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CubUgly

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Everything posted by CubUgly

  1. Yeah, I think because we see him every day we don't realize how many tough chances he makes look routine.
  2. I thought that curious as well. And I know every team goes through this not just the Cubs, but man when we go through these stretches were no one is hitting for a sustained period of time, it seems like it will never end.
  3. Yes, it's just a matter of time before this all catches up with us. It could well happen on this upcoming road trip.
  4. Yes, this ai about as good as it gets, we need to hold on to this feeling as long as we can - there will be times, and likely multiple, later this year where we want to DFA everyone and fire everyone.
  5. The Giants Park is really nice - of the trendy new parks folks started building around in the 90's I like that one and the Pirates the best. But nothing beats the Wrigley experience.
  6. Yeah, they smoked about 5 or 6 balls at least that found gloves last night. We had some good fortune and them not so much in that regard.
  7. That's the third game you could say he made a huge contribution to winning for us already this year. If he does nothing else that's pretty valuable.
  8. I think he was at 102 pitches, that's probably the reason.
  9. Gallen's ERA is good but his underlying numbers are not. 1.36 WHIP. Hard hit rate is pretty high. He's a candidate for regression - hope it starts today. Weather may help him though.
  10. Agreed, they always reference soft factors for catchers like calling games and how they work with pitchers. Can't be quantified which kills some but it's relevant and fairly significant. It's IMHO why Contreras isn't catching anymore, moreso than pitch framing.
  11. I didn't say it was a flawed model - just said we've seen teams even through a full season that belie the metrics and end up finishing better than teams that have significantly higher run differential even over 162 games - and it's why some folks don't lean all in on analytics. It's a good predictive tool you are correct and it's not a flawed model, it's just not perfect. None are. There is just nuance and baseball is about as random a sport as there is and as much as we try to boil it all down to numbers and stats, that randomness rears its head constantly. But it gives us endless points of discussion, which is what makes baseball so great to me.
  12. I was speaking more about the run differential thing than Busch actually.
  13. You would think water will find its level eventually in this regard, but we've seen years and examples where it never does. Which is why some folks have a hard time leaning all in on analytics.
  14. Sutt is kinda like the lifelong friend you genuinely love, but after about 5 minutes you can't be around him anymore at the party and you have to avoid him the rest of the evening.
  15. Honestly, with how quickly he adjusted and actually thrived at third I had little doubt he could adjust at other positions defensively. The question was given the unevenness of his year offense last year could he be consistent hitter. The jury is still out, but I think he can be.
  16. I hear you, forums like this can be judgmental on just about everyone and everything, and specifically this site can be about as pointedly and aggressively so as any I've been on. I myself am not past passing judgement so I can't be a hypocrite. But the game broadcast is content most of us either directly or indirectly pay for - so commenting on it is fair game I think. I certainly could not do it at a high level. But, in the moment when he Sutt said it, my friend and I texted simultaneously - "did you just hear that"?
  17. Man, when he said the fans were booing PCA because of the home runs he hit off them last year, and genuinely believed that.....I could only shake my head and laugh. Even Boog who usually likes to embarrass him was speechless and said nothing.
  18. I'm not privy to the dynamics of the Dodger fan base, I do know everyone says the traffic to and from is horrific hence all the late arrivals and early departures. Maybe Apple mikes up the crowd noise higher than most broadcasts making it seem louder? But it jumped out at me how loud they would get on cans of corn.
  19. Exactly, went to sleep in the 3rd thinking we probably ain't winning this one - pleasant surprise. Good for Dansby. Anyone else notice the Dodger crowd seems to either have bad sight lines or a collectively poor depth perception as they burst into fairly loud reactions on even routine fly balls as if they are all leaving the park?
  20. Yeah, after that first throw - I was really nervous about Kingery out there. That was about as routine a DP as you were going get in the ninth and he looked like Lester throwing to a base there. You are right, pitcher hitting better than what almost happened.l
  21. They said on the broadcast he hadn't played 3rd base in 5 years, and it looked like it. Not sure how much practice time he put in there but that little gamble trying to hide him out at third almost backfired on CC.
  22. I think age is starting to catch up to the Phillies. Schwarber, Turner, Realmuto, Nola, Harper - all the big $$ folks they tied up with long contracts are all 32 are older. Their window is closing. Most players are past their prime production by that age, I think you are starting to see that with the Phillies. There's still some quality production in that group, but I don't think any of that group has their best years ahead of them. Plus, they are not a very good defensive team. We are playing them at a good time, I think they will make a run at some time this year, but I think their peak is probably been achieved in the past with this group.
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