7/19 - Nationals (TBD) vs Cubs (Hendricks): 7:05pm, Marquee

[Tryptamine]

The Tauchmann game

[UMFan83]

Am I wrong or does Tauchman seem to get thrown out or almost thrown out being aggressive on the base paths a lot?  Seems like he's the bad kind of aggressive out there.

[Jason Ross]

23 minutes ago, Irrelevant Dude said:

I thought that bouncer was going to be an infield single. Then I realized it was Mancini running and he was thrown out by 7 steps.

Here's the amazing thing: somehow there's 10% of the MLB slower than Trey Mancini.  Let that sink in.  

Edited July 20, 2023 by 1908_Cubs

[UMFan83]

Really not sure how Merryweather ended up as our 8th inning guy.  Watch those 2 straight singles dunked into CF kill us.

 

Yep we're tied.  Wish Tauchman didnt TOOTBLAN now.

Edited July 20, 2023 by UMFan83

[chibears55]

Wonder if the cubs make a deal for Candelario after the series...

[UMFan83]

If we lose by 1, we'll have gone 2-5 against the Nationals this year with a +10 RD

[Irrelevant Dude]

Just now, chibears55 said:

Wonder if the cubs make a deal for Candelario after the series...

Perhaps the Nationals are impressed by what they've seen out of Miles Mastrobuoni.

[UMFan83]

1 minute ago, chibears55 said:

Wonder if the cubs make a deal for Candelario after the series...

Lots of clammoring to trade for him last week.   Would be funny if we traded for him after his team crushed what little bit was left of the Cubs playoff hopes.

[Derwood]

Well now I've seen everything

[Bobson Dugnutt]

NICO!

FTC!

[UMFan83]

Oh ok I'll take a Nico Slam

[Ding Dong Johnson]

https://obviousshirts.com/products/happy-hoerney

[Ding Dong Johnson]

Yeah, I horsefeathers bought that. And I’m damn near 50.

[Andy]

I hold no illusions of legit getting back in the race but it would be nice to clobber STL a few times over this next week and a half.

[UMFan83]

Kind of crazy looking at the schedule that the Cubs only have to leave Chicago 1 time for 4 games between July 10th and August 6th.  They had the ASB followed by their longest homestand of the year, followed by a road trip to the South side and then St. Louis for 4 games (their only time leaving town), then a 7 game homestand.

[Ding Dong Johnson]

They got the power, they got the speed.

[Nolansomebody]

HORENEY FOR GRAND SLAMS!

[chibears55]

1 hour ago, Andy said:

I hold no illusions of legit getting back in the race but it would be nice to clobber STL a few times over this next week and a half.

Definitely,  they have the Cardinals(8) and Whitesox (2) the next 10 games..

Sweep the Sox and win at least 5 from the Cardinals and im happy

[Brock Beauchamp]

1 hour ago, Andy said:

I hold no illusions of legit getting back in the race but it would be nice to clobber STL a few times over this next week and a half.

STL is pretty hot right now, I hope the Cubs punch them in the face a few times and remind them they’re really bad this year. 

[Derwood]

TBD just couldn't pull through for the Nats

[CubUgly]

14 hours ago, muntjack said:

Didn't Wisdom just homer off a righty? He's sitting.  Amaya sitting, as well, even though he's been catching Kyle.  

Yeah, two real head scratchers.   Rossi ain't the only manager who overplays the righty/lefty thing - but these two seemed particularly egregious to me.

[Jason Ross]

18 minutes ago, CubUgly said:

Yeah, two real head scratchers.   Rossi ain't the only manager who overplays the righty/lefty thing - but these two seemed particularly egregious to me.

Starting Barnhart over Amaya right now is egregious; the Cubs are a team who really should be playing the young players over the crappy older ones (both for the future and now; their best bet to survive until July 31st is likely gambling that the young players are simply better).  Not starting Wisdom is fine; Wisdom is bad, regardless of the anecdotal HR he recently hit.  Miles Mastrobuoni is bad, too, so I'm not trying to say starting Mastrobuoni is the right choice, either.  I'm just not sure it makes any difference.  If there's an argument to be made, however, Mastrobuoni has shown some level of competence at 3b (+1 DRS in 100 innings) and Patrick Wisdom is real bad over there (-5 DRS in under 400 innings, -9 DRS in his last 1100).  With a groundball heavy pitcher, if both are bad, go with the one who will field the ground ball.

Edited July 20, 2023 by 1908_Cubs

[CubUgly]

19 minutes ago, 1908_Cubs said:

Starting Barnhart over Amaya right now is egregious; the Cubs are a team who really should be playing the young players over the crappy older ones (both for the future and now; their best bet to survive until July 31st is likely gambling that the young players are simply better).  Not starting Wisdom is fine; Wisdom is bad, regardless of the anecdotal HR he recently hit.  Miles Mastrobuoni is bad, too, so I'm not trying to say starting Mastrobuoni is the right choice, either.  I'm just not sure it makes any difference.  If there's an argument to be made, however, Mastrobuoni has shown some level of competence at 3b (+1 DRS in 100 innings) and Patrick Wisdom is real bad over there (-5 DRS in under 400 innings, -9 DRS in his last 1100).  With a groundball heavy pitcher, if both are bad, go with the one who will field the ground ball.

Wisdom has hit 3 home runs in his last 3 starts.  In the long run I agree with your logic but he's the type of player that's feast or famine and when he feasts he hits homers in bunches, just think you gotta ride that for all it's worth when it's happening. 

[Jason Ross]

4 minutes ago, CubUgly said:

Wisdom has hit 3 home runs in his last 3 starts.  In the long run I agree with your logic but he's the type of player that's feast or famine and when he feasts he hits homers in bunches, just think you gotta ride that for all it's worth when it's happening. 

Riding the hot hand is a practice in gambling.  Degenerate gamblers will ride the hot hand into the ground, believing that a good run in the dice/cards, which is attributable mostly to anecdotal events, will continue and that the best thing to do is go until you're no "hot" any more.  What does that result in?  A net-negative balance.  Patrick Wisdom is more likely every game to not be "hot" any more, than he is to be hot, because Patrick Wisdom is bad.  You have to know when to put the dice down.  

[javy knows my name]

3 hours ago, 1908_Cubs said:

Riding the hot hand is a practice in gambling.  Degenerate gamblers will ride the hot hand into the ground, believing that a good run in the dice/cards, which is attributable mostly to anecdotal events, will continue and that the best thing to do is go until you're no "hot" any more.  What does that result in?  A net-negative balance.  Patrick Wisdom is more likely every game to not be "hot" any more, than he is to be hot, because Patrick Wisdom is bad.  You have to know when to put the dice down.  

Actually, you're the one falling victim to the gambler's fallacy here