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Thursday, November 10th

Oakland Raiders (4-4) @ San Diego Chargers (4-4)

 

Sunday, November 13th

 

EARLY GAMES

Arizona (2-6) @ Philadelphia (3-5)

Jacksonville (2-6) @ Indianapolis (0-9)

Denver (3-5) @ Kansas City (4-4)

Pittsburgh (6-3) @ Cincinnati (6-2)

Buffalo (5-3) @ Dallas (4-4)

New Orleans (6-3) @ Atlanta (5-3)

St. Louis (1-7) @ Cleveland (3-5)

Washington (3-5) @ Miami (1-7)

Tennessee (4-4) @ Carolina (2-6)

Houston (6-3) @ Tampa Bay (4-4)

 

LATE GAMES

Baltimore (6-2) @ Seattle (2-6)

Detroit (6-2) @ Chicago (5-3)

New York Giants (6-2) @ San Francisco (7-1)

 

SUNDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL

New England Patriots (5-3) @ New York Jets (5-3)

 

MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL

Minnesota Vikings (2-6) @ Green Bay Packers (8-0)

 

TV MAPS

 

http://the506.com/nflmaps/

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Posted
I'm amazed that the Raiders are still in first place, though I doubt that lasts past Thursday.
Posted
Jacksonville (2-6) @ Indianapolis (0-9)

Denver (3-5) @ Kansas City (4-4)

St. Louis (1-7) @ Cleveland (3-5)

Washington (3-5) @ Miami (1-7)

Tennessee (4-4) @ Carolina (2-6)

:puke:

 

Monday Night is pretty much the only clear-cut prediction on the list imo, but there are some real turds on the bill for this weekend.

 

EDIT - I guess Baltimore is a pretty easy pick too.

Posted

The NFC playoff picture isn't as muddied as I would normally expect after Week 9. Sure, crazy things could happen, but it looks like...

 

NFC West-SF

NFC East-NYG vs. DAL (but basically NYG)

NFC North-GB

NFC South-ATL vs. NO

 

Wildcard-2 of CHI vs. DET vs. loser of NFC South

 

Byes-GB and SF

 

Is it just me or does that look a lot clearer than it should with so many games left?

Posted
The NFC playoff picture isn't as muddied as I would normally expect after Week 9. Sure, crazy things could happen, but it looks like...

 

NFC West-SF

NFC East-NYG vs. DAL (but basically NYG)

NFC North-GB

NFC South-ATL vs. NO

 

Wildcard-2 of CHI vs. DET vs. loser of NFC South

 

Byes-GB and SF

 

Is it just me or does that look a lot clearer than it should with so many games left?

It looks clear now, but a heck of a lot could change by the end.

Posted

The NFC East could become a lot more muddled over the next five weeks:

 

  NYG (6-2)    DAL (4-4)    PHI (3-5)
----------------------------------
@  SF (7-1)  v.BUF (5-3)  v.ARI (2-6)
v.PHI (3-5)  @ WAS (3-5)  @ NYG (6-2)
@  NO (6-3)  v.MIA (1-7)  v. NE (5-3)
v. GB (8-0)  @ ARI (2-6)  @ SEA (2-6)
@ DAL (4-4)  v.NYG (6-2)  @ MIA (1-7)

 

Philly would have to go 4-1 during that stretch and would have to beat the Giants, but it's certainly possible (of their five losses, they've led going into the fourth quarter four times). That would put them at 7-6. Dallas has two easy wins and if they can get a third (one of Buffalo or Washington), they'd be at 7-5 going into the Giants game. And the Giants could easily lose three of those first four which would put them at 7-5 going into the Dallas game as well. If that happens, we'd have an 8-5 team and two 7-6 teams.

