General Cubs Chit-Chat

[Sammy Sofa]

Bryant may be a pants-[expletive] Mormon, but at least he has the sense to break up Bryzzo for a night and not subject himself to that.

[JudasIscariotTheBird]

Bryant may be a pants-[expletive] Mormon, but at least he has the sense to break up Bryzzo for a night and not subject himself to that.

I like to imagine him as a Mormon in the "Orgasmo" mold.

[Ding Dong Johnson]

what's a Kenny Chesney?

[Sammy Sofa]

what's a Kenny Chesney?

 

He drives white people to madness/racism:

 

http://deadspin.com/shirtless-richie-incognito-shows-up-at-kenny-chesney-co-1708173119

 

http://deadspin.com/eagles-wr-riley-cooper-at-concert-i-will-fight-every-979470075

 

http://www.wpxi.com/news/local/rowdy-crowds-arrested-kenny-chesney-concert-heinz-/197689554

 

http://www.wpxi.com/news/massive-clean-begins-following-kenny-chesney-conce/289637369

 

http://theconcourse.deadspin.com/cops-overwhelmed-by-drunks-kenny-chesney-sparks-white-1713086995

 

Cops arrested 22 people at Kenny Chesney’s Saturday concert at Lambeau Field in Green Bay, and dozens others were ejected for misbehaviors police attribute entirely to alcohol. At one point, cops were so overwhelmed by miscreants that they momentarily lost track of exactly how many troublemakers had been booked for unlawful conduct.

 

Among the crimes called in by officers:

 

7:52 p.m. — A male wearing cutoffs harassed other concertgoers for turning him in to cops for sneaking in booze.

7:56 p.m. — A highly intoxicated male shits his pants. Multiple calls.

8:04 p.m. — A highly intoxicated male is “pickin’ fights with everybody.”

8:06 p.m. — A highly intoxicated person is “puking and falling on people.”

8:30 p.m. — “Belligerent fan spilling beer.”

8:57 p.m. — An intoxicated male is foaming at the mouth.

9:43 p.m. — A male party has a nose injury and gets tased.

9:48 p.m. — A huge fight breaks out near the Lambeau pro shop.

10:17 p.m. — A male is groping women.

[Brian]

https://www.instagram.com/p/BI0O8nfAAuV/?taken-by=dexterfowler&hl=en

[Sammy Sofa]

So they don't bring any of the black guys along for golf, but they make Fowler go to a Kenny Chesney show?

 

This team is fucked up.

[Sammy Sofa]

Is Kenny Chesney the guy that looks like a sunburnt penis had a baby with Joe Rogan, the guy that looks like Sammy Hagar (who probably is Sammy Hagar) or the neo-Nazi-looking biker dude?

[Ding Dong Johnson]

Is Kenny Chesney the guy that looks like a sunburnt penis had a baby with Joe Rogan, the guy that looks like Sammy Hagar (who probably is Sammy Hagar) or the neo-Nazi-looking biker dude?

yes

[David]

Is Kenny Chesney the guy that looks like a sunburnt penis had a baby with Joe Rogan, the guy that looks like Sammy Hagar (who probably is Sammy Hagar) or the neo-Nazi-looking biker dude?

 

That's def Sammy.

[Brian]

of the many things to marvel at in the picture, a grown man with a fake tattoo sleeve is number one

[Derwood]

Is Kenny Chesney the guy that looks like a sunburnt penis had a baby with Joe Rogan, the guy that looks like Sammy Hagar (who probably is Sammy Hagar) or the neo-Nazi-looking biker dude?

 

Penis

[Sammy Sofa]

Well that's definitely not what I expected.

[snoodmonger]

why are baseball players such countrified hillbillies?

[Brian]

12 years ago today the Cubs were also in bay area and Maddux got win #300

 

[tweet]

[/tweet]

 

Corey Patterson

Nomar Garciaparra

Moises Alou

Sammy Sosa

Aramis Ramirez

Derrek Lee

Todd Walker

Paul Bako

Greg Maddux

 

After that day the Cubs were 61-49 and 10.5 back

[David]

I remember pretty vividly watching that game on a Saturday afternoon.

[bukie]

They've done it, a 100% chance to make the playoffs now:

 

http://www.fangraphs.com/coolstandings.aspx

[Banedon]

They've done it, a 100% chance to make the playoffs now:

 

http://www.fangraphs.com/coolstandings.aspx

 

Projected to get 100 wins again too.

