2018 Actual MLB Draft Day(s) Thread

[CaliforniaRaisin]

 

Damn. A's picked Schwartz.

 

They probably aren't as cheap as your traditional senior signs but they would be good picks. Well, Montes de Oca still would be - I can imagine him moving quickly as a reliever.

 

Yeah, I could see either playing Indy ball for a year if they only get offered $5K. But the Cubs don't need to underslot that much, or at least they shouldn't at this point.

 

Montes de Oca can go back to Mizzou for another year as a redshirt senior if he wanted

[Transmogrified Tiger]

Drafting a whole university seems like a shrewd use of a pick

 

[CaliforniaRaisin]

8th rounder: Zach Mort, RHP, George Mason U (junior)

[CaliforniaRaisin]

[PackLandVA]

Wouldn’t mind the cubs grabbing RHP Owen Sharts from Simi Valley HS, ranked #119, strictly for the entertainment value of his name.

[davell]

[jersey cubs fan]

Drafting a whole university seems like a shrewd use of a pick

 

I wanted to make that joke but got pulled into a meeting

[CaliforniaRaisin]

Poor Bryce Montes de Oca had two elbow surgeries in college and just got drafted by the Mets.

[CaliforniaRaisin]

9th round: Derek Casey, RHP, Virginia (college)

[jersey cubs fan]

9th round: Derek Casey, RHP, Virginia (college)

[davell]

That guy isn't a senior either. So we haven't done any of them. I have no clue where we are financially lol. Tomorrow will be interesting early on.

[Cubswin11]

9th round: Derek Casey, RHP, Virginia (college)

Theo when he calls him up to offer him this time....

 

http://i41.tinypic.com/2nk3p6u.jpg

[davell]

Pretty sure he's a 4th year junior.

 

College didn't make him any smarter though. Still says it was a good decision lol.

[Outshined_One]

That guy isn't a senior either. So we haven't done any of them. I have no clue where we are financially lol. Tomorrow will be interesting early on.

 

Maybe the Cubs didn't have any pre-draft handshake overslot deals?

[davell]

https://twitter.com/Savermetrics/status/1004117430577164289?s=19

[toonsterwu]

9th round: Derek Casey, RHP, Virginia (college)

 

Was about to post this afternoon that I wouldn't be surprised if the Cubs took Casey, since they scouted Virginia.

 

Casey's gonna turn pro. He's had TJ ... and finally got in a solid year. He was a very good prep arm back in the day, but the fastball, IIRC, used to hit mid-90's more consistently. I believe he worked around 91-94 this year, with a slider that flashes well, but is probably just above average. The profile is there to be an end of the rotation starter, but the more realistic guess may be a middle relief profile that could be better if his stuff plays up out of the pen.

 

I'll be honest ... Daniel Lynch has a higher ceiling ... I think Derek Casey is the more likely bet to reach the majors.

 

_____

 

Weber put together a fantastic season. Hit tool is very good, puts good wood on it, showed burgeoning power. He very much fits the "mold". It's more gap power, and I think the biggest question is how the discipline holds as he deals with tougher pitching. It's a tough one to call ... I could see him surprising and being a very good, offensive minded 2nd baseman ... but I could also see him flounder a la Bruno. Off the top, he has some positional versatility (could probably handle 3rd, although off the top, don't think he's played it since his freshman year? He's played 2nd the last two years).

 

_____

 

My personal bias aside ... if you strip away the early picks, I like how the rest of the draft has moved along. I figured they would try to target college guys to fill in gaps in the system, and there's some good pieces. I'll be honest, my bias aside, I like the Casey pick moreso than Richan. I think their ceilings are about the same.

[Lefty]

Pretty sure he's a 4th year junior.

 

College didn't make him any smarter though. Still says it was a good decision lol.

 

I assume a UVA degree has some value.

[davell]

That guy isn't a senior either. So we haven't done any of them. I have no clue where we are financially lol. Tomorrow will be interesting early on.

 

Maybe the Cubs didn't have any pre-draft handshake overslot deals?

 

Maybe not. Davis is definitely getting over slot at 62. Roederer might too, at 77. But, I'd figure we evened it out with Hoerner. Richan was slot.

 

Herron could be an under slot in the 3rd. He's got to have TJS. Roberts could be in the 4th too. Weber was unranked in the 5th too, but he's a big conference guy. Maybe he got slot. Franklin was an unranked HS guy. His dad is an agent. Maybe we went over for him? If so, I wouldn't think it was much. Artis in the 7th? Maybe we needed to give him a bit extra? Mort and Casey are non descript, they were slot guys, at most.

 

Looking this over, my honest guess is we'll have the entire overage to play with tomorrow. Plus maybe an extra 200-300k on top of it.

[Transmogrified Tiger]

[tweet]

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[davell]

Pretty sure he's a 4th year junior.

 

College didn't make him any smarter though. Still says it was a good decision lol.

 

I assume a UVA degree has some value.

 

Yeah. And he could have done that after he tried pro baseball. With 900k in his pocket. And the Cubs paying for his college.

[CaliforniaRaisin]

10th round: Luke Reynolds, 3B, Southern Miss (junior)

 

BA ranked him 404:

 

Luke Reynolds 4YR 3B

School: Southern Mississippi

Ht: 6-2 | Wt: 180 | B-T: L-R | Commit/Drafted: Never Drafted

Scouting Report: Reynolds in 2014 began his college career at Hinds (Miss.) JC before transferring to Mississippi State for his sophomore season. He played one season for the Bulldogs before beginning a lengthy transfer process to Southern Miss, which cost him two seasons. He finally got on the field this year for the Golden Eagles and excelled, winning Conference USA player of the year honors. He is a disciplined hitter who has the power to drive the ball out to all fields. He is a solid athlete and plays third base well. Reynolds is already 23-years-old, a fact that weighs against him in evaluations and may make him more of a value pick.

[CaliforniaRaisin]

No Luke Heimlich through two days.

[CaliforniaRaisin]

MLB.com's top available prospects.

[Hrubes20]

I like the Luke Reynolds pick way more than I should. He hit everywhere he played in college.

 

Same here. I know he's old. I know he strikes out too much for college. But I just kind of dig this pick for some reason.

[CubinNY]

I don't follow the amateur player rankings at all, so can someone tell me:

 

- How much variance is their between major industry publications' player ranking lists?

- Has anyone done a study on whether industry publication rankings have any value in terms of predicting future outcomes? Or are their one or two such publications that have better track records?

 

I haven't seen anything like that. Part of the problem with the latter question is some of the folks who work in publications have moved on, either to MLB scouting departments or to other publications (such as Jim Callis from BA to MLB.com), so you can't fairly compare publication to publication.

A consensus of opinion by knowledgeable people will always win in the aggregate but has little value for a specific pick.