Posted
The NFC East could become a lot more muddled over the next five weeks:

 

  NYG (6-2)    DAL (4-4)    PHI (3-5)
----------------------------------
@  SF (7-1)  v.BUF (5-3)  v.ARI (2-6)
v.PHI (3-5)  @ WAS (3-5)  @ NYG (6-2)
@  NO (6-3)  v.MIA (1-7)  v. NE (5-3)
v. GB (8-0)  @ ARI (2-6)  @ SEA (2-6)
@ DAL (4-4)  v.NYG (6-2)  @ MIA (1-7)

 

Philly would have to go 4-1 during that stretch and would have to beat the Giants, but it's certainly possible (of their five losses, they've led going into the fourth quarter four times). That would put them at 7-6. Dallas has two easy wins and if they can get a third (one of Buffalo or Washington), they'd be at 7-5 going into the Giants game. And the Giants could easily lose three of those first four which would put them at 7-5 going into the Dallas game as well. If that happens, we'd have an 8-5 team and two 7-6 teams.

 

With that said, if the Giants have a good stretch against those teams they could be in the driver seat for a bye.

Posted
The NFC East could become a lot more muddled over the next five weeks:

 

  NYG (6-2)    DAL (4-4)    PHI (3-5)
----------------------------------
@  SF (7-1)  v.BUF (5-3)  v.ARI (2-6)
v.PHI (3-5)  @ WAS (3-5)  @ NYG (6-2)
@  NO (6-3)  v.MIA (1-7)  v. NE (5-3)
v. GB (8-0)  @ ARI (2-6)  @ SEA (2-6)
@ DAL (4-4)  v.NYG (6-2)  @ MIA (1-7)

 

Philly would have to go 4-1 during that stretch and would have to beat the Giants, but it's certainly possible (of their five losses, they've led going into the fourth quarter four times). That would put them at 7-6. Dallas has two easy wins and if they can get a third (one of Buffalo or Washington), they'd be at 7-5 going into the Giants game. And the Giants could easily lose three of those first four which would put them at 7-5 going into the Dallas game as well. If that happens, we'd have an 8-5 team and two 7-6 teams.

 

With that said, if the Giants have a good stretch against those teams they could be in the driver seat for a bye.

 

Maybe, but San Francisco has 5 of their 8 remaining games against their own division. Unless they are much worse than they've shown it would be hard to see them win less than 4 of those. Their 3 other remaining games are tough (NYG, Bal, Pitt) but they have two of them at home. It looks pretty likely that the 49ers will have 12+ wins, so the Giants would both have to beat the 49ers and then only drop another game or two in order to get the bye.

Posted
The NFC East could become a lot more muddled over the next five weeks:

 

  NYG (6-2)    DAL (4-4)    PHI (3-5)
----------------------------------
@  SF (7-1)  v.BUF (5-3)  v.ARI (2-6)
v.PHI (3-5)  @ WAS (3-5)  @ NYG (6-2)
@  NO (6-3)  v.MIA (1-7)  v. NE (5-3)
v. GB (8-0)  @ ARI (2-6)  @ SEA (2-6)
@ DAL (4-4)  v.NYG (6-2)  @ MIA (1-7)

 

Philly would have to go 4-1 during that stretch and would have to beat the Giants, but it's certainly possible (of their five losses, they've led going into the fourth quarter four times). That would put them at 7-6. Dallas has two easy wins and if they can get a third (one of Buffalo or Washington), they'd be at 7-5 going into the Giants game. And the Giants could easily lose three of those first four which would put them at 7-5 going into the Dallas game as well. If that happens, we'd have an 8-5 team and two 7-6 teams.

 

With that said, if the Giants have a good stretch against those teams they could be in the driver seat for a bye.

 

Maybe, but San Francisco has 5 of their 8 remaining games against their own division. Unless they are much worse than they've shown it would be hard to see them win less than 4 of those. Their 3 other remaining games are tough (NYG, Bal, Pitt) but they have two of them at home. It looks pretty likely that the 49ers will have 12+ wins, so the Giants would both have to beat the 49ers and then only drop another game or two in order to get the bye.

 

I don't think the Giants will get a bye. As you said, the 49ers schedule is very light. I fully expect New Orleans to end up ahead of New York as well. I don't think the Giants are very good.

