Last 16 games. What do we have to do to get there?

[badger1679666666]

9-7? 10-6? 11-5?

[Mephistopheles]

7-9 looks good enough

[pitchcs]

10-6 should for sure do it.

[C.C.]

9-7? 10-6? 11-5?

 

I'm thinking 10-6 should do it.

[Dirt Dog Sparly]

Not to be smart but what the team needs to do is win. With the race where it is, thinking about other teams, and what they will do takes your eye off the beam.

[wolf stansson]

Hey guys, enjoy this weekend. You should sweep your rivals to take a stranglehold on the division. Could be very fun for you.

 

 

Go Blues and Bulls time I guess.

[moorecg]

10-6 should for sure do it.

 

I think 10-6 does it....

 

That puts us at 85-77....we can do that....

 

Lets get 4 this weekend.

[CubColtPacer]

I think most of you are being too kind to Milwaukee when you say you think they will go 10-7 with their remaining schedule. Looking at their games and the fact that SD looks more and more like they'll have something to play for that last series, I don't see it.

 

With that said, I think 9-7 will very likely do it for the Cubs, and it's reasonable to think 8-8 will get it done as well.

[GoCubsGo1679625768]

16-0 should get it done, IMO

[C.C.]

I think most of you are being too kind to Milwaukee when you say you think they will go 10-7 with their remaining schedule. Looking at their games and the fact that SD looks more and more like they'll have something to play for that last series, I don't see it.

 

With that said, I think 9-7 will very likely do it for the Cubs, and it's reasonable to think 8-8 will get it done as well.

 

D'Back 83-64? Wow. I haven't been paying attention to them. I think you can pin point the series with the Cubs that jump started their season.

[CubinNY]

8-8

[CubinNY]

Hey guys, enjoy this weekend. You should sweep your rivals to take a stranglehold on the division. Could be very fun for you.

 

 

Go Blues and Bulls time I guess.

Take that reverse jinx stuff back to Tempe, I ain't buying any.

[BigSlick]

Hey guys, enjoy this weekend. You should sweep your rivals to take a stranglehold on the division. Could be very fun for you.

 

 

Go Blues and Bulls time I guess.

 

Are you a Rams fan?

[Ivy Walls]

I think most of you are being too kind to Milwaukee when you say you think they will go 10-7 with their remaining schedule. Looking at their games and the fact that SD looks more and more like they'll have something to play for that last series, I don't see it.

 

With that said, I think 9-7 will very likely do it for the Cubs, and it's reasonable to think 8-8 will get it done as well.

 

Brewers will reasonably win 2/3 with Cincinnati, win 2/3 @ Houston (they are 11-4 against the 'Stros), lose 3/4 to Atlanta, beat StL 3/3 and split with SD....total 10-7

 

Thus the Cubs need to go 10-6 and have a nervous end of the month....

 

85-77-CHC, 84-78-Milw, although I think the Cubs do better,

 

Win 3/4 against StL, 2/3 against Cincinnati, 2/3 Pittsburgh, 2/3 against Florida and 2/3 against Cincinnati 11-5...86-76...

 

Cubs reach 86 in Cinci full of Cub fans 9/29...while Milwaukee reaches 84 that night also, SD wins the final game for the WC by one game over surging CO.

 

Baseball is estatic as two races come down to the wire.

[Ender]

A lot of fancy math over at brewerfan.net came up with an expected wins of 83 for the Brewers.

 

If that holds true then the Cubs need to go 8-8 for a tie breaker game.

 

Brewers will reasonably win 2/3 with Cincinnati, win 2/3 @ Houston (they are 11-4 against the 'Stros), lose 3/4 to Atlanta, beat StL 3/3 and split with SD....total 10-7

 

That seams reasonable to me as well except my guess is its only 2 of 3 against STL. The Brewers are a better team than SD in miller park, they are just a lot better team at home and SD plays poorly in HR hitting parks so I think a split is a very fair expectation.

 

Of course the way the Brewers have played this season I wouldn't rule out them winning 12 of the games or winning just 5 of the games. They have had so many ups and downs and rarely at any point played .500 ball over a stretch. They are either hot or not.

Edited September 14, 2007 by Ender

[moorecg]

I think most of you are being too kind to Milwaukee when you say you think they will go 10-7 with their remaining schedule. Looking at their games and the fact that SD looks more and more like they'll have something to play for that last series, I don't see it.

 

With that said, I think 9-7 will very likely do it for the Cubs, and it's reasonable to think 8-8 will get it done as well.

