College Basketball 2010-11

[tadowdaddy]

Good lord, the more I look at our draw the more I hate it. I would have rather been a 6 seed. No clue how we stayed a 5. Utah State then Whisky = yuck. Color me uninthused.

[tadowdaddy]

I think St. Marys is out and Colorado or MSU is out based on the fact that VCU, UAB and Georgia are in.

 

There's still Kansas State also as a team that hasn't been named.

 

2 seed.

 

Close. A 5 seed.

 

They got screwed.

 

And they are one-and-done.

 

You got that right... at least it's the late game Thursday and I'll be at Buffalo Wild Wings getting sauced and taking PTO Friday. Last year at BW's during the Xavier game, I almost got asked to leave due to being heckled by people who just hated the color purple and had no loyalty to Xavier. At least we had Gus calling it, hell of a game. One of the best I've ever seen in the NCAA's, and probably the game of the tourney last year.

[Guest]

log5 for the tourney is up: http://www.basketballprospectus.com/unfiltered/?p=673

 

Utah State is 60% to make the Round of 32 as a 12 seed.

[Productive Outs]

pomeroy's log5 analysis is up: http://www.basketballprospectus.com/unfiltered/?p=673

 

edit: cool move, TT

[hawkeyecub]

Where did they dig up Jason Patric from for these promos.

 

And why?

 

I had to look it up. He's going to be in a Broadway play about an old high school basketball team getting back together with their ailing coach whom they revered and finally learning that he was an ass. Keifer and Gaffigan also star in it so that's why all 3 are in those promo's. No idea why they don't lead it with Sutherland though. I had no idea who Jason Patric was.

[hawkeyecub]

In BYU's current state, I can't pick anyone to get to the Sweet 16 from that 3/14-6/11 group in the Southeast. That entire region is a cluster.

[UMFan83]

In BYU's current state, I can't pick anyone to get to the Sweet 16 from that 3/14-6/11 group in the Southeast. That entire region is a cluster.

 

I cant help but pick St. Johns there

[CubInOK]

log5 for the tourney is up: http://www.basketballprospectus.com/unfiltered/?p=673

 

Utah State is 60% to make the Round of 32 as a 12 seed.

Anybody wanna bet those 1 in 1 trillion odds on Alabama State?

[Guest]

BTW, I don't think either Utah State or Belmont are going to win, and I don't think either will be particularly close. They're a combined 0-5 against tournament teams. Belmont didn't beat a single team in the KenPom 150. The only team in the Top 100 USU beat was Boise State. They're an indicator of a flaw in Pomeroy's rankings rather than the other way around.

[hawkeyecub]

My favorite part of the bracketology show was Hubert saying "I haven't looked at their numbers. I haven't looked at their RPI or SOS numbers" in regards to UAB and VCU.

 

Yeah not like you get paid to analyze college basketball or have a staff of people who could get those numbers to you within 30 seconds at any point in this past week.

[Guest]

F4: Ohio State, Texas, Purdue, Pittsburgh. Ohio State over Purdue.

[Andy]

In BYU's current state, I can't pick anyone to get to the Sweet 16 from that 3/14-6/11 group in the Southeast. That entire region is a cluster.

I had Gonzaga. I couldn't pick Michigan State to the Elite 8 fast enough out of the Southeast. It's the easiest region by a large margin.

[Derwood]

NIT Bracket

 

Northwestern is the only B1G team in the field

[bukie]

BTW, I don't think either Utah State or Belmont are going to win, and I don't think either will be particularly close. They're a combined 0-5 against tournament teams. Belmont didn't beat a single team in the KenPom 150. The only team in the Top 100 USU beat was Boise State. They're an indicator of a flaw in Pomeroy's rankings rather than the other way around.

I'm pretty sure St. Mary's was in the top 100. I'm not so convinced it is a flaw in Pomeroy's ratings, as Sagarin is also a lot higher on Belmont/Utah State than RPI and seeding suggests. It's a factor of including scoring margin in the analysis, which is often more valuable than just looking at wins and losses. Sometimes a team just can't schedule quality competition, so you're left with how they do against the competition they do face.

[Old Style]

NIT Bracket

 

Northwestern is the only B1G team in the field

Baylor got left out of the NIT.

 

:lol:

[SouthSideRyan]

Oregon is the one Big 6 school to accept a CBI invite

[kujay]

In BYU's current state, I can't pick anyone to get to the Sweet 16 from that 3/14-6/11 group in the Southeast. That entire region is a cluster.

 

I cant help but pick St. Johns there

 

That's what I ended up with too.

[bukie]

John Gasaway just posted an article (Insider) on his 3 good draws and 3 bad draws of the tournament:

 

Good draws:

- Florida - Overseeded in a friendly pod location in a half of the bracket full of overseeded teams (UCLA, MSU, BYU, St. John's).

- USC - Not only made the field, but play-in game against a VCU team that nearly finished the season 0-7, for the right to play a Georgetown team that finished the year 0-3 and may struggle to integrate a key player back into the lineup.

- Cincinnati - Drew an 11 seed that hasn't looked good in a month, and after that could get a UConn team that not only just finished up a 5-games-in-5-nights gauntlet, but that they also outplayed during the conference season.

 

Bad draws:

- St. John's - Playing a Gonzaga team in Denver that scored an efficiency margin of 0.17 in conference, while the Red Storm was just +.02 in conference.

- Wisconsin - Playing a Belmont team that is grossly underseeded, coming off 4 years of tournament losses to Cornell, Xavier, Davidson and UNLV.

- North Carolina - Possible second round game against the best team in the Pac-10, then a possible third round game against Syracuse in Newark.

[Formerly Snayke]

WSJ has Missouri beating Cincinnati and Connecticut.

[NeifiIsMyHomeBoy]

WSJ has Missouri beating Cincinnati and Connecticut.

 

It will be interesting to see if 5 games in 5 days will have a lingering affect on UCONN. I could definitely see Connecticut getting knocked off by Mizzou given the system Mizzou runs if the Huskies are in fact fatigued.

[Guest]

I think it's clear that Bucknell will pull off an upset by raining threes, then I'll be convinced that Mizzou can win every game until the Elite 8, so they'll go and lose by 8 to Cincinnati. Even if UConn's exhausted I don't trust Mizzou to hang with them.

[UMFan83]

WSJ has Missouri beating Cincinnati and Connecticut.

 

It will be interesting to see if 5 games in 5 days will have a lingering affect on UCONN. I could definitely see Connecticut getting knocked off by Mizzou given the system Mizzou runs if the Huskies are in fact fatigued.

 

I know they didn't play 5 games, but didn't Syracuse end up losing in the first round after their improbable Big East title win a few years ago when they had to pretty much win the tourney to make it and that's what they did.

[Guest]

WSJ has Missouri beating Cincinnati and Connecticut.

 

It will be interesting to see if 5 games in 5 days will have a lingering affect on UCONN. I could definitely see Connecticut getting knocked off by Mizzou given the system Mizzou runs if the Huskies are in fact fatigued.

 

I know they didn't play 5 games, but didn't Syracuse end up losing in the first round after their improbable Big East title win a few years ago when they had to pretty much win the tourney to make it and that's what they did.

 

They were a 5 seed, so my guess is they were probably in even without 4 games in 4 days. The other side of that coin is that they played a power conference team(aTm) in that first round that was ranked like 25 spots ahead of them by KenPom. That may have had more to do with the upset than fatigue.

[imb]

Capel fired

[Exile on Waveland]

As to the previous conversation of IU potentially grabbing a decommit from a school that fires their coach, the above is a place to look (hopefully -- though these are all long shots).