10/14 NLCS Game 1 World Champs (Quintana) @ Dodgers (Kershaw) 7 pm TBS

[Bull]

Oh - the only player we lose for 2020 is Zobrist. We're going to the NLCS that year, too.

Worlds Largest Window

[SouthSideRyan]

Oh - the only player we lose for 2020 is Zobrist. We're going to the NLCS that year, too.

Worlds Largest Window

 

I'm mostly excited for the 2021 bridge year.

[Sammy Sofa]

More rumblings that Quintana is going tonight, but for some reason I really want Lackey to start. He seemed to get stronger as the season went on (2.51 ERA in Sept), and knowing it's almost definitely his last ever start we'd get ultimate red-assed Lackey. Let the wild donkey-faced horsefeathers give the last his stupid old arm has to give.

 

I'm still totally on board the "Let the Surly Ol' Mule start Game 1" train, though I'm weirdly torn on whether I'd want Lester or Quintana starting tomorrow. Weren't both better on the road than at Wrigley this season? Probably just a lot of noise (especially in Quintana's case), but I thought someone pointed out here how Lester had some surprising home/road splits in 2017.

 

I could, however, just be totally making this up.

[Sammy Sofa]

I want a super bullpen pretty badly. I dont know how we're gonna do it, assuming we're letting Davis walk, but these playoff games would be a lot less stressful if I could count on smooth sailing in the 7th-9th. Im still a little upset that we didnt get Doolittle tbh.

 

It's pretty crazy how huge a difference be if Wilson hadn't inexplicably stopped being Wilson the second he joined the Cubs. I fully expect Carl to flip it back on any time now, as he seems wont to do when he gets like this, so just having Wilson being himself would all of a sudden make this a pretty decent bullpen between him, Strop, Carl, Montgomery and Davis. It's been a real kick to the nuts to not be able to rely on him at all.

[UMFan83]

Can't believe Schwarbs is starting against Kershaw. Why is Kershaw so much worse against lefties this year?

[Derwood]

Can't believe Schwarbs is starting against Kershaw. Why is Kershaw so much worse against lefties this year?

 

Rizzo broke him

[squally1313]

More rumblings that Quintana is going tonight, but for some reason I really want Lackey to start. He seemed to get stronger as the season went on (2.51 ERA in Sept), and knowing it's almost definitely his last ever start we'd get ultimate red-assed Lackey. Let the wild donkey-faced horsefeathers give the last his stupid old arm has to give.

 

I'm still totally on board the "Let the Surly Ol' Mule start Game 1" train, though I'm weirdly torn on whether I'd want Lester or Quintana starting tomorrow. Weren't both better on the road than at Wrigley this season? Probably just a lot of noise (especially in Quintana's case), but I thought someone pointed out here how Lester had some surprising home/road splits in 2017.

 

I could, however, just be totally making this up.

 

I was ready to agree with you on Lester because I remembered the two starts where he didn't make it out of the second (one of them he didn't make it out of the first) were at home, but even with those starts he still has slightly better numbers at home this year. 4.27 vs 4.41 ERA, FIP about the same.

[Jaxbro]

Surprised Rondon was added at the expense of Wilson versus a position player like Martin.

[Aaron_Kennelly]

[TMan92]

I think Jose will be nails again tonight and playoff Kershaw shows up.

[TMan92]

Additionally Kershaw pitched 8 days ago. Weren’t his numbers pretty bad on extended rest and better on short rest? Can someone look at this?

[Liam Neeson]

Additionally Kershaw pitched 8 days ago. Weren’t his numbers pretty bad on extended rest and better on short rest? Can someone look at this?

 

Kershaw Career Rest stats

 

 

So no it doesn't look like they're bad with more rest.

[Sammy Sofa]

More rumblings that Quintana is going tonight, but for some reason I really want Lackey to start. He seemed to get stronger as the season went on (2.51 ERA in Sept), and knowing it's almost definitely his last ever start we'd get ultimate red-assed Lackey. Let the wild donkey-faced horsefeathers give the last his stupid old arm has to give.

