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It turns out the real Yu Darvish was the friends we made in this thread

Cubswin11

By Cubswin11,
in Chicago Cubs Talk

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Agony and Ivy First Round Pick

Agony and Ivy

Verified Member
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In all seriousness the futures markets can really overexpose books to liability if they're not careful. They react to rumors and speculation much more than normal lines. I think there was probably a flood of money on the Cubs to win the World Series as soon as Darvish whispers began so they had to move the odds regardless if the money was square or sharp. The real value is in the pennant futures though, sooooo if you're looking to dabble I'd start there.

I've been stomping season over-unders for a while now. I normally wait until closer to the season starting to look for value, though.

 

Yeah the team over/under bets were great for me last year. Usually I take ZiPS and any total +/- 3 on the win scale I bet on and it's done pretty well. Last year Khris Davis' o/u HR total was 27. I made the biggest bit I've ever made on that prop.

Agony and Ivy First Round Pick

Agony and Ivy

Verified Member
Posted
Posted
In all seriousness the futures markets can really overexpose books to liability if they're not careful. They react to rumors and speculation much more than normal lines. I think there was probably a flood of money on the Cubs to win the World Series as soon as Darvish whispers began so they had to move the odds regardless if the money was square or sharp. The real value is in the pennant futures though, sooooo if you're looking to dabble I'd start there.

 

I can't see there being much value in any baseball futures, especially Cubs related ones (bc the amount of people who bet on them).

 

Regular season win totals and such, maybe...anything relying on the playoffs, no thanks.

 

That's not to say there's NEVER going to be value in them (i.e. some team who has an easy road to the playoffs having their WS or pennant odds undervalued, esp if it's a lower tier playoff team)

 

That's why you stay away from the square shops like Bovada. The public has a much bigger say and the public teams are always priced too high.

squally1313 Myrtle Beach Pelicans

squally1313

Old-Timey Member
Posted
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I’ve already more or less pencilled him in in my mind. It makes too much sense plus the message board guy said it was happening.

I'm close, but then I remembered that until a couple weeks ago I had Cobb penciled in. Now that we don't have to juggle a potential Yelich addition to the payroll, we can knock this one out.

Brian MVP

Brian

Old-Timey Member
Posted
Posted
Sign Darvish tonight so the Brewers fans can think it happened because the Cubs were scared of what the Brewers did today.
evtki Prep Ball

evtki

Verified Member
Posted
Posted

People here thought the Brewers were better (more complete, better, same same) than us last year??? psshh

 

 

Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

Agony and Ivy First Round Pick

Agony and Ivy

Verified Member
Posted
Posted

[tweet]

[/tweet]

 

So I never really paid attention to Heyman until last trade deadline. But after the Bryce "article" and now this gem, I was wondering, has he always been this useless and full of non-information?

Bobson Dugnutt ACL Cubs

Bobson Dugnutt

Old-Timey Member
Posted
Posted
[tweet]
[/tweet]

 

So I never really paid attention to Heyman until last trade deadline. But after the Bryce "article" and now this gem, I was wondering, has he always been this useless and full of non-information?

 

yes.

Agony and Ivy First Round Pick

Agony and Ivy

Verified Member
Posted
Posted
[tweet]
[/tweet]

 

So I never really paid attention to Heyman until last trade deadline. But after the Bryce "article" and now this gem, I was wondering, has he always been this useless and full of non-information?

 

yes.

 

It's kind of embarrassing. I don't usually go with this media member hates my favorite team take, but he sure seems to dislike the Cubs for some reason.

javy knows my name Myrtle Beach Pelicans

javy knows my name

Old-Timey Member
Posted
Posted
[tweet]
[/tweet]

 

So I never really paid attention to Heyman until last trade deadline. But after the Bryce "article" and now this gem, I was wondering, has he always been this useless and full of non-information?

 

yes.

 

It's kind of embarrassing. I don't usually go with this media member hates my favorite team take, but he sure seems to dislike the Cubs for some reason.

 

I haven't noticed that with him. He's just the guy who tweets a minor scoop and then covers his ass completely before the 140 characters are up

David GOAT

David

Old-Timey Member
Posted
Posted
[tweet]
[/tweet]

 

So I never really paid attention to Heyman until last trade deadline. But after the Bryce "article" and now this gem, I was wondering, has he always been this useless and full of non-information?

