08/08 CUBS (Marmol) @ Milwaukee (Ohka) 7:05pm CDT, CSN TV

[Fred Hornkohl]

http://chicago.cubs.mlb.com/images/gameday/mugshots/mlb/461791.jpg Marmol (4-5) 5.09

 

vs.

 

http://chicago.cubs.mlb.com/images/gameday/mugshots/mlb/219594.jpg Ohka (3-2) 3.57

[Fred Hornkohl]

Greetings one an all from beautiful Lakeland, FL ..... home of the Fighting Dreadnaughts, and winter home the Detroit Tigers !!

 

Worthless stats of the day for Tuesday......

 

CUBS are 6-10 on Tuesdays

CUBS are 5-6 vs. Milwaukee

CUBS are 31-25 vs. the NLC Division

CUBS are 7-6 when they've won their last 2 game(s) in a row

CUBS are 17-28 when they've won their previous game

CUBS are 15-21 in games that start a series

CUBS are 4-4 in games that open a road trip

CUBS are 25-28 at night

CUBS are 22-33 on the road

CUBS are 27-18 when CSN broadcasts the game

CUBS are 28-42 when the temperature is 70 degrees or above

CUBS are on a pace to win 69 games this year..... compared to 79 last year

CUBS are on a pace to score 683 runs this year..... compared to 703 last year

CUBS are on a pace to hit 155 home runs this year..... compared to 194 last year

CUBS are on a pace to draw 412 walks this year..... compared to 419 last year

CUBS are scoring 4.22 runs per game compared to 4.34 last year

CUBS are seeing 3.70 pitches per plate appearance compared to 3.61 last year

CUBS are drving in 19.4% of their runners on base compared to 18.4% last year

CUBS are scoring 0.355 runs per baserunner compared to 0.365 last year

CUBS are 25-22 when they allow fewer than 4 walks.... 22-42 when they don't

CUBS are 37-37 when the opponent strikes out at least 6 times.... 10-27 when they don't

CUBS are 15-37 when the opponent steals a base.... 32-28 when they don't

CUBS are 15-28 when the opponent executes a sac bunt.... 32-36 when they don't

CUBS are 29-26 when the opponent GIDPs.... 18-38 when they don't

CUBS are 15-5 when the opponent commits at least 2 errors.... 32-59 when they don't

CUBS are 5-16 when the opponent triples.... 41-48 when they don't

CUBS are 10-24 when the opponent hits at least 2 HRs.... 37-40 when they don't

CUBS have 11 GIDP's in their last 18 games.... 20 GIDP's in their last 36 games

CUBS have 22 SB in their last 25 games

CUBS have 17 sac bunts in their last 23 games...... 23 sac bunts in their last 45 games

CUBS have 62 home runs in their last 55 games..... 29 home runs in their last 21 games

CUBS have drawn 81 BBs in their last 26 games

CUBS have 11 sac flies in their last 46 games

CUBS have 5 errors in their last 14 games

CUBS have allowed 31 HR in their last 29 games

CUBS have hit 19 batters in their last 35 games

CUBS have 4 quality starts in theie last 17 games.... 13 quality starts in their last 29 games

 

CUBS are 5-5 when Marmol starts

Marmol is 4 of 10 in quality starts

Marmol's ERA pitching to Barrett is 5.20 ... pitching to Blanco it's 6.00

CUBS score 4.22 R/G overall.... 3.80 R/G when Marmol pitches

CUBS hit 0.95 HR/G overall.... 0.90 HR/G when Marmol pitches

 

CUBS' offensive support of Marmol.....

 

04/03 - 08/05      AB    R    H   2b   3b   HR   TB  RBI   BB   SO     BA    OBP    SLG    OPS
CUBS w/Marmol     343   38   95   17    6    9  151   37   20   68  0.277  0.320  0.440  0.760
CUBS overall     3763  468 1009  188   29  106 1573  444  282  600  0.268  0.321  0.418  0.739

 

Marmol's pitching lines (3-5).....