 

I'm still totally on board the "Let the Surly Ol' Mule start Game 1" train, though I'm weirdly torn on whether I'd want Lester or Quintana starting tomorrow. Weren't both better on the road than at Wrigley this season? Probably just a lot of noise (especially in Quintana's case), but I thought someone pointed out here how Lester had some surprising home/road splits in 2017.

 

I could, however, just be totally making this up.

 

I was ready to agree with you on Lester because I remembered the two starts where he didn't make it out of the second (one of them he didn't make it out of the first) were at home, but even with those starts he still has slightly better numbers at home this year. 4.27 vs 4.41 ERA, FIP about the same.

 

Cool; I figured it was probably me imagining things.

[KrisBryantisaBeast]

Saw a tweet that Corey Seager is not on the NLCS roster.

[itisallpartoftheplan]

[Sammy Sofa]

Can't believe Schwarbs is starting against Kershaw. Why is Kershaw so much worse against lefties this year?

 

Did I miss the Cubs' lineup being posted somewhere?

[itisallpartoftheplan]

Can't believe Schwarbs is starting against Kershaw. Why is Kershaw so much worse against lefties this year?

 

Did I miss the Cubs' lineup being posted somewhere?

 

No, but it's been reported by a few writers that Schwarber is likely in the lineup.

[Cubswin11]

Can't believe Schwarbs is starting against Kershaw. Why is Kershaw so much worse against lefties this year?

 

Did I miss the Cubs' lineup being posted somewhere?

No just a tweet that Jesse Rogers was on the radio saying he’s in the lineup.

[Sammy Sofa]

[tweet]

[/tweet]

 

After the shenanigans of the last series...

 

[Transmogrified Tiger]

If MLB let's them do this after their DL shenanigans all season long, I will be angry.

 

[tweet]

[/tweet]

[Cubswin11]

Sooo my guess is this, kinda sucks no Almora but if the Kershaw lefty thing is real this makes sense.

 

 

Jay CF

Bryant 3B

Rizzo 1B

Willy C

Schwarber LF

Russell SS

Heyward RF

Javy 2B

Q P

[Cubswin11]

If MLB let's them do this after their DL shenanigans all season long, I will be angry.

 

[tweet]

[/tweet]

Yeah that’s BS. Especially if it’s for like Alex Wood after Game 4 or a bullpen guy the use a lot in first 2-3 games.

[Agony and Ivy]

For the first time since 2015 they are significant underdogs.

 

Vegas odds before the season on them winning the World Series was 3-1. Now the cubs are 9-2. Think about that. They enter the somewhat random MLB playoffs, make the final 4, outlasting teams like the Indians and Nats. And their odds got worse. The Yankees, the worst team on paper in my mind, had better odds before last nights loss. The team that relies on Didi gregorius to produce its offense.

 

For once they are undervalued on vegas. Possibly for the first time ever. I’d bet if I were a gambler.

 

The six months from being 3:1 favorites and now being 9:2 had a significant amount of data come in. Mainly the Dodgers winning 103 games and Cubs winning 92. If you think the .625 winning percentage for the Dodgers and the .566 winning percentage for the Cubs (by BaseRuns) are the true talent levels for both teams then the Cubs should be +180 (35.5%) for the series.

 

At my book they were +170 (37%) to win the NLCS and my numbers said they should be more like +130 (43.5%) to win the NLCS, so I rolled over a portion of my NLDS winnings for this matchup. We're underdogs but we absolutely should be underdogs, but I am going to love upsetting the mighty Dodgers.

[TMan92]

Saw a tweet that Corey Seager is not on the NLCS roster.

 

That doesn’t suck.

[PackLandVA]

Why s it BS. It's within the rules, right? I'd imagine the Cubs would do something similar if the situation arises.