Posted
The NFC East could become a lot more muddled over the next five weeks:

 

  NYG (6-2)    DAL (4-4)    PHI (3-5)
----------------------------------
@  SF (7-1)  v.BUF (5-3)  v.ARI (2-6)
v.PHI (3-5)  @ WAS (3-5)  @ NYG (6-2)
@  NO (6-3)  v.MIA (1-7)  v. NE (5-3)
v. GB (8-0)  @ ARI (2-6)  @ SEA (2-6)
@ DAL (4-4)  v.NYG (6-2)  @ MIA (1-7)

 

Philly would have to go 4-1 during that stretch and would have to beat the Giants, but it's certainly possible (of their five losses, they've led going into the fourth quarter four times). That would put them at 7-6. Dallas has two easy wins and if they can get a third (one of Buffalo or Washington), they'd be at 7-5 going into the Giants game. And the Giants could easily lose three of those first four which would put them at 7-5 going into the Dallas game as well. If that happens, we'd have an 8-5 team and two 7-6 teams.

 

Giants are probably underdogs @ SF, @ NO, and vs. GB. The Eagles are probably going to be favored in 3 of their next 5. Dallas probably favored in the 1st 4, since Buffalo is in Dallas. If the favorite wins all of those non-division games, it gets pretty interesting in the East.

Posted
Jacksonville (2-6) @ Indianapolis (0-9)

Denver (3-5) @ Kansas City (4-4)

St. Louis (1-7) @ Cleveland (3-5)

Washington (3-5) @ Miami (1-7)

Tennessee (4-4) @ Carolina (2-6)

:puke:

 

Monday Night is pretty much the only clear-cut prediction on the list imo, but there are some real turds on the bill for this weekend.

 

EDIT - I guess Baltimore is a pretty easy pick too.

 

 

But all the other games are extremely meaningful.

Posted

haha, great yelling match on sc right now between skip and stephen a. smith regarding tim tebow/kordell stewart black/white running quarterback-thing or something.

 

stewart said he was discriminated against because he was black and tebow has been given everything. i'm not so sure about that, but whatever.

Posted
The NFC East could become a lot more muddled over the next five weeks:

 

  NYG (6-2)    DAL (4-4)    PHI (3-5)
----------------------------------
@  SF (7-1)  v.BUF (5-3)  v.ARI (2-6)
v.PHI (3-5)  @ WAS (3-5)  @ NYG (6-2)
@  NO (6-3)  v.MIA (1-7)  v. NE (5-3)
v. GB (8-0)  @ ARI (2-6)  @ SEA (2-6)
@ DAL (4-4)  v.NYG (6-2)  @ MIA (1-7)

 

Philly would have to go 4-1 during that stretch and would have to beat the Giants, but it's certainly possible (of their five losses, they've led going into the fourth quarter four times). That would put them at 7-6. Dallas has two easy wins and if they can get a third (one of Buffalo or Washington), they'd be at 7-5 going into the Giants game. And the Giants could easily lose three of those first four which would put them at 7-5 going into the Dallas game as well. If that happens, we'd have an 8-5 team and two 7-6 teams.

 

With that said, if the Giants have a good stretch against those teams they could be in the driver seat for a bye.

 

Maybe, but San Francisco has 5 of their 8 remaining games against their own division. Unless they are much worse than they've shown it would be hard to see them win less than 4 of those. Their 3 other remaining games are tough (NYG, Bal, Pitt) but they have two of them at home. It looks pretty likely that the 49ers will have 12+ wins, so the Giants would both have to beat the 49ers and then only drop another game or two in order to get the bye.

 

I don't think the Giants will get a bye. As you said, the 49ers schedule is very light. I fully expect New Orleans to end up ahead of New York as well. I don't think the Giants are very good.

 

The Giants always seem like a team that has talent but underachieves. Basically I could see them being very dangerous in the playoffs because they have the talent to hang with good teams (like last week when they beat the Pats) and make a run. But they could also lose to teams they are better than and miss the playoffs completely. As a Packer fan, they are one of the teams I want to see miss the playoffs/avoid the Pacers because I think they could take us down. The other two being the Bears and the Saints.

Posted

Based on those schedules, I could see standings looking like this in 5 weeks:

 

Dallas 8-5, 2-2 DIV (@ TB, PHI, @ NYG)

Philly 7-6, 3-1 DIV (NYJ, @ DAL, WAS)

NYG 7-6, 2-2 DIV (WAS, "@"NYJ, DAL...3 essentially home games to finish the season)

 

Would be a good finish.