 

Marmol                  IP    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    PC  BB/9   K/9  HR/9  WHIP   ERA
06/11  vs. Cincy       6.0    2    1    1    3    7    1    99  4.50 10.50  1.50  0.83  1.50
06/17  vs. Detr        6.0    7    4    4    2    4    1    86  3.00  6.00  1.50  1.50  6.00
06/23  vs. Minn        5.7    6    7    7    4    3    1   106  6.35  4.76  1.59  1.76 11.12
06/28  vs. Milw        6.3    3    1    1    2    8    0    97  2.84 11.37  0.00  0.79  1.42
07/03  vs. Houst       4.3    5    4    4    7    1    2    90 14.54  2.08  4.15  2.77  8.31
07/08  vs. Milw        6.0    3    1    1    5    4    0   103  7.50  6.00  0.00  1.33  1.50
07/18  vs. Houst       6.0    4    1    1    6    6    0   110  9.00  9.00  0.00  1.67  1.50
07/23  vs. Wash        3.7    6    5    5    4    2    2    70  9.82  4.91  4.91  2.73 12.27
07/28  vs. St. L       5.3    3    3    2    7    5    0   111 11.81  8.44  0.00  1.88  3.38
08/03  vs. Ariz        5.0    7    7    7    3    2    1    97  5.40  3.60  1.80  2.00 12.60

Home                  28.7   24   16   15   20   25    2   501  6.28  7.85  0.63  1.53  4.71
Road                  29.7   25   18   18   23   23    6   537  6.98  6.98  1.82  1.62  5.46

Day                   34.3   29   21   20   21   31    5   588  5.50  8.13  1.31  1.46  5.24
Nite                  24.0   20   13   13   22   17    3   450  8.25  6.38  1.13  1.75  4.88

totals vs. Milw       12.3    6    2    2    7   12    0   200  5.11  8.76  0.00  1.05  1.46

season totals         58.3   49   34   33   43   48    8  1038  6.63  7.41  1.23  1.58  5.09

 

CUBS bullpen usage for the last weeek

 

              Sun        Sat        Fri        Thur       Wed        Tue        Mon           Totals
             06 Aug     05 Aug     04 Aug     03 Aug     02 Aug     01 Aug     31 Jul
             vs Pitts   vs Pitts   vs Pitts   vs Ariz    rainout   vs Ariz    vs Ariz 
pitcher        IP Pit     IP Pit     IP Pit     IP Pit     IP Pit     IP Pit     IP Pit        IP Pit

Dempster      1.0  20    1.0  12               1.0  13                          1.0  15       4.0  60
Eyre                     0.3   4               1.3  18                                        1.7  22
Howry         1.0  23    1.0  13               0.3   4                          1.0  12       3.3  52
Ohman                    0.3   5               2.0  51                          0.3   8       2.7  64
Novoa                               1.0  10                          1.0  17    0.7  13       2.7  40
Wuertz                   0.7   7               2.3  34                                        3.0  41
Aardsma                             2.0  46    1.0  13                                        3.0  59

Totals        2.0  43    3.3  41    3.0  56    8.0 133               1.0  17    3.0  48      20.3 338

 

CUBS' season series vs. Milwaukee (5-6) .......

 

Gm#    Date       Opponent         Score  Starter
21  Fri 04/28    Milwaukee         6- 2  Maddux        
22  Sat 04/29    Milwaukee         2-16  Rusch        
23  Sun 04/30    Milwaukee         0- 9  Zambrano      
75  Mon 06/26    Milwaukee     N   0- 6  Maddux        
76  Tue 06/27    Milwaukee     N   5- 8  Zambrano      
77  Wed 06/28    Milwaukee         6- 3  Marmol        
78  Thu 06/29    Milwaukee         4- 5  Prior        
85  Thu 07/06  @ Milwaukee     N   0- 2  Maddux        
86  Fri 07/07  @ Milwaukee     N   7- 2  Zambrano      
87  Sat 07/08  @ Milwaukee     N   3- 1  Marmol        
88  Sun 07/09  @ Milwaukee        11- 4  Rusch        
112  Tue 08/08  @ Milwaukee     N    -    Marmol        
113  Wed 08/09  @ Milwaukee     N    -    Mateo        
114  Thu 08/10  @ Milwaukee          -    Zambrano      
158  Tue 09/26    Milwaukee     N    -             
159  Wed 09/27    Milwaukee     N    -             

 

CUBS hitters vs. Milwaukee this year.....