 

yes.

 

It's kind of embarrassing. I don't usually go with this media member hates my favorite team take, but he sure seems to dislike the Cubs for some reason.

 

He doesn't dislike the Cubs. He just likes to write articles and Tweets that say nothing about nothing.

itisallpartoftheplan South Bend Cubs

itisallpartoftheplan

Old-Timey Member
Posted
Posted
[tweet]
[/tweet]

 

So I never really paid attention to Heyman until last trade deadline. But after the Bryce "article" and now this gem, I was wondering, has he always been this useless and full of non-information?

 

He also talked crap about Jalen Hurts being happy after Bama won the nat'l title game. Then spent the next day arguing with people who told him he was dumb.

CubinNY MVP

CubinNY

Old-Timey Member
Posted
Posted

He's the master at covering his ass. The Cubs are the front-runners, but look out for a mystery team or two.

 

There's talk that they are close but it's not a done deal just yet.

 

Anyone can write this horsefeathers.

Bobson Dugnutt ACL Cubs

Bobson Dugnutt

Old-Timey Member
Posted
Posted
[tweet]
[/tweet]

 

So I never really paid attention to Heyman until last trade deadline. But after the Bryce "article" and now this gem, I was wondering, has he always been this useless and full of non-information?

 

He also talked crap about Jalen Hurts being happy after Bama won the nat'l title game. Then spent the next day arguing with people who told him he was dumb.

 

yeah, he's been especially hot take-y lately.

CaliforniaRaisin GOAT

CaliforniaRaisin

Community Moderator
Posted
Posted
[tweet]
[/tweet]

 

So I never really paid attention to Heyman until last trade deadline. But after the Bryce "article" and now this gem, I was wondering, has he always been this useless and full of non-information?

 

He also talked crap about Jalen Hurts being happy after Bama won the nat'l title game. Then spent the next day arguing with people who told him he was dumb.

Did he do it too? I know Pete Prisco did.

 

[tweet]

[/tweet]

 

Heyman's fine when he's breaking news but when it's not concrete, he hedges his bets way too much. And when nothing is going on, he fills the space with mediocre analysis or predictions, nearly always deferring to the biggest spenders (Yankees and Dodgers).

Butterscup ACL Cubs

Butterscup

Verified Member
Posted
Posted
[tweet]
[/tweet]

 

So I never really paid attention to Heyman until last trade deadline. But after the Bryce "article" and now this gem, I was wondering, has he always been this useless and full of non-information?

 

Two or three years ago, after another one of his boring tweets that was again lacking any valuable information, I tweeted at him and said, "why in the hell do I follow you?"

 

He blocked me.

 

It is my greatest accomplishment on this planet.

minnesotacubsfan Chicago Cubs

minnesotacubsfan

Old-Timey Member
Posted
Posted
[tweet]
[/tweet]

 

So I never really paid attention to Heyman until last trade deadline. But after the Bryce "article" and now this gem, I was wondering, has he always been this useless and full of non-information?

 

Two or three years ago, after another one of his boring tweets that was again lacking any valuable information, I tweeted at him and said, "why in the hell do I follow you?"

 

He blocked me.

 

It is my greatest accomplishment on this planet.

 

 

 

He kinda had a point

itisallpartoftheplan South Bend Cubs

itisallpartoftheplan

Old-Timey Member
Posted
Posted
[tweet]
[/tweet]

 

So I never really paid attention to Heyman until last trade deadline. But after the Bryce "article" and now this gem, I was wondering, has he always been this useless and full of non-information?

 

He also talked crap about Jalen Hurts being happy after Bama won the nat'l title game. Then spent the next day arguing with people who told him he was dumb.

Did he do it too? I know Pete Prisco did.

 

[tweet]

[/tweet]

 

Heyman's fine when he's breaking news but when it's not concrete, he hedges his bets way too much. And when nothing is going on, he fills the space with mediocre analysis or predictions, nearly always deferring to the biggest spenders (Yankees and Dodgers).

 

My bad, it was Prisco...Heyman must've done something dumb other than that, that made me think it was him.

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