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Hairyducked Idiot All-Star

Hairyducked Idiot

Old-Timey Member
Posted
Posted

...those circumstances being where cybernetics are allowed in MLB?!

 

Lackey's 38. Theo gave him IMO one year too many and too much $, but here we are.

Lackey is a SSS and also happens to be a horse. Bartolo Colon existing doesn't mean any of those Ex Cubs should still be around because Dusty.

 

"Could" and "should" are not interchangeable

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David GOAT

David

Old-Timey Member
Posted
Posted

 

Kerry, Z, and Prior are all under forty. Under different circumstances maybe they could have still been pitching. :-(

...those circumstances being where cybernetics are allowed in MLB?!

 

Lackey's 38. Theo gave him IMO one year too many and too much $, but here we are.

 

Definitely not. Lackey has already earned most of that contract in year one. As long as he doesn't have a disastrous year next year, he'll have surplus value pretty easily.

Banedon GOAT

Banedon

Community Moderator
Posted
Posted
wow

 

[vine]vine.co/v/5X0aPiWAjT2[/vine]

 

I guess I don't know how to embed vines, but this is a look at the insane Werth send.

 

vine.co/v/5X0aPiWAjT2

 

I fixed your earlier one. You just need to paste the full URL....https:// and all.

Agony and Ivy First Round Pick

Agony and Ivy

Verified Member
Posted
Posted
538 has the Cubs at 64% to win the series

64% to make, 39% to win

 

Those odds haven't even factored in the pitcher adjustments...

 

FanGraphs has us at 49.4% to win the series but that doesn't take into account individual matchups and the state of the Dodgers staff. FiveThirtyEight is clearly the superior forecasting site.

JonJayCutler ACL Cubs

JonJayCutler

Verified Member
Posted
Posted
Oh.

 

[tweet]

[/tweet]

 

Good. Assuming we're not in danger of being eliminated Game 6 I much rather him throw 2 and 6, both on the road, than 3 and 7 with one at home. The idea of facing Rich Hill in a winner-take-all Game 7 feels much better to me, rational or not.

UMFan83 GOAT

UMFan83

Old-Timey Member
Posted
Posted
I was at Game 3 in 2008. horsefeathers the Dodgers.

 

I was at game 1. I can still see that freaking Loney HR carry into the seats. At least I got to see Maddux's 3rd to last appearance in the majors.

David GOAT

David

Old-Timey Member
Posted
Posted
Fangraphs thinks Dodgers are slight favorites

 

Season to date stats have the Cubs at 2-1 favorites. I choose to believe that is true because the odds are better and that makes me happier.

 

And 538 has it at 64-36 for the Cubs.

 

 

yep. 538 is pretty much right in line with fangraphs season to date stats...so that's prob the reason for the discrepancy right there. based on totally different things.

David GOAT

David

Old-Timey Member
Posted
Posted
I think it's been mentioned before but I what does Fangraphs use for their regular projections (as opposed to the season stats one)?

 

zips

 

or maybe a composite...not sure. but those types of projections (rather than raw stats).

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