 

vs. Milw           AB    R    H   2B   3B   HR   TB  RBI   BB   SO     BA    OBP    SLG    OPS
Bynum               3    0    2    0    1    0    4    1    0    1  0.667  0.667  1.333  2.000
Walker             30    3   13    3    0    1   19    3    5    5  0.433  0.514  0.633  1.148
Barrett            15    4    7    1    0    0    8    1    4    0  0.467  0.579  0.533  1.112
Restovich           5    0    2    1    0    0    3    1    1    0  0.400  0.500  0.600  1.100
Ramirez            38    5   12    3    0    2   21    2    6    7  0.316  0.422  0.553  0.975
Jones              39    6   14    6    0    1   23    7    1    9  0.359  0.375  0.590  0.965
Murton             25    6    9    1    1    0   12    4    2    3  0.360  0.393  0.480  0.873
Pagan               7    2    1    0    0    1    4    0    1    1  0.143  0.250  0.571  0.821
Pierre             46    6   15    3    0    1   21    2    1    4  0.326  0.354  0.457  0.811
Perez              20    1    5    1    0    0    6    0    2    3  0.250  0.318  0.300  0.618
Blanco             23    2    4    1    1    0    7    1    2    4  0.174  0.240  0.304  0.544
Cedeno             40    4    7    1    0    1   11    4    1    8  0.175  0.209  0.275  0.484
Lee                30    3    4    1    0    1    8    2    3   11  0.133  0.212  0.267  0.479
Mabry               8    0    1    1    0    0    2    2    1    2  0.125  0.222  0.250  0.472
Nevin              17    0    2    0    0    0    2    0    5    5  0.118  0.318  0.118  0.436
Hairston            7    1    1    0    0    0    1    0    0    1  0.143  0.143  0.143  0.286

totals vs. Milw   375   44  102   23    3    9  158   32   36   72  0.272  0.339  0.421  0.760

season totals    3763  468 1009  183   29  106 1568  434  281  598  0.268  0.321  0.417  0.738

 

CUBS pitchers vs. Milwaukee this year......

 

vs. Milw             IP    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    PC  BB/9   K/9  HR/9  WHIP   ERA
Williamson          6.7    6    0    0    0    8    0    89  0.00 10.80  0.00  0.90  0.00
Marmol             12.3    6    2    2    7   12    0   200  5.11  8.76  0.00  1.05  1.46
Dempster            5.3    4    5    1    2    9    1    97  3.38 15.19  1.69  1.13  1.69
Howry               5.3    2    2    2    4    8    1    98  6.75 13.50  1.69  1.13  3.38
Eyre                5.3    5    2    2    3   10    1   114  5.06 16.88  1.69  1.50  3.38
Maddux             19.0   21    9    9    2   16    3   256  0.95  7.58  1.42  1.21  4.26
Zambrano           18.0   19   12   12   10   19    2   335  5.00  9.50  1.00  1.61  6.00
Ohman               4.7    5    4    4    3    4    1    79  5.79  7.71  1.93  1.71  7.71
Prior               5.7    8    5    5    4    9    1   101  6.35 14.29  1.59  2.12  7.94
Aardsma             3.3    4    3    3    3    4    2    78  8.10 10.80  5.40  2.10  8.10
Novoa               4.7    5    5    5    3    3    1    89  5.79  5.79  1.93  1.71  9.64
Rusch               7.7   10    9    9    5    5    5   165  5.87  5.87  5.87  1.96 10.57

totals vs. Milw    98.0   95   58   54   46  107   18  1701  4.22  9.83  1.65  1.44  4.96

season totals     977.3  955  572  527  463  830  147 16674  4.26  7.64  1.35  1.45  4.85

 

CUBS' hitters during the last 7 games......

 

07/31 - 08/06      AB    R    H   2B   3B   HR   TB  RBI   BB   SO     BA    OBP    SLG    OPS
Murton             15    3    8    4    0    2   18    9    1    0  0.533  0.563  1.200  1.763
Pagan              14    5    6    1    0    1   10    4    1    2  0.429  0.438  0.714  1.152
Ramirez            21    5    8    3    0    1   14    2    3    4  0.381  0.458  0.667  1.125
Cedeno             13    2    5    0    0    1    8    4    0    5  0.385  0.429  0.615  1.044
Theriot             7    1    3    1    0    0    4    1    0    0  0.429  0.429  0.571  1.000
Barrett            19    2    6    1    0    1   10    3    1    1  0.316  0.381  0.526  0.907
Jones              14    1    4    0    0    1    7    3    2    4  0.286  0.375  0.500  0.875
Nevin               8    3    2    0    0    0    2    0    4    4  0.250  0.500  0.250  0.750
Pierre             24    3    6    2    0    0    8    2    2    1  0.250  0.333  0.333  0.667
Izturis            21    3    5    1    0    0    6    2    1    2  0.238  0.273  0.286  0.558
Perez               9    1    2    0    0    0    2    0    0    0  0.222  0.222  0.222  0.444
Mabry              13    2    1    1    0    0    2    0    2    4  0.077  0.200  0.154  0.354
Blanco              2    0    0    0    0    0    0    1    0    0  0.000  0.000  0.000  0.000

