SABR Gamer

Jesus man, Are you even reading the responses? $/WAR for a multi year contract isn’t based on the first year of the deal’s projection. It’s based on the projection for the entire length of the deal.

Last year. The winner hasn’t been announced for this year yet.

Typical of the quality of response I’ve come to expect from you.

Ian is only one point below his career high in xwOBA. He's just been really unlucky for most of the year.

This is, obviously, an imperfect method, but with the Padres' projections finally in and giving us the entire league, I put every team into an Excel sheet to compare. The win totals were way too high using 47.7 as replacement level, with the league averaging 86.5 wins. So, I adjusted replacement level down to allow for the league to average 81 wins, and here are the results: ETA: I had to correct a mistake. I adjusted the Astros win total down 1 win after the Padres projection came in. They were at 88 wins using 81-81 as the Padres placeholder record, and when the Padres came in at one win more than that, it required a minor replacement level adjustment to get the perfect 81 average, lowering the Astros to 87 wins. 2nd edit: Mets too.

I don't think you know what you're actually arguing.

Imagine your penis being this small. Sorry, guys. I know I'm better than that but sometimes it's fun to talk horsefeathers back to idiots who wouldn't be able to comprehend the mature and thoughtful response.

Only replying here because you've ignored the several replies already made to this post. Are you not aware of where the Cubs' offense ranked last season in runs scored?

I'll happily risk a ban to say that this kind of stuff has to be some sort of mental illness.

I still love baseball, but I don't let one team's success or failure determine how I interact with the sport anymore. I also still root for the Cubs, but I'm done with living or dying according to their results. I used to refuse to watch any games after the Cubs were eliminated. Now, I care a hell of a lot less and still enjoy the great baseball being played after they are out. I don't see anything wrong with being a passionate observer of something you love, I just don't see the point in letting it make you miserable, and Biittner seemed like he was heading down that path.

Oh, I completely agree it's not that old, and my post didn't do a good job of expressing that. I just meant he's old enough to have the wisdom that it doesn't matter enough to let it bother you, like my father. Hell, I've even reached that point for the most part in my early 30s. Fandom is a scam. An extremely one-sided, toxic relationship born from tribalism. Satisfied individuals make worse consumers, and American sports are designed to leave almost all of us perpetually dissatisfied.

I added a third paragraph to give you a little more hope.

You're the same age as my father, and like him, you shouldn't be letting sports stress you out anymore. They aren't important enough. Take care of yourself, and enjoy whatever happens.

https://blogs.fangraphs.com/2024-zips-projections-chicago-cubs/ "There’s still a lot of winter to go, but ZiPS sees the Cubs as most likely finishing in the 83-88 win range or thereabouts." 12 days ago. So, this is without adding Bellinger or anyone else they still might add, and they likely will add him. If you ever expected the Cubs to have a powerhouse NL favorite roster, you were never being realistic with yourself. Even if they had gotten Soto and Ohtani, they still wouldn't have been NL favorites. The Braves project for over 100 wins, and the Dodgers are right behind them. The good thing is you don't need to be the favorite to win the World Series (it certainly helps, but this isn't the NBA). Baseball is a bit of a crapshoot, just get in the playoffs and spin the wheel.

Have you even bothered to look at projections, or are you just ranting aimlessly right now?