wRC+ with RISP

[mk49]

It's true that our pitchers suck.  But, I just compared the wRC+ with RISP with the last year, because we all know that they suck with RISP.  They were worse than I expected.  Aside from PCA and Kelly, they all got worse.  Seiya is a joke, and Bregman is worse than Dansby who is pretty bad.

wRC+ with RISP	2025	2026
Amaya	249	156
Seiya	168	7
Nico	149	81
Busch	146	128
Happ	122	107
Mo	117	116
Kelly	110	146
PCA	106	140
Swanson	74	57
Shaw	64	44
Tucker	135
Bregman		44
Conforto		118

Edited 47 minutes ago by mk49

[Tangled Up in Plaid]

If I was someone totally objective I would say this just means a lot of guys are due for positive regression to the mean.

but I'm not. Cobs

[mk49]

I do think at least a few guys are definitely due for positive regression.  Seiya, Nico and Bregman should get better.  Not sure about Dansby, though.

Edited 2 hours ago by mk49

[Derwood]

Seiya is truly lost at the plate

[Gjfificifjdej]

Seiya even being that high is unbelievable. He has been horrifyingly awful. 

[Bertz]

[Soul]

Seiya should be able to do better just throwing the bat at the ball.

[Stratos]

Here's a good article to a key reason we  sucked in May.  TLDR: We annihilated fastballs in April, teams adjusted and stated throwing certain guys a ton of breaking balls.  Seiya and Dansby were leading the MLB, Amaya and Bregman weren't too far behind:

https://www.mlb.com/news/cubs-seeing-historic-amount-of-breaking-balls-may-2026

Also, Mo was last on the team in May in pitches thrown to him that were strikes (30%).  He was also worst on the team in swings on pitches outside the zone.  Pitchers have adjusted to him.

[mk49]

That explains Amaya.  He was the best hitter for the Cubs in March and early April.  He hasn't been as good lately, although still not as bad.  Seiya has always been bad with outside breaking balls, and sometimes, cutters.  He chases too much.

Edited 1 hour ago by mk49

[We Got The Whole 9]

They need to at least tighten their zones against breakers if they can't do much damage to them. They get in bad counts chasing early too often. The adjustments made have really derailed the offenses approach. 

[Soul]

50 minutes ago, mk49 said:

That explains Amaya.  He was the best hitter for the Cubs in March and early April.  He hasn't been as good lately, although still not as bad.  Seiya has always been bad with outside breaking balls, and sometimes, cutters.  He chases too much.

I always thought Seiya had a good eye.

[Tangled Up in Plaid]

4 minutes ago, Soul said:

I always thought Seiya had a good eye.

He normally does at least, he's 82nd percentile in chase rate, only 24.2%

[mk49]

13 minutes ago, Soul said:

I always thought Seiya had a good eye.

He does, but he chases too many outside breaking balls, especially with 2 strikes.

Edited just now by mk49