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North Side Baseball
Old-Timey Member
Posted
Middle of the order coming up against Milwaukee's pen.

Bench, Soto, Pie. If we can get Cedeno on and Soto to homer, that's awesome, but I'm not sold on that due-up.

 

My bad, I had a brain fart. Also forgot about the sub, but I don't mind Ronny up.

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Posted (edited)

 

Yep but I would still rather have a mistake with no outs than two outs.

 

And you are still wrong. Check a run expectancy chart.

 

I don't care what a stupid chart tells me. It's a simple fact I would rather have a mistake that doesn't end the inning than one that does. This is why you get more upset when someone strikes out with two outs than with no outs. There is no chance to make up for a two out mistake in a inning. Chart's and statistics aren't the end all be all.

 

Is your globe flat? Does your car get 20 rods to the hogshead?

 

The reason you get more upset is because of problems in human perception. The first out costs you more on average than the third one does.

 

They both cost you an out. I really don't see where you all are getting this. Let's look at other sports. In basketball would you rather have a turnover with 3 minutes to go or with 3 seconds to go? I would go with 3 minutes because then you have time to make up for it and still get it done (which the Cubs did in that half inning BTW). In football would you rather have dropped pass on 1st down or on 4th down? I would go with 1st down because then you have three more downs to get the completion.

Edited by CubbieBum
Old-Timey Member
Posted

 

Yep but I would still rather have a mistake with no outs than two outs.

 

And you are still wrong. Check a run expectancy chart.

 

I don't care what a stupid chart tells me. It's a simple fact I would rather have a mistake that doesn't end the inning than one that does. This is why you get more upset when someone strikes out with two outs than with no outs. There is no chance to make up for a two out mistake in a inning. Chart's and statistics aren't the end all be all.

 

Is your globe flat? Does your car get 20 rods to the hogshead?

 

The reason you get more upset is because of problems in human perception. The first out costs you more on average than the third one does.

 

They both cost you an out. I really don't see where you all are getting this. Let's look at other sports. In basketball would you rather have a turnover with 3 minutes to go or with 3 seconds to go? I would go with 3 minutes because then you have time to make up for it and still get it done (which the Cubs did in that half inning BTW). In football would you rather have dropped pass on 1st down or on 4th down? I would go with 1st down because then you have three more downs to get the completion.

Well this should be fun to watch.

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