7 game totals     190   31   58   14    0    7   93   31   18   32  0.305  0.373  0.489  0.862

season totals    3763  468 1009  183   29  106 1568  434  281  598  0.268  0.321  0.417  0.738

 

CUBS' pitchers during the last 7 games......

 

07/31 - 08/06        IP    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    PC  BB/9   K/9  HR/9  WHIP   ERA
Dempster            3.0    3    0    0    0    1    0    45  0.00  3.00  0.00  1.00  0.00
Novoa               2.0    0    0    0    1    2    0    27  4.50  9.00  0.00  0.50  0.00
Wuertz              4.0    1    1    1    0    5    1    57  0.00 11.25  2.25  0.25  2.25
Hill               15.0   11    4    4    3   15    2   212  1.80  9.00  1.20  0.93  2.40
Aardsma             3.0    2    1    1    1    4    1    59  3.00 12.00  3.00  1.00  3.00
Mateo               5.0    6    3    2    3    2    0    88  5.40  3.60  0.00  1.80  3.60
Howry               2.3    3    1    1    1    1    0    40  3.86  3.86  0.00  1.71  3.86
Eyre                1.7    2    1    1    0    2    1    22  0.00 10.80  5.40  1.20  5.40
Prior              10.7   11    9    8    6   10    4   209  5.06  8.44  3.38  1.59  6.75
Zambrano            6.0    9    5    5    3    6    1   117  4.50  9.00  1.50  2.00  7.50
Marmol              5.0    7    7    7    3    2    1    97  5.40  3.60  1.80  2.00 12.60
Rusch               2.0    4    4    4    1    2    3    44  4.50  9.00 13.50  2.50 18.00
Ohman               3.3    6    7    7    5    5    0    87 13.50 13.50  0.00  3.30 18.90

7 game totals      63.0   65   43   41   27   57   14  1104  3.86  8.14  2.00  1.46  5.86

season totals     977.3  955  572  527  463  830  147 16674  4.26  7.64  1.35  1.45  4.85

 

Percentage of baserunners driven in

 

04/03 - 08/06      BDI  LOB   RBI%
Restovich            1    2  0.333
Blanco              19   49  0.279
Walker              34  105  0.245
Perez               22   76  0.224
Barrett             31  109  0.221
Murton              31  111  0.218
Ramirez             44  160  0.216
Jones               37  139  0.210
Theriot              1    4  0.200
Izturis              2    9  0.182
Pagan                6   31  0.162
Mabry               10   52  0.161
Nevin               12   65  0.156
Lee                 10   58  0.147
Pierre              21  123  0.146
Cedeno              25  155  0.139
Bynum                4   25  0.138
Hairston             4   27  0.129
Womack               1   14  0.067

CUBS               328 1404  0.189

 

Go CUBS !!

[Fred Hornkohl]

Greetings from beautiful Mt. Airy, NC ! (with regards to Andy Griffith)

 

 

You've covered some mileage this week!

 

Since I left you in Monroe last Sunday..... I've been to Fort Worth, El Paso, Los Angeles, Allentown, PA, Albany, NY, and Lakeland, FL for a total of 6,183 miles. Not a bad week, eh?

 

I give you fair warning, tho.... picking up a load over in Orlando in the morning headed for Bogalusa. Forewarned is forearmed, no?

[RonnieWooWooSanto]

Greetings one an all from beautiful Lakeland, FL

 

So let me see if I get this straight.

 

Since your posts last weekend, you have posted from the following places:

 

Louisiana

Texas

California

Arizona

Virginia

Pennsylvania

North Carolina

Florida

 

If I may ask, how many hours/miles can you drive a day legally?