Posted

This week's playoff odds, according to FO:

 

Team    Mean Win     #1      #2      #3      #4      #5      #6      DIV     BYE     WC      TOT
HOU         10.6  15.60%  28.70%  42.10%   7.90%   0.10%   0.50%  94.30%  44.30%   0.60%  94.90%
BAL         11.3  40.50%  11.90%   4.00%   0.30%  21.80%  10.60%  56.80%  52.50%  32.30%  89.10%
CIN         10.5  18.40%   7.20%   3.00%   0.10%  20.70%  24.00%  28.80%  25.70%  44.70%  73.50%
NYJ         10.4   7.60%  21.10%  16.70%   1.00%  10.00%  12.70%  46.40%  28.70%  22.70%  69.10%
PIT         10.4   7.70%   4.70%   2.00%   0.10%  30.40%  22.40%  14.40%  12.30%  52.80%  67.20%
NE          10.1   7.40%  16.60%  12.00%   0.50%   9.20%  14.10%  36.50%  24.00%  23.20%  59.70%
SD           7.6   0.10%   0.70%   4.70%  39.50%   0.00%   0.20%  45.10%   0.90%   0.20%  45.40%
BUF          9.4   2.50%   7.70%   6.40%   0.50%   6.70%  12.10%  17.10%  10.20%  18.80%  35.90%
OAK          7.2   0.00%   0.50%   3.80%  22.40%   0.00%   0.20%  26.70%   0.50%   0.20%  26.90%
KC           6.7   0.00%   0.10%   0.80%  17.40%   0.00%   0.20%  18.40%   0.10%   0.20%  18.60%
DEN          6.1   0.00%   0.10%   0.50%   9.10%   0.00%   0.20%   9.80%   0.10%   0.20%  10.00%
TEN          7.9   0.10%   0.60%   3.80%   0.90%   1.00%   2.60%   5.50%   0.80%   3.60%   9.10%
CLE            6   0.00%   0.00%   0.00%   0.00%   0.10%   0.30%   0.10%   0.00%   0.40%   0.40%
JAC          5.2   0.00%   0.00%   0.20%   0.10%   0.00%   0.00%   0.30%   0.00%   0.00%   0.30%
MIA          4.3   0.00%   0.00%   0.00%   0.00%   0.00%   0.00%   0.00%   0.00%   0.00%   0.00%
IND          2.3   0.00%   0.00%   0.00%   0.00%   0.00%   0.00%   0.00%   0.00%   0.00%   0.00%

Team    Mean Win     #1      #2      #3      #4      #5      #6      DIV     BYE     WC      TOT
SF          12.5  36.00%  44.10%  14.00%   5.80%   0.00%   0.00%  99.90%  80.10%   0.00% 100.00%
GB          13.2  54.50%  26.40%   3.70%   0.50%  13.60%   1.00%  85.00%  80.80%  14.60%  99.60%
NYG         10.5   4.60%  11.70%  23.40%  35.90%   1.50%   3.80%  75.50%  16.20%   5.20%  80.70%
DET         10.5   3.50%   6.40%   2.40%   0.60%  43.40%  23.30%  12.90%  10.00%  66.70%  79.60%
ATL         10.1   0.50%   5.00%  25.90%  17.30%   6.40%  13.50%  48.70%   5.50%  19.90%  68.50%
NO           9.8   0.40%   4.00%  22.00%  21.70%   4.20%  12.80%  48.10%   4.40%  17.00%  65.00%
CHI          9.8   0.50%   1.10%   0.40%   0.00%  28.20%  31.90%   2.10%   1.60%  60.10%  62.20%
DAL          8.4   0.10%   1.20%   6.30%  10.20%   1.60%   8.10%  17.90%   1.30%   9.70%  27.60%
PHI          7.4   0.00%   0.00%   1.00%   5.10%   0.50%   2.50%   6.10%   0.00%   3.00%   9.10%
TB           7.2   0.00%   0.00%   0.90%   2.30%   0.50%   2.10%   3.20%   0.00%   2.60%   5.70%
WAS          5.8   0.00%   0.00%   0.10%   0.50%   0.00%   0.30%   0.50%   0.00%   0.30%   0.90%
MIN          5.6   0.00%   0.00%   0.00%   0.00%   0.00%   0.40%   0.00%   0.00%   0.40%   0.40%
SEA          5.4   0.00%   0.00%   0.00%   0.00%   0.00%   0.30%   0.00%   0.00%   0.40%   0.40%
CAR          5.1   0.00%   0.00%   0.00%   0.10%   0.00%   0.10%   0.10%   0.00%   0.10%   0.20%
ARI          4.8   0.00%   0.00%   0.00%   0.00%   0.00%   0.10%   0.00%   0.00%   0.10%   0.10%
STL          3.7   0.00%   0.00%   0.00%   0.00%   0.00%   0.00%   0.00%   0.00%   0.00%   0.00%

