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Old-Timey Member
Posted

Cleveland is horrifically bad on offense against LHP.  I don't know what the wind is supposed to do this week but assuming it's not howling out this should be a series where the pitching staff can lick its wounds a bit.

Posted
29 minutes ago, Bertz said:

Cleveland is horrifically bad on offense against LHP.  I don't know what the wind is supposed to do this week but assuming it's not howling out this should be a series where the pitching staff can lick its wounds a bit.

Cold front moving in during the afternoon so I assume it will be blowing in tonight. Rest of the week probably will be a different story. Either way, Cubs should take 2/3 at minimum from Cleveland

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Old-Timey Member
Posted
3 hours ago, Brian707 said:

Cold front moving in during the afternoon so I assume it will be blowing in tonight. Rest of the week probably will be a different story. Either way, Cubs should take 2/3 at minimum from Cleveland

Not really a cold front. Game time temperature is 80. Wind not much of a factor for tonight. 

Posted

Gavin Williams isn't very good and their offense is Bad. Don't let Ramirez go nuclear and it should be fairly easy to keep them in check. Per the FG starting lineup, they feature:

  • a DH (batting second) with a lower OBP than Dansby and only 20 more points of slugging
  • Carlos Santana batting cleanup with a lower OBP and SLG than Nico Hoerner
  • Lane Thomas batting fifth with a .168/.250/.265 slash line
  • Nolan Jones batting seventh with a .219/.305/.326 slash line (to be fair, vastly underperforming his xwOBA)
  • Bo Naylor batting ninth with a .168/.272/.359 slash line
Posted
6 minutes ago, squally1313 said:

Gavin Williams isn't very good and their offense is Bad. Don't let Ramirez go nuclear and it should be fairly easy to keep them in check. Per the FG starting lineup, they feature:

  • a DH (batting second) with a lower OBP than Dansby and only 20 more points of slugging
  • Carlos Santana batting cleanup with a lower OBP and SLG than Nico Hoerner
  • Lane Thomas batting fifth with a .168/.250/.265 slash line
  • Nolan Jones batting seventh with a .219/.305/.326 slash line (to be fair, vastly underperforming his xwOBA)
  • Bo Naylor batting ninth with a .168/.272/.359 slash line

And three right handers pitching against us for Cleveland....correct?

Posted
3 minutes ago, CubUgly said:

And three right handers pitching against us for Cleveland....correct?

Yeah. Bibee (tomorrow's starter) was a good pitcher last year (26th in fWAR, better than Shota as a comparison) but his strikeout rate is down from 9.7 to 7.8 this year, so hopefully that continues. Luis Ortiz (Thursday) is pretty mediocre in a 'worse metric version of Ben Brown but without the horrendous BABIP luck' way. 

 

Old-Timey Member
Posted
19 minutes ago, squally1313 said:

Yeah. Bibee (tomorrow's starter) was a good pitcher last year (26th in fWAR, better than Shota as a comparison) but his strikeout rate is down from 9.7 to 7.8 this year, so hopefully that continues. Luis Ortiz (Thursday) is pretty mediocre in a 'worse metric version of Ben Brown but without the horrendous BABIP luck' way. 

 

I think all three of their pitchers are good enough where you shouldn't be shocked if they have a great night, though clearly not good enough where it's the expectation.

If their offense wasn't so anemic I'd be low key worried about this series.  As is though I'm only worried for always on "baseball is dumb" reasons.

Old-Timey Member
Posted (edited)

At the game. Flags blowing a bit out to left. No cold front. Here with shorts and a jersey. Go Cubs. First game of the week. Going again on Saturday. 

Edited by Rcal10
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