 

Edit to add: I wrote this before your previous post.

[Fred Hornkohl]

Greetings one an all from beautiful Lakeland, FL

 

So let me see if I get this straight.

 

Since your posts last weekend, you have posted from the following places:

 

Louisiana

Texas

California

Arizona

Virginia

Pennsylvania

North Carolina

Florida

 

If I may ask, how many hours/miles can you drive a day legally?

 

Edit to add: I wrote this before your previous post.

 

I'm subject to two concurrent constraints on my time. First, I can drive for a period up to 11 hours after which I must take 10 consecutive hours off. There fore, I guess you could say I can drive 14 hours a day, although it is not normally stated or measured in that way. Secondly, I cannot be on duty (includes driving and non-driving work time) for more than 60 hours in a 7 day period. My son, who is my co-driver at this time, is subject to the same constraints. Therefore, together, we can drive up to 120 hours in a 7 day period. So, while 6,183 miles may seem like a lot to you..... I'm still grumbling about having lost nearly a whole day last Tuesday in AZ, and most of Saturday in PA. We should have made 8,000 !!!

[Big Fergie J]

In order for the Cubs to make the wild card, Fred must travel for the rest of the season.

[otis89]

In order for the Cubs to make the wild card, Fred must travel for the rest of the season.

 

And the Reds and all the other teams ahead of the Cubs have to seriously implode.

[UMFan83]

In order to reduce the load on the youngster, Dusty Baker has elected to let every Brewers hitter start with a 3-0 count.

[CubColtPacer]

In order for the Cubs to make the wild card, Fred must travel for the rest of the season.

 

And the Reds and all the other teams ahead of the Cubs have to seriously implode.

 

Technically, if everyone else stayed playing at the same baseball they have for the season and the Cubs won at the same rate they did on the homestand, they would win the wildcard. Of course, just because something is possible doesn't mean it is going to happen-and winning almost 80 percent of your games over 50 games is incredibly hard for any team, and almost impossible for this team.

[CheeseHead Cubs Fan]

I got two extra nice seats for this game. PM me if you want these and I will let them go for face value or less...

 

Thanks guys and GO CUBBIES!!!

[mul21]

Greetings one an all from beautiful Lakeland, FL

 

So let me see if I get this straight.

 

Since your posts last weekend, you have posted from the following places:

 

Louisiana

Texas

California

Arizona

Virginia

Pennsylvania

North Carolina

Florida

 

If I may ask, how many hours/miles can you drive a day legally?

 

Edit to add: I wrote this before your previous post.

 

I'm subject to two concurrent constraints on my time. First, I can drive for a period up to 11 hours after which I must take 10 consecutive hours off. There fore, I guess you could say I can drive 14 hours a day, although it is not normally stated or measured in that way. Secondly, I cannot be on duty (includes driving and non-driving work time) for more than 60 hours in a 7 day period. My son, who is my co-driver at this time, is subject to the same constraints. Therefore, together, we can drive up to 120 hours in a 7 day period. So, while 6,183 miles may seem like a lot to you..... I'm still grumbling about having lost nearly a whole day last Tuesday in AZ, and most of Saturday in PA. We should have made 8,000 !!!

 

I was going to be forced to call you out for illegal driving, Fred. Having a little experince with the DOT regs, I was thinking 6,000 was just a bit over the top for a week. You average about 550-600 miles/day or so if my calculations are correct?

[Fred Hornkohl]

 

I was going to be forced to call you out for illegal driving, Fred. Having a little experince with the DOT regs, I was thinking 6,000 was just a bit over the top for a week. You average about 550-600 miles/day or so if my calculations are correct?

 

If I'm running alone, and I'm only averaging 550/day.... then I'm gonna have a stern conversation with a dispatcher.... 'cause that would mean I'm doing way more sitting than what is healthy !! But when you're running as a team, like we are right now, 1200/day is about all you can reasonably operate over time because of the constraints of the world as it is. i.e. not all shippers work around the clock; sometimes you have to wait for them to open, etc.

[Ding Dong Johnson]

Greetings one an all from beautiful Lakeland, FL

 

Tell Linda I said hi.

[Jazz]

9.5 games out of wildcard

[Fred Hornkohl]

Greetings one an all from beautiful Lakeland, FL

 

Tell Linda I said hi.