 

Analysis:

- There are basically only 8 teams in the NFC now with decent odds of making the playoffs. Philly is in a huge hole now and has to hope a few teams stumble. Six teams have basically no shot, 3 of them in the NFC West.

- Things are much more competitive in the AFC, mostly because the entire AFC West is equally mediocre. Only 4 teams have no shot at this point.

- It's a little amazing that just halfway through the season, and both NFC byes are about 80% wrapped up.

Posted
This week's playoff odds, according to FO:

 

Team    Mean Win     #1      #2      #3      #4      #5      #6      DIV     BYE     WC      TOT
HOU         10.6  15.60%  28.70%  42.10%   7.90%   0.10%   0.50%  94.30%  44.30%   0.60%  94.90%
BAL         11.3  40.50%  11.90%   4.00%   0.30%  21.80%  10.60%  56.80%  52.50%  32.30%  89.10%
CIN         10.5  18.40%   7.20%   3.00%   0.10%  20.70%  24.00%  28.80%  25.70%  44.70%  73.50%
NYJ         10.4   7.60%  21.10%  16.70%   1.00%  10.00%  12.70%  46.40%  28.70%  22.70%  69.10%
PIT         10.4   7.70%   4.70%   2.00%   0.10%  30.40%  22.40%  14.40%  12.30%  52.80%  67.20%
NE          10.1   7.40%  16.60%  12.00%   0.50%   9.20%  14.10%  36.50%  24.00%  23.20%  59.70%
SD           7.6   0.10%   0.70%   4.70%  39.50%   0.00%   0.20%  45.10%   0.90%   0.20%  45.40%
BUF          9.4   2.50%   7.70%   6.40%   0.50%   6.70%  12.10%  17.10%  10.20%  18.80%  35.90%
OAK          7.2   0.00%   0.50%   3.80%  22.40%   0.00%   0.20%  26.70%   0.50%   0.20%  26.90%
KC           6.7   0.00%   0.10%   0.80%  17.40%   0.00%   0.20%  18.40%   0.10%   0.20%  18.60%
DEN          6.1   0.00%   0.10%   0.50%   9.10%   0.00%   0.20%   9.80%   0.10%   0.20%  10.00%
TEN          7.9   0.10%   0.60%   3.80%   0.90%   1.00%   2.60%   5.50%   0.80%   3.60%   9.10%
CLE            6   0.00%   0.00%   0.00%   0.00%   0.10%   0.30%   0.10%   0.00%   0.40%   0.40%
JAC          5.2   0.00%   0.00%   0.20%   0.10%   0.00%   0.00%   0.30%   0.00%   0.00%   0.30%
MIA          4.3   0.00%   0.00%   0.00%   0.00%   0.00%   0.00%   0.00%   0.00%   0.00%   0.00%
IND          2.3   0.00%   0.00%   0.00%   0.00%   0.00%   0.00%   0.00%   0.00%   0.00%   0.00%

