JudasIscariotTheBird

I don't follow college football at all, so I know even less. But in general, I think QBs go later than they should, and it's entirely because of risk-aversion to bust rates. Painful when you lose, but when you hit, it's just worth soooo much.

When your QB is 38 (and had retirement rumors swirling due to back issues pre-season) and you see a QB you think is good, I don't think how the previous year ended means all that much.

...I guess it's easy to say so in hindsight, because they are probably winning 97% of the time if they don't foul...but that's not as good as the 99.9% if they do.

Probably the loudest I've shouted in surprise while watching a CBB game.

Is this a bit? This began as a sincere gambling thread. If you can't tolerate it, make a new one or something?

JSN concussion (and Darnold missing him on two TDs) really hurt me. I had the highest scoring team with JSN on it, but that was my only good for 5th. Feels weird winning 25k and it's a letdown.

You son of a bitch.

I saw this headline, and I refuse to read the details of why that's an advantage. I like imagining what it could be.

I'm willing to wager we can fit both here.

I might make some hedgy bets if I see something that makes sense. Diggs and Henderson yardage and TD props and stuff like that.

My kids spilled an Ollie Pop on my car radio console, so for about 3 months it would randomly change stations. The number of Christian stations is astounding, and Christian music has gotten worse, somehow.

Yeah, it's good enough of a team that it's been mentioned multiple times on my gambling nerd podcasts. ...so I'm just preparing for a 2 TD Diggs game and massive disappointment.

My main gambling focus for the last three years or so has been NFL best ball contests. I mostly play contests that have huge payouts at the top, but you're playing against hundreds of thousands of entries. These types of contests tend to result in either small (likely) losses, or, fingers crossed, big wins. Somehow, I have had a small winning season every year, but after the 2025 regular season, it looked likely I was finally going to have an annual loss. But, I've known for a while that the playoff bestball contests are the juiciest. For strategic reasons I won't go into, a lot of people are still playing these contests all wrong. I've made the finals for Underdog's main contest multiple times, and even tied for first a few years ago, but it was a 42-way tie for first. Getting 17k for winning this thing isn't so great. This year, I only had one team survive into the conference finals round, but it was all but guaranteed to make the finals, and if the Super Bowl happened to be Pats/Seahawks, I knew I'd have a really strong team. I don't normally bother to update the fam on how this stuff is going, but I knew this might be a thing. My kids very politely pretended to care, but the Mrs. caught the hint, and sweated the games with me. Pretty fun. I knew I had a good shot at real money as soon as the conference games were done, but I didn't come close to guessing the amount that a simulation website thinks I'll win on average. I've never taken Xanax, but I'm considering it for next week. (I'm Limehouse) www.bbmdb.com It probably won't be too hard for this crowd to help me root against Diggs next week.

I'm mildly excited about the new Klosterman book.

I don't know the Ruy a quarter as well as most players my strength do, but it sure seems like Al knew what he was doing in it. In fact, it looks like Oppen is cooked pretty early on. I kinda doubt this game is real, honestly. Albert looks to have played a lot of theory, and he doesn't seem like the type to have spent that much time on chess. I also don't think Einstein was especially gifted, memory-wise.

I could have put this in any thread, but I love Klosterman and had to put it somewhere.

I have listened to a lot of his press conferences. He's WAY more honest and insightful than almost any coach I've seen in that setting. He's just sincere and likeable and comes off as pretty sharp. So yeah, I think he has the right temperament to be a head coach...but imo, his performance this year a D coordinator was abysmal. All of those defensive metrics should have been expected with the Packers 2025 roster. And game outcomes (namely, coughing up games with nearly insurmountable leads) happened too often to just be bad luck. I was mildly surprised he was offered the position.

Entirely reasonable take: https://slate.com/technology/2025/11/baseball-betting-scandal-emmanuel-clase-luis-ortiz-cleveland-guardians.html