 

Brewers will reasonably win 2/3 with Cincinnati, win 2/3 @ Houston (they are 11-4 against the 'Stros), lose 3/4 to Atlanta, beat StL 3/3 and split with SD....total 10-7

 

Thus the Cubs need to go 10-6 and have a nervous end of the month....

 

85-77-CHC, 84-78-Milw, although I think the Cubs do better,

 

Win 3/4 against StL, 2/3 against Cincinnati, 2/3 Pittsburgh, 2/3 against Florida and 2/3 against Cincinnati 11-5...86-76...

 

Cubs reach 86 in Cinci full of Cub fans 9/29...while Milwaukee reaches 84 that night also, SD wins the final game for the WC by one game over surging CO.

 

Baseball is estatic as two races come down to the wire.

 

I don't think they'll sweep STL, and I think its realistic that they could lose on of the cincy or houston series....that being said...I'm not sure we'll win every series here on out either...

[Handlebar McSkullet]

win every series, and we will win the central.

[bcl412]

The pitching has to remain solid because we aren't going to outhit anybody. (AKA no more Steve Trachsel please)

[moorecg]

The pitching has to remain solid because we aren't going to outhit anybody. (AKA no more Steve Trachsel please)

 

If we get 16 more outtings like Trachsel gave us last night we will win the Central.

[jersey cubs fan]

The pitching has to remain solid because we aren't going to outhit anybody. (AKA no more Steve Trachsel please)

 

If we get 16 more outtings like Trachsel gave us last night we will win the Central.

 

5 innings, 7 hits, 3 walks, 2 HR? More often than not the opponent is going to score more than the 2 he gave up last night. I wouldn't want that outing every game. Any 2.0 WHIP game is bad, especially when you give up 2 HR and last only 5 innings.

[soccer10k]

A lot of fancy math over at brewerfan.net came up with an expected wins of 83 for the Brewers.

 

If that holds true then the Cubs need to go 8-8 for a tie breaker game.

 

Brewers will reasonably win 2/3 with Cincinnati, win 2/3 @ Houston (they are 11-4 against the 'Stros), lose 3/4 to Atlanta, beat StL 3/3 and split with SD....total 10-7

 

That seams reasonable to me as well except my guess is its only 2 of 3 against STL. The Brewers are a better team than SD in miller park, they are just a lot better team at home and SD plays poorly in HR hitting parks so I think a split is a very fair expectation.

 

Of course the way the Brewers have played this season I wouldn't rule out them winning 12 of the games or winning just 5 of the games. They have had so many ups and downs and rarely at any point played .500 ball over a stretch. They are either hot or not.

 

Agreed because I don't think you can assume a sweep of any team.

[illiniguy]

Worry about it in days. If we win today and the Brewers don't great. If we lose and they lose, good we burnt a day on the calendar. If they win and we lose, bad.

[vance_the_cubs_fan]

Back on August 19th, I made a thread where I predicted how each team would fare against the remaining teams. My projections had the Cubs finishing 84-78, the Brewers finishing 82-80, and the Cardinals finishing 81-81.

 

While not every series has gone as I thought, overall I've been fairly close. The Cubs as far as wins and losses are right even with my projections, the Brewers are one game behind my projections, and the Cardinals are three games behind my projections.

 

I'm sticking with what I've said and have the Cubs winning the division with an 84-78 record.

 

Assuming a loss in the first game today, the Cubs would have to go 8-6.

 

It's going to be close, but I still like the Cubs' chances.

[NCCubFan]

Back on August 19th, I made a thread where I predicted how each team would fare against the remaining teams. My projections had the Cubs finishing 84-78, the Brewers finishing 82-80, and the Cardinals finishing 81-81.

 

While not every series has gone as I thought, overall I've been fairly close. The Cubs as far as wins and losses are right even with my projections, the Brewers are one game behind my projections, and the Cardinals are three games behind my projections.

 

I'm sticking with what I've said and have the Cubs winning the division with an 84-78 record.

 

Assuming a loss in the first game today, the Cubs would have to go 8-6.

 

It's going to be close, but I still like the Cubs' chances.

Oh ye of little faith. :D

[Ender]

Cubs now have 12 games left, Brewers 14 games.

 

Brewers play 3@Hou who are out of it and I'm going to predict they take 2 of 3.

 

4@Atl who could be out of it at that point, I'll predict 1.5 of 4.

 

3 vs STL who will be out of it and I predict 2 of 3.

 

4 vs SD which is the wild card, if they have nothing to play for then the Brewers don't have to face Peavy. That series is like 2.5 out of 4.

 

Brewers final record 84-78.

 

Cubs would need to go 6-6 in their final 12 games to force a playoff and just have a winning record to take the division.