General Cubs Chit-Chat

[Tracer Bullet]

the wins are impressive but we only have 14 losses.

 

next closest teams have 20 losses. that's insane.

[Derwood]

Cubs are 34-14 after 48 games

 

in 2015, they won their 34th game on June 16 (34-27, game 61)

In 2015, they reached 20 games over .500 on August 23 (71-51, game 122)

 

in 2012 we didn't win our 34th game until halfway through july.

 

True, but comparing to a 97 win 2015 team and seeing the current pace is way more fun

[weis21]

i love (and this is no sarcasm at all) how this forum is pretty much just one big Cubs circle jerk nowadays.

[JennieGarthAlgar]

Does anyone know what our record is in games when our typical top 5 hitters (Fowler, Heyward, Bryant, Rizzo, Zobrist) don't start?

 

Still very good, I am guessing.

[raw]

Does anyone know what our record is in games when our typical top 5 hitters (Fowler, Heyward, Bryant, Rizzo, Zobrist) don't start?

 

Still very good, I am guessing.

 

W/o Rizzo 1-0

W/o Bryant 1-0

W/o Zobrist 2-1 (1-0 loss to Padres)

W/o Fowler 2-1 (loss to Padres day before 1-0 loss)

W/o Heyward 7-3 (3 straight losses in SF and STL)

[Banedon]

Cubs have 14 losses. 6 other teams are tied for the next best at 21.

[Derwood]

Average score of Cubs games this year:

 

Cubs - 5.6

Opp. - 2.9

[Banedon]

Average score of Cubs games this year:

 

Cubs - 5.6

Opp. - 2.9

 

Too close. Need to do better.

[UMFan83]

Tomorrow is June 1st and the difference between the Cubs RD (+133) and the 2nd best team (Red Sox +76) is still a better RD (+57) than any other team besides those 2.

 

One more stat is that the Cubs are underperforming their pythag by 4 games (39-10). That means they are playing a level of baseball that would project to a 128-34 season. It's just about June and they are still playing at this level.

[David]

Tomorrow is June 1st and the difference between the Cubs RD (+133) and the 2nd best team (Red Sox +76) is still a better RD (+57) than any other team besides those 2.

 

One more stat is that the Cubs are underperforming their pythag by 4 games (39-10). That means they are playing a level of baseball that would project to a 128-34 season. It's just about June and they are still playing at this level.

 

And it pretty much goes back to the last two months of last season.

[Andy]

Heyward is going to go on a line drive rampage soon to get his numbers back to where they generally are and I can't wait to see what happens when he joins the rest of the offense. Rizzo is due for a hot streak as well. He knocked the piss out of that double yesterday so hopefully it's about to start.

[UMFan83]

Tomorrow is June 1st and the difference between the Cubs RD (+133) and the 2nd best team (Red Sox +76) is still a better RD (+57) than any other team besides those 2.

 

One more stat is that the Cubs are underperforming their pythag by 4 games (39-10). That means they are playing a level of baseball that would project to a 128-34 season. It's just about June and they are still playing at this level.

 

And it pretty much goes back to the last two months of last season.

 

Forgot about that

 

The Cubs finished their last 63 games at 45-18 with a +83 RD. This year in our first 49 games we've gone 35-14 with a +133 RD

 

So that means over our last 112 games we've gone 80-32 with a +217 RD. Looking back to 2003, when I stopped looking out of laziness, the highest single season RD was last years Blue Jays at +221. Again this is over a 162 game season, the 2015-2016 Cubs played 50 less games.

[Andy]

I was just reading an SI.com article about Zobrist's fantasy success and it mentioned that Anthony Rizzo has had a runner in scoring position for just over 40% of the pitches he has seen this year. That is ludicrous.

[Clem Fandango]

http://espn.go.com/blog/statsinfo/post/_/id/119152/chicago-cubs-jake-arrieta-doing-it-all-this-season

 

Lots of crazy stats in there, but I enjoyed this one which doesn't get enough recognition, I think:

 

They have been the best defensive team in baseball. The Cubs turn 74 percent of balls in play into outs, the best in baseball, and lead the majors with 32 defensive runs saved (DRS). They are tied for sixth in DRS by infielders, are seventh in DRS by outfielders, are tied for third in DRS by pitchers, and are fourth in DRS by catchers.

