Cubs (Imanaga) v s Yankees (Warren): 7/13/25, 12:35pm

[Cubbies1996]

Just now, UMFan83 said:

Unlucky game so far…

 

This has the feel of a game the Cubs should win like 7-2 but are gonna end up losing 3-1 because of stupid luck. 

[UMFan83]

1 minute ago, Geographyhater8888 said:

5 hits and 2 walks, don’t let the 1 run distract you from the sexy wRC+.

FireJoeMorgan would have had a field day with you back in the day

[Illiterate Scholar]

I think Stanton's homerun is now the 4th longest fly ball and 9th hardest hit ball of the game so far

Edited July 13, 2025 by Illiterate Scholar

[Eeyore]

Stupid ballpark with small dimensions except for when the Cubs are hitting.

[DYMNO]

Alright, offense. Let’s go.

[Geographyhater8888]

3 minutes ago, UMFan83 said:

FireJoeMorgan would have had a field day with you back in the day

What side of the advanced stats aisle does he fall? Is he a preachy nerd or analytic denying Neanderthal?

[UMFan83]

Hilariously large strike zone for the Cubs batters today. 

and more line drives hit right to people 

[Cubbies1996]

Yankees have gotten so damn lucky today 😑😑😑

[UMFan83]

xBA of some Cubs outs today:

Seiya’s out - .560
Busch’s out - .460 

Brujan’s out - .380

Swanson’s out - .570

PCA’s out - .850

Busch’s out - .600

Nico’s out - .460

Kelly’s GIDP - .370

Cubs have the 6 highest exit velo’s today and 12 of the top 14

Edited July 13, 2025 by UMFan83

[PeanutPunch33]

does Milwaukee ever lose anymore 

[chibears55]

4 minutes ago, UMFan83 said:

Unlucky game so far…

 

Unlucky or just guys not coming through with a big hit.

I know the answer I'll get but I think that this is what separates me from most of you guys on here that loves these sabermetric stats, I look at the actual results.

I asked before and didn't get an answer if anyone knows, what exactly do they use to determine that a ball that was fielded for an out was expected to be a hit ?

Like with above xBA, is that supposed to mean that almost half the Cubs outs should of been hits and why should they have been hits if fielders are positioned right and make the playoffs?

 

I have to leave now and won't be back til later tonight, so not asking to argue or disrupt the game thread just a curious question and will look for responses and discuss tonight when I return. 

 

Go Cubs, Imanaga pitching awesome so far, let get some runs and a W today

[muntjack]

2 minutes ago, PeanutPunch33 said:

does Milwaukee ever lose anymore 

Looks like 31-12 to end the 1st half. Best record in MLB over that timespan, I'm sure. 

[BigSlick]

Too many baserunners today to only have 1 run. Figure it out 

[Rcal10]

7 minutes ago, chibears55 said:

Unlucky or just guys not coming through with a big hit.

I know the answer I'll get but I think that this is what separates me from most of you guys on here that loves these sabermetric stats, I look at the actual results.

I asked before and didn't get an answer if anyone knows, what exactly do they use to determine that a ball that was fielded for an out was expected to be a hit ?

Like with above xBA, is that supposed to mean that almost half the Cubs outs should of been hits and why should they have been hits if fielders are positioned right and make the playoffs?

 

I have to leave now and won't be back til later tonight, so not asking to argue or disrupt the game thread just a curious question and will look for responses and discuss tonight when I return. 

 

Go Cubs, Imanaga pitching awesome so far, let get some runs and a W today

Swanson hit a line drive over 100mph with 2 guys on.  Is that him not coming through or not lucky after doing everything right? 

Edited July 13, 2025 by Rcal10

[Rcal10]

1 minute ago, muntjack said:

Looks like 31-12 to end the 1st half. Best record in MLB over that timespan, I'm sure. 

Exactly. So soon enough the tide has to turn. At best they are a mid to high 80’s win team that has played at 113 win pace for 1/4 of the year. They will tail off. 

[Geographyhater8888]

Warren has been unlucky all year too. Daseball is bumb.

[Hot Sauce]

Let’s get Carson across the plate here. 

[UMFan83]

7 minutes ago, chibears55 said:

Unlucky or just guys not coming through with a big hit.

I know the answer I'll get but I think that this is what separates me from most of you guys on here that loves these sabermetric stats, I look at the actual results.

I asked before and didn't get an answer if anyone knows, what exactly do they use to determine that a ball that was fielded for an out was expected to be a hit ?

Like with above xBA, is that supposed to mean that almost half the Cubs outs should of been hits and why should they have been hits if fielders are positioned right and make the playoffs?

 

I have to leave now and won't be back til later tonight, so not asking to argue or disrupt the game thread just a curious question and will look for responses and discuss tonight when I return. 

 

Go Cubs, Imanaga pitching awesome so far, let get some runs and a W today

xBA takes a look at what percentage of balls hit with a specific exit velocity and launch angle end up being hits. 

So if 100 players hit the exact same line drive as Dansby did his last AB, 57 of them would have gotten a hit. Mostly because a line drive hit that hard is really hard to get to unless it’s hit right at or near a fielder.  

Edited July 13, 2025 by UMFan83

[PeanutPunch33]

3 minutes ago, muntjack said:

Looks like 31-12 to end the 1st half. Best record in MLB over that timespan, I'm sure. 

Crazy.  

At least the division is down to just 2 teams.  For a while there it looked like Cincy and STL were also good 

[Geographyhater8888]

Cubs can’t possibly screw this up, or even bad luck, right?

[muntjack]

Either could happen, unfortunately.

[UMFan83]

This Happ thing is so difficult to get used to. I see his AB complete and I’m looking forward to Tucker due up not Dansby

[Rcal10]

2 minutes ago, UMFan83 said:

xBA takes a look at what percentage of balls hit with a specific exit velocity and launch angle end up being hits. 

So if 100 players hit the exact same line drive as Dansby did his last AB, 57 of them would have gotten a hit. Mostly because a line drive hit that hard is really hard to get to unless it’s hit right at or near a fielder.  

Baseball is just stupid. A guy hits a ball over 100 mph for an out with guys in and fans suggest he choked. But then a guy hit a blooper at 58MPH that falls in and dans love him. Stupid game. I will take that blooper now. 

[Hot Sauce]

Dansby! Let’s go! 

[muntjack]

With a runner on third!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!