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Posted

I'd love to see him have a good year but after watching him I wonder if he'll struggle. It may be an injury or he's going to slow down bat speed wise and I'd be really surprised if he hits over 25 HR's this year. I know he came on strong last year but something in his swing just bugs me this year. Yes, it's early I know but I just can't get this uncomfortable feeling I have about him out of my head this spring. I hope I'm wrong.

 

280/365 and 24 HR's

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Posted
As long as the hole in his swing on the inner half of the plate doesn't reappear, you would have to assume he'll have a season like last year. Maybe something along the lines of .390/.500?
Posted
I don't think he'll ever replicate his 2005 numbers, but I think there's a good possibility he'll put up slightly better numbers than last season, particularly regarding his HRs. Something like .295/.400/.530 with 30 HRs sounds about right.
Posted
i think what you saw last year is derrek lee from now on. i'll be happy with a .400 obp and 20 or so homers. i'm not expecting any better than that.
Posted
i think what you saw last year is derrek lee from now on. i'll be happy with a .400 obp and 20 or so homers. i'm not expecting any better than that.

 

Me too, and considering what we gave Fukudome and other contracts given out the past few seasons, it's not like Lee is overpaid or anything. Also, take into account his great defense and solid clubhouse/community presence, he's still a very important and strong part of this team.

 

Still, .300 average with a .400 OBP, 25 homers, 90 RBI, and 40-50 doubles is a pretty damn good offensive player.

Posted
I'm hoping the power that came on late last year will continue, but honestly I think that wrist injury sapped a lot of his power. I wouldn't expect more than 30-32 homers, but he'll have good OBP and good average.
Posted
His OPS will be over .900 and he'll probably improve on what, in my opinion, was a down year for him defensively last year. Same old same old.
Posted
Lee might not have the hr's we all want him to have but his average isn't going to be below .300 like some have predicted. He still has great patience and waits for his pitches. As long as he does that he'll bat at least .310.
Posted
I read an article, though I don't remember where, that talked about wrist injuries and lingering effects on the batter. It said that you're looking at a minimum of one year before the hitter's strength starts to come back and something like 18 monts for full recovery. I think the injury in 2006 was still effecting him during at least the first half of 2007. I don't know that he'll ever repeat 2005, since the power numbers were quite a bit higher than what he'd done before, but I think there's potential to get close.
Posted

I wouldn't be surprised if Lee started to slightly regress. Obviously, 05 isn't happening again. But you also gotta worry that his patience, while still good, was a little less last year. The power came on in the 2nd half, but he still finished well below his last couple years w/ Florida and first couple with the Cubs. If he has a .109 BB/PA and .196 ISOP again, he could find himself closer to his career .870 OPS vs. his .913 of last year. Again, still decent, but that would take him from arguably the team's best hitter to 3rd best.

 

I'd guess somewhere in between last year and his career averages, about .290/.380/.510.

Posted
Another thing to remember with Lee is that his '05 season had an incredibly hot start. That was something he hadn't done before, he usually was so dismal in April that his stats in Florida would have been better if not for that.
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Posted

.300/.390/.550.

 

I think he continues what he was doing in the second half of last year.

Posted
.300/.390/.550.

 

I think he continues what he was doing in the second half of last year.

 

 

Basically, what I was thinking.

Posted (edited)
My gut is saying Lee will explode this year.

 

 

.415/.530/.920

 

at least 80 bombs.

 

What's funny is that his OPS would still only be .029 higher than Bonds' 2004 OPS.

Edited by 17 Seconds
Posted
My gut is saying Lee will explode this year.

 

 

.415/.530/.920

 

at least 80 bombs.

 

What's funny is that his OPS would still only be .29 higher than Bonds' 2004 OPS.

 

 

That fact makes me feel a little sick.

 

Bonds your a scumbag.

Posted
i think what you saw last year is derrek lee from now on. i'll be happy with a .400 obp and 20 or so homers. i'm not expecting any better than that.

 

 

I think 20 is a little low. I think he still has 30HR power.

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