Team    Mean Win     #1      #2      #3      #4      #5      #6      DIV     BYE     WC      TOT
SF          12.5  36.00%  44.10%  14.00%   5.80%   0.00%   0.00%  99.90%  80.10%   0.00% 100.00%
GB          13.2  54.50%  26.40%   3.70%   0.50%  13.60%   1.00%  85.00%  80.80%  14.60%  99.60%
NYG         10.5   4.60%  11.70%  23.40%  35.90%   1.50%   3.80%  75.50%  16.20%   5.20%  80.70%
DET         10.5   3.50%   6.40%   2.40%   0.60%  43.40%  23.30%  12.90%  10.00%  66.70%  79.60%
ATL         10.1   0.50%   5.00%  25.90%  17.30%   6.40%  13.50%  48.70%   5.50%  19.90%  68.50%
NO           9.8   0.40%   4.00%  22.00%  21.70%   4.20%  12.80%  48.10%   4.40%  17.00%  65.00%
CHI          9.8   0.50%   1.10%   0.40%   0.00%  28.20%  31.90%   2.10%   1.60%  60.10%  62.20%
DAL          8.4   0.10%   1.20%   6.30%  10.20%   1.60%   8.10%  17.90%   1.30%   9.70%  27.60%
PHI          7.4   0.00%   0.00%   1.00%   5.10%   0.50%   2.50%   6.10%   0.00%   3.00%   9.10%
TB           7.2   0.00%   0.00%   0.90%   2.30%   0.50%   2.10%   3.20%   0.00%   2.60%   5.70%
WAS          5.8   0.00%   0.00%   0.10%   0.50%   0.00%   0.30%   0.50%   0.00%   0.30%   0.90%
MIN          5.6   0.00%   0.00%   0.00%   0.00%   0.00%   0.40%   0.00%   0.00%   0.40%   0.40%
SEA          5.4   0.00%   0.00%   0.00%   0.00%   0.00%   0.30%   0.00%   0.00%   0.40%   0.40%
CAR          5.1   0.00%   0.00%   0.00%   0.10%   0.00%   0.10%   0.10%   0.00%   0.10%   0.20%
ARI          4.8   0.00%   0.00%   0.00%   0.00%   0.00%   0.10%   0.00%   0.00%   0.10%   0.10%
STL          3.7   0.00%   0.00%   0.00%   0.00%   0.00%   0.00%   0.00%   0.00%   0.00%   0.00%

 

Analysis:

- There are basically only 8 teams in the NFC now with decent odds of making the playoffs. Philly is in a huge hole now and has to hope a few teams stumble. Six teams have basically no shot, 3 of them in the NFC West.

- Things are much more competitive in the AFC, mostly because the entire AFC West is equally mediocre. Only 4 teams have no shot at this point.

- It's a little amazing that just halfway through the season, and both NFC byes are about 80% wrapped up.

 

And the fighting Tebows have a better chance at making the playoffs than the Dream Team. Hahahahaha.

Posted
It's interesting that 7 NFC teams have a 60% or higher chance at the playoffs. Obviously one team will defy the odds there.
Posted
It's interesting that 7 NFC teams have a 60% or higher chance at the playoffs. Obviously one team will defy the odds there.

 

If you look at the Wild Card %s, though, the Bears have the upper hand by a lot. The Falcons and Saints are above them in overall playoff percentage because one of them will win the division, whereas the Bears have basically no chance to win the North. Bears are in a pretty good spot. Win on Sunday and they'll be in a really good spot.

Posted
It's interesting that 7 NFC teams have a 60% or higher chance at the playoffs. Obviously one team will defy the odds there.

 

If you look at the Wild Card %s, though, the Bears have the upper hand by a lot. The Falcons and Saints are above them in overall playoff percentage because one of them will win the division, whereas the Bears have basically no chance to win the North. Bears are in a pretty good spot. Win on Sunday and they'll be in a really good spot.

 

Ah yeah, that makes more sense.

Posted
For years every expert has lauded the strength of the NFC East and AFC East, I wonder when they will start to talk about the NFC North.

 

Sorry the NFC North is not east coast enough to be a strong division.

Posted
It's interesting that 7 NFC teams have a 60% or higher chance at the playoffs. Obviously one team will defy the odds there.

 

If you look at the Wild Card %s, though, the Bears have the upper hand by a lot. The Falcons and Saints are above them in overall playoff percentage because one of them will win the division, whereas the Bears have basically no chance to win the North. Bears are in a pretty good spot. Win on Sunday and they'll be in a really good spot.

 

Ah yeah, that makes more sense.

 

Atlanta in particular is in a tough spot vis-a-vis the Bears. Bears fans should continue rooting for New Orleans, and for New Orleans to get a bye. I think the Bears/Lions/Falcons could beat San Francisco or the East winner. New Orleans at home is a much tougher proposition.

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