5/1: Brewers (Gallardo) @ Cubs (Z), 1:20, WGN

[hotshot13422]

Please, Pie, don't DP. I got a bad feeling

 

congrats

[TruffleShuffle]

Hate to say it, but Pie shouldn't be in the majors right now.

 

then just trade him, because sending him back to beat up on PCL pitching is pointless.

[E.J.]

What a terrible loss. Thanks Woody.

[Garage Party]

Oh, what a huge loss.

[Andy]

I hate this stupid freaking Brewers team.

 

Bite me, Braun and bite me, Blue.

[Flames24Rulz]

Absolutely disgusting.

[SABR Gamer]

Wow, really pathetic that we lost today, really pathetic.

[CubsGM]

Thanks Soriano you are a moron

[illiniguy]

Screw you Kerry Wood. You bum.

[CoolHandLuke]

:cry:

[WTFCUBS]

F'in Braun. F'in Yost. F'in Blue.

[David]

Am I nuts or does this not seem like one of the situations where all the crazy aggressive baserunning crap might be a good idea?

 

 

And just as I say that... ugh

[Hairyducked Idiot]

 

They both cost you an out. I really don't see where you all are getting this. Let's look at other sports. In basketball would you rather have a turnover with 3 minutes to go or with 3 seconds to go? I would go with 3 minutes because then you have time to make up for it and still get it done (which the Cubs did in that half inning BTW). In football would you rather have dropped pass on 1st down or on 4th down? I would go with 1st down because then you have three more downs to get the completion.

 

The situations you listed are not analogous, and it's a false choice. It's very possible that a turnover with three minutes to hurts you more than the one with 3 seconds to go. The one with three minutes to go may drop you from a 50% chance to win to a 10% chance to win. The one with three seconds may drop you from 10% to 5%.

 

Here's what major league teams actually do in these situations:

 

http://www.tangotiger.net/RE9902.html

 

With a runner on first and no outs, an out puts you from a situation where the average team scores .95 runs to one where they score .57 runs. It's cost you .38 runs.

 

With a runner on first and two outs, you go from .25 runs to zero, costing you .25 runs.

 

Human beings are loss averse. Our minds tend to overestimate our last sliver of a chance to not lose, even when a loss is almost assured.

All your faulty logic doesn't change the actual results of major-league ballgames.

[Outshined_One]

I'm surprised the ump didn't finish the game by bashing Pie over the head with a steel chair and ripping off his gear to reveal a Brewers uniform underneath.

[David]

Screw you Kerry Wood. You bum.

 

 

Come on, man.

[TruffleShuffle]

Thanks Soriano you are a moron

 

:?:

[haubrich91]

This was our game, they didn't deserve to win AT ALL.

[illiniguy]

Screw you Kerry Wood. You bum.

 

 

Come on, man.

What is that his 3rd blown save already this year? Plus the horrible outing in game one. I have had enough of the Wood for closer experiment.

[Garage Party]

Screw you Kerry Wood. You bum.

 

 

Come on, man.

He had a horrible game today. Inexcusably awful.

[rocket]

i propose a new rule in which whoever scores the most runs in a series wins all the games in the series.

[El Ridda]

What have we learned today?

 

- Wood still erratic

 

- Soriano still scared of the wall.

[rocket]

Screw you Kerry Wood. You bum.

 

 

Come on, man.

What is that his 3rd blown save already this year? Plus the horrible outing in game one. I have had enough of the Wood for closer experiment.

 

lol

[David]

Thanks Soriano you are a moron

 

:?:

 

Supposedly, he played that ball in LF terribly.

 

I didn't see it, so I don't really know.

[TruffleShuffle]

Screw you Kerry Wood. You bum.

 

 

Come on, man.

He had a horrible game today. Inexcusably awful.

 

okay, so...

[Hairyducked Idiot]

What have we learned today?

 

- Wood still erratic

 

- Soriano still scared of the wall.

 

- Fukudome may not be fundamentally sound.