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CubUgly

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Everything posted by CubUgly

  1. CubUgly
    I think he was at 102 pitches, that's probably the reason.
  2. CubUgly
    He got ALOT of swing and miss today.
  3. CubUgly
    Gallen's ERA is good but his underlying numbers are not. 1.36 WHIP. Hard hit rate is pretty high. He's a candidate for regression - hope it starts today. Weather may help him though.
  4. CubUgly
    Agreed, they always reference soft factors for catchers like calling games and how they work with pitchers. Can't be quantified which kills some but it's relevant and fairly significant. It's IMHO why Contreras isn't catching anymore, moreso than pitch framing.
  5. CubUgly
    I didn't say it was a flawed model - just said we've seen teams even through a full season that belie the metrics and end up finishing better than teams that have significantly higher run differential even over 162 games - and it's why some folks don't lean all in on analytics. It's a good predictive tool you are correct and it's not a flawed model, it's just not perfect. None are. There is just nuance and baseball is about as random a sport as there is and as much as we try to boil it all down to numbers and stats, that randomness rears its head constantly. But it gives us endless points of discussion, which is what makes baseball so great to me.
  6. CubUgly
    Of course, I was not saying that either.
  7. CubUgly
    I was speaking more about the run differential thing than Busch actually.
  8. CubUgly
    You would think water will find its level eventually in this regard, but we've seen years and examples where it never does. Which is why some folks have a hard time leaning all in on analytics.
  9. CubUgly
    Sutt is kinda like the lifelong friend you genuinely love, but after about 5 minutes you can't be around him anymore at the party and you have to avoid him the rest of the evening.
  10. CubUgly
    Honestly, with how quickly he adjusted and actually thrived at third I had little doubt he could adjust at other positions defensively. The question was given the unevenness of his year offense last year could he be consistent hitter. The jury is still out, but I think he can be.
  11. CubUgly
    I hear you, forums like this can be judgmental on just about everyone and everything, and specifically this site can be about as pointedly and aggressively so as any I've been on. I myself am not past passing judgement so I can't be a hypocrite. But the game broadcast is content most of us either directly or indirectly pay for - so commenting on it is fair game I think. I certainly could not do it at a high level. But, in the moment when he Sutt said it, my friend and I texted simultaneously - "did you just hear that"?
  12. CubUgly
    Man, when he said the fans were booing PCA because of the home runs he hit off them last year, and genuinely believed that.....I could only shake my head and laugh. Even Boog who usually likes to embarrass him was speechless and said nothing.
  13. CubUgly
    I'm not privy to the dynamics of the Dodger fan base, I do know everyone says the traffic to and from is horrific hence all the late arrivals and early departures. Maybe Apple mikes up the crowd noise higher than most broadcasts making it seem louder? But it jumped out at me how loud they would get on cans of corn.
  14. CubUgly
    Exactly, went to sleep in the 3rd thinking we probably ain't winning this one - pleasant surprise. Good for Dansby. Anyone else notice the Dodger crowd seems to either have bad sight lines or a collectively poor depth perception as they burst into fairly loud reactions on even routine fly balls as if they are all leaving the park?
  15. CubUgly
    If we go 3-3 in our next 6.....I'll be ecstatic.
  16. CubUgly
    Yeah, after that first throw - I was really nervous about Kingery out there. That was about as routine a DP as you were going get in the ninth and he looked like Lester throwing to a base there. You are right, pitcher hitting better than what almost happened.l
  17. CubUgly
    They said on the broadcast he hadn't played 3rd base in 5 years, and it looked like it. Not sure how much practice time he put in there but that little gamble trying to hide him out at third almost backfired on CC.
  18. CubUgly
    I think age is starting to catch up to the Phillies. Schwarber, Turner, Realmuto, Nola, Harper - all the big $$ folks they tied up with long contracts are all 32 are older. Their window is closing. Most players are past their prime production by that age, I think you are starting to see that with the Phillies. There's still some quality production in that group, but I don't think any of that group has their best years ahead of them. Plus, they are not a very good defensive team. We are playing them at a good time, I think they will make a run at some time this year, but I think their peak is probably been achieved in the past with this group.
  19. CubUgly
    Honestly, Nola has seen his best years. And I say that as someone who always really liked Nola. If you put he and Rea's numbers side by side since 2023 Rea compares favorably. Nola of course has the higher level success in years previous and has the name pedigree because of that, but those two as we stand today, I actually would not say it's a mismatch. If anything the Cubs let Nola off the hook last night, started swinging at pitches they were taking earlier in the game and getting walks on. Really should have gotten more than 5 runs.
  20. CubUgly
    Well said Macarthur
  21. CubUgly
    Agreed, I'd take a split right now....though it seems like we caught both the Mets and Phillies at a good time.
  22. CubUgly
    No doubt. He could not have looked worse his first 6 at bats, it was horrific. But you can make an argument he has had two hits that basically won us 2 ball games. That to me is already worth the signing if he flames out the rest of the year.
  23. CubUgly
    Very encouraging the way Brown persevered - hell be basically got 7 outs that inning in terms of what should have happened.
  24. CubUgly
    Passion is the true enemy of reason and we are all passionate here and I'll wager have all said something stupid on here over a long season.
  25. CubUgly
    The swing and miss was fantastic. He made Schwarber and Harper look like minor leaguers!!!
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