare occasion that it’s a low scoring win like last night.
  6. Disgraceful horsefeathers from the bats since Wednesday.
  7. They’ll have AI write it for them anyways. My Mom was a teacher as is my cousin so I hear all kinds of stories.
  8. Middle school kids are jackasses. Good luck until you get your pension, if you’re patient enough to not quit.
  9. Sure. I like using extreme examples to illustrate how metrics can interpreted and compared to one another, like my fly ball example, or a player whose 0-1 with 4 walks with a 500 OPS and a 560 wOBA versus a guy who’s 2/5 with a single and a double, a 4.3 wOBA and a 1000 OPS. Just curious. I’m not trying to argue here,
  10. I understand how they work. In a vacuum, do you prefer xFIP or zERA. Obviously you want to look at every metric, but in the spirit of my question I’m curious. Also, is the Cubs 8 point gap in wOBA to xWOBA predicative of the offense due for regression or does their batted ball data suggest that what they’re doing is sustainable?
  11. Out of curiosity, why is xFIP considered a better metric to xERA. Theoretically 2 pitchers with the same number of innings, strikeouts and walks could have identical xFIPS even if pitcher A gives up 8 fly balls and all of them are 450 foot home runs and while pitcher B gives up 8 275 foot shallow fly outs (extreme example and maybe I’m wrong). It doesn’t adjust for hard contact. I assume it’s a more predictive model? Taillon is underperforming his xFIP by almost 1.7 runs, because a lot of the home runs he allows are 400+ foot bombs. Ben Brown is the polar opposite for what it’s worth, although a 3.5 xFIP is very solid.
  12. Wacha is another redundant arm on any of the 23-25 rotations. I miss those redundant arms.
  13. The Brewers have also only won two playoff series, since watching the Cubs win it all 10 years ago.
  14. I’m with you. I miss the tribune era myself which consisted of winning one playoff series. Tom ruined everything by hiring Theo and turning the Cubs into something that resembles competence for first time in the lifetime of anyone who’s currently alive. Go Brewers.
  15. Cabrera isn’t and never was a number 2 starting pitcher. He also had an opportunity to acquire him last summer but he didn’t like the price. He waited 5 months too late for a return on investment. I’m speaking in general anyways. I’ll withhold judgement and I’ll be happy with a pitcher who’ll make us better this year, even if he’s not on the cubs next year. Bonus if he is, and preferably better than either Soroka or Cabrera.
  16. Not that the offense wasn’t dog horsefeathers but is it legal to win a game 2-1?
  17. Go Tigers. Don’t lose another game until August 5th so Skubal stays in the American League.
  18. Enough of this holding out for a unicorn #2 starter with years of control who’ll cost a fortune. Compromise and find a rental who’ll at least make give you a favorable matchup for an extra 20% of games., even if throwing in the south bend Cubs bullpen catcher, which Jed believes to be an overpay on top of prospects #9 and #12 for Gausman is what it takes. This Assad/Rea/Taillon/Peterson experiment is cruel and will derail the season with the upcoming schedule. They’ve won 23 of 34 with below replacement level pitching (-.3 fWAR). This isn’t sustainable unless may 30th-july 2nd PCA shows up for the remaining 60 games and they’re able to maintain their 6.2 runs/game clip against better pitching staffs.
  19. These next couple of weeks could get really ugly. Cubs are 35-8 against teams bottom 20 in offensive war and only a modest 23-19 versus bottom 20 teams in pitching war.
  20. Montero is decent but he’s not horsefeathers Skubal. Stop making him look like he is.
  21. June 29th too. And then June 13th. That’s not that bad.
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