[jersey cubs fan]

http://espn.go.com/blog/statsinfo/post/_/id/119152/chicago-cubs-jake-arrieta-doing-it-all-this-season

 

Lots of crazy stats in there, but I enjoyed this one which doesn't get enough recognition, I think:

 

They have been the best defensive team in baseball. The Cubs turn 74 percent of balls in play into outs, the best in baseball, and lead the majors with 32 defensive runs saved (DRS). They are tied for sixth in DRS by infielders, are seventh in DRS by outfielders, are tied for third in DRS by pitchers, and are fourth in DRS by catchers.

And then miggy

[badger]

Evaluation at the 1/3 marker:

 

[tweet]https://twitter.com/lenkasper/status/738234823383257088[/tweet]

[UMFan83]

I know these are very rudimentary numbers and there are much better ones to use, but sometimes its fun just to look at back of baseball card numbers when they look awesome. I present: the Cubs rotation currently.

 

Jake Arrieta - 1.56 ERA/0.89 WHIP

Jason Hammel - 2.09 ERA/1.16 WHIP

Jon Lester - 2.29 ERA/1.02 WHIP

Kyle Hendricks - 2.84 ERA/0.92 WHIP

John Lackey - 3.16 ERA/0.97 WHIP

[jersey cubs fan]

horsefeathering lackey

[Aaron_Kennelly]

I know these are very rudimentary numbers and there are much better ones to use, but sometimes its fun just to look at back of baseball card numbers when they look awesome. I present: the Cubs rotation currently.

 

Jake Arrieta - 1.56 ERA/0.89 WHIP

Jason Hammel - 2.09 ERA/1.16 WHIP

Jon Lester - 2.29 ERA/1.02 WHIP

Kyle Hendricks - 2.84 ERA/0.92 WHIP

John Lackey - 3.16 ERA/0.97 WHIP

 

Our starters, as a whole, have given up a .196 batting average against and have a 0.98 WHIP and a 2.38 ERA.

[bukie]

There are 9 games separating the best AL record from the 14th best AL record.

 

There are 8 games separating the Cubs and the Pirates, who have the 4th best NL record.

[bukie]

The Cubs starting staff overall has a 2.36 ERA, which is behind only Kershaw, Syndergaard, Bumgarner and Cueto in the NL.

 

The Cubs have allowed 150 runs. Only 3 other teams in baseball have allowed fewer than 200. The Reds have allowed 322.

[David]

You now have a couple of options for the Fangraphs playoff odds...you can go by the projections, as it normally has one (they have Cubs at 102.3 wins and a 97.4% chance at winning the division)

 

If you switch it to season to date stats rather than projections, it has the Cubs at 113 wins (lol) but only 93.2% to win the division

 

http://www.fangraphs.com/coolstandings.aspx?type=1&lg=div&date=current

[badger]

You now have a couple of options for the Fangraphs playoff odds...you can go by the projections, as it normally has one (they have Cubs at 102.3 wins and a 97.4% chance at winning the division)

 

If you switch it to season to date stats rather than projections, it has the Cubs at 113 wins (lol) but only 93.2% to win the division

 

http://www.fangraphs.com/coolstandings.aspx?type=1&lg=div&date=current

 

 

Can you explain that seemingly counterintuitive discrepency?

 

Also 35% probablity to the WS with the next best team at 9.5%, lol.

[jersey cubs fan]

You now have a couple of options for the Fangraphs playoff odds...you can go by the projections, as it normally has one (they have Cubs at 102.3 wins and a 97.4% chance at winning the division)

 

If you switch it to season to date stats rather than projections, it has the Cubs at 113 wins (lol) but only 93.2% to win the division

 

http://www.fangraphs.com/coolstandings.aspx?type=1&lg=div&date=current

 

 

Can you explain that seemingly counterintuitive discrepency?

 

Also 35% probablity to the WS with the next best team at 9.5%, lol.

 

There is a 5% chance the Cubs break the system, win every remaining game and get voted out of MLB before the season officially ends.

[UMFan83]

You now have a couple of options for the Fangraphs playoff odds...you can go by the projections, as it normally has one (they have Cubs at 102.3 wins and a 97.4% chance at winning the division)

 

If you switch it to season to date stats rather than projections, it has the Cubs at 113 wins (lol) but only 93.2% to win the division

 

http://www.fangraphs.com/coolstandings.aspx?type=1&lg=div&date=current

 

 

Can you explain that seemingly counterintuitive discrepency?

 

Also 35% probablity to the WS with the next best team at 9.5%, lol.

 

Just a guess but it might have to do with the fact that the Cardinals have the 3rd best run differential in the NL but are 2 games over .500.