 

OK, I'll bite. Who's Linda ??

[soccer10k]

9.5 games out of wildcard

 

That really says something as to how pathetic the NL is.

[Andy]

9.5 games out of wildcard

 

That really says something as to how pathetic the NL is.

Agreed. I find myself taking cursory glances at how Cincy is doing to see if the Cubs can draw closer. And that's just ridiculous considering how laughably bad the Cubs have been.

[C.C.]

9.5 games out of wildcard

 

That really says something as to how pathetic the NL is.

Agreed. I find myself taking cursory glances at how Cincy is doing to see if the Cubs can draw closer. And that's just ridiculous considering how laughably bad the Cubs have been.

 

I do the same thing. As bad as we played the first half at least the 2nd half is enjoyable. It's nice having a half of season not worrying about Prior and Wood.

[goonys evil twin]

9.5 games out of wildcard

 

That really says something as to how pathetic the NL is.

Agreed. I find myself taking cursory glances at how Cincy is doing to see if the Cubs can draw closer. And that's just ridiculous considering how laughably bad the Cubs have been.

 

I do the same thing. As bad as we played the first half at least the 2nd half is enjoyable. It's nice having a half of season not worrying about Prior and Wood.

 

The status of the rest of the NL just pisses me off even more that Hendry and Baker did such a bad job. The division was there for the taking, and so was the entire league. MacPhail's absurd "contend within the division" mantra, and the quest for mediocrity that this entails could have actually done some good this season if they managed to do anything good in the offseason. As much work as the 2005 team needed to get better, it wouldn't have taken much to make this 2006 team at least .500 capable and possibly contending.

[C.C.]

9.5 games out of wildcard

 

That really says something as to how pathetic the NL is.

Agreed. I find myself taking cursory glances at how Cincy is doing to see if the Cubs can draw closer. And that's just ridiculous considering how laughably bad the Cubs have been.

 

I do the same thing. As bad as we played the first half at least the 2nd half is enjoyable. It's nice having a half of season not worrying about Prior and Wood.

 

The status of the rest of the NL just pisses me off even more that Hendry and Baker did such a bad job. The division was there for the taking, and so was the entire league. MacPhail's absurd "contend within the division" mantra, and the quest for mediocrity that this entails could have actually done some good this season if they managed to do anything good in the offseason. As much work as the 2005 team needed to get better, it wouldn't have taken much to make this 2006 team at least .500 capable and possibly contending.

 

I was talking about that last night with a friend of mine. All we had to do is play .500 baseball to be in it. It's a shame a team with a 95 million dollar payroll couldn't even do that, with or without DLEE.

[soccer10k]

9.5 games out of wildcard

 

That really says something as to how pathetic the NL is.

Agreed. I find myself taking cursory glances at how Cincy is doing to see if the Cubs can draw closer. And that's just ridiculous considering how laughably bad the Cubs have been.

 

I do the same thing. As bad as we played the first half at least the 2nd half is enjoyable. It's nice having a half of season not worrying about Prior and Wood.

 

The status of the rest of the NL just pisses me off even more that Hendry and Baker did such a bad job. The division was there for the taking, and so was the entire league. MacPhail's absurd "contend within the division" mantra, and the quest for mediocrity that this entails could have actually done some good this season if they managed to do anything good in the offseason. As much work as the 2005 team needed to get better, it wouldn't have taken much to make this 2006 team at least .500 capable and possibly contending.

 

I was talking about that last night with a friend of mine. All we had to do is play .500 baseball to be in it. It's a shame a team with a 95 million dollar payroll couldn't even do that, with or without DLEE.

 

.500 baseball for the year would put the Cubs 1 game out of the wild card.

[A New Era]

Looks like we are "contending within the division". .

 

Always playing JUST below what we need to do to get into the post season.

 

Good job MacPhail (F A I L). .

[Jerry Mumphrey]

I was talking about that last night with a friend of mine. All we had to do is play .500 baseball to be in it. It's a shame a team with a 95 million dollar payroll couldn't even do that, with or without DLEE.

 

It's the manager.

[Mark Priors Calves]

.500 baseball for the year would put the Cubs 1 game out of the wild card.

But that all changes if one of the teams ahead of the Cubs goes on a hot streak for the last 7 weeks of the season.

[PrimeTime]

As Girardi said it'll take about 8 wins to win the NL wild card