[BigSlick]

The problem is I need to stop listening to Chicago sports radio. This is really the problem.

 

But oh my god I am so tired of people saying we need to move Kris Bryant off 3b for Baez, putting him at LF permanently. Why? Why do people insist on this? Bryant grades out well at 3b, we're going to have a crowded outfield even if we lose Dex next year, and if anyone has looked shaky defensively this year it's been Zobrist more than anyone else.

 

Also I'm totally fine with Baez: Super Sub for the immediate future anyway.

[Omar]

They've done it, a 100% chance to make the playoffs now:

 

http://www.fangraphs.com/coolstandings.aspx

 

Projected to get 100 wins again too.

 

How do the Red Sox have better playoff odds across the board with a worse record than the Orioles?

[Banedon]

The problem is I need to stop listening to Chicago sports radio. This is really the problem.

 

But oh my god I am so tired of people saying we need to move Kris Bryant off 3b for Baez, putting him at LF permanently. Why? Why do people insist on this? Bryant grades out well at 3b, we're going to have a crowded outfield even if we lose Dex next year, and if anyone has looked shaky defensively this year it's been Zobrist more than anyone else.

 

Also I'm totally fine with Baez: Super Sub for the immediate future anyway.

 

I have no issue with Bryant being permanent LF if it somehow solved the position situation and got Baez more AB's. But it doesn't, because you have 3 catchers, and want to get Contreras's bat in the lineup even when he's not catching...and next year Schwarber comes back.

[Banedon]

They've done it, a 100% chance to make the playoffs now:

 

http://www.fangraphs.com/coolstandings.aspx

 

Projected to get 100 wins again too.

 

How do the Red Sox have better playoff odds across the board with a worse record than the Orioles?

 

Run differential,

[UMFan83]

Speaking of RD, the Cubs are still playing roughly 7 games worse than their pythag. With average luck, the Cubs would be 76-34 and on pace to finish 112-50, so you could conclude with good luck this Cubs team would still be close to on being pace to win 116.

[Aaron_Kennelly]

Speaking of RD, the Cubs are still playing roughly 7 games worse than their pythag. With average luck, the Cubs would be 76-34 and on pace to finish 112-50, so you could conclude with good luck this Cubs team would still be close to on being pace to win 116.

 

Without knowing the answer or ever seeing if anyone has studied such a thing, I wonder if Pythag might have a tough time measuring teams that are truly elite -- teams that are at or nearing +300 or so RD. When it measures teams that are all fairly close to .500, it should work fine. But, when you get to the extremes -- a team that scores way more runs or allows way less runs -- then there is more room for variance. If all you have to do is lose 50 games to be below your Pythag, then just a few slip-ups here or there can throw you way off. So variance becomes a bigger factor.

[Old Style]

Is it too early to start tracking the magic number?

 

http://www.cubsmagicnumber.com/

[BigSlick]

Speaking of RD, the Cubs are still playing roughly 7 games worse than their pythag. With average luck, the Cubs would be 76-34 and on pace to finish 112-50, so you could conclude with good luck this Cubs team would still be close to on being pace to win 116.

 

Without knowing the answer or ever seeing if anyone has studied such a thing, I wonder if Pythag might have a tough time measuring teams that are truly elite -- teams that are at or nearing +300 or so RD. When it measures teams that are all fairly close to .500, it should work fine. But, when you get to the extremes -- a team that scores way more runs or allows way less runs -- then there is more room for variance. If all you have to do is lose 50 games to be below your Pythag, then just a few slip-ups here or there can throw you way off. So variance becomes a bigger factor.

Yes this is my suspicion as well - there was a similar problem last year with the Blue Jays who had an elite run differential (they had a +220 run differential, but underplayed the pythagorean by 9 games). I think luck has a factor to play, but there is something to outliers not following the same pattern.

 

There's also something to that buzzword everyone is itchy about, cluster luck, in that the Cubs maybe "should" have scored even more runs than they have. Looking at their 2nd and 3rd order winning percentage at baseball prospectus they're underplaying it be 9 and 7 games respectively. http://www.baseballprospectus.com/standings/index.php?dispgroup=div&standings_sort=pct1

 

This soothes the inner meatball inside of me that feels like we don't score enough when we have runners in scoring position and no outs. And I wont look those numbers up because its total emotional meatballery and I don't care how real or unreal it is.