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Transmogrified Tiger All-Star

Transmogrified Tiger

Community Moderator
Posted
Posted

If the Cubs go 15-14 to end the season, it means the Cardinals need to play at a 110 win pace to tie and 116 win pace to win the division.

 

The Cardinals are closer to 5th in the wild card race than they are to the division lead.

 

The Cardinals have played at a 126 win pace in August and gained 3 games on the Cubs.

Banedon GOAT

Banedon

Community Moderator
Posted
Posted
If the Cubs go 15-14 to end the season, it means the Cardinals need to play at a 110 win pace to tie and 116 win pace to win the division.

 

The Cardinals are closer to 5th in the wild card race than they are to the division lead.

 

The Cardinals have played at a 126 win pace in August and gained 3 games on the Cubs.

 

Cardinals fans:

 

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UMFan83 GOAT

UMFan83

Old-Timey Member
Posted
Posted

Yes the Cardinals will probably not win the division but it could get uncomfortably close with the long road trip against .500 and above teams and the back end of 23 in a row while the Cardinals play the Reds, Tigers, Nationals and Pirates.

 

But once this road trip is over, 16 of the Cubs final 19 games will be played in Chicago so we should be able to put them away before the final series.

Sammy Sofa GOAT

Sammy Sofa

Old-Timey Member
Posted
Posted
Yes the Cardinals will probably not win the division but it could get uncomfortably close with the long road trip against .500 and above teams and the back end of 23 in a row while the Cardinals play the Reds, Tigers, Nationals and Pirates.

 

And the Cubs should have run away with it while the opposite when the Cubs had the easy stretch and the Cardinals and Brewers had the tougher stretches. Baseball is baseball like that; what's more likely is the Cardinals' pace slows down despite them playing "easier" teams. It can't be overstated how they essentially have to keep winning like maniacs AND the Cubs have to really play flat or worse for the division to really be an issue.

Brian MVP

Brian

Old-Timey Member
Posted
Posted
This is very much like 2015 where the Cubs played out of their mind down the stretch and flirted with winning the division for a little bit, but ultimately ended up with a wild card spot.... let's hope the similarities end there.
Bertz Knoxville Smokies

Bertz

Old-Timey Member
Posted
Posted
Yes the Cardinals will probably not win the division but it could get uncomfortably close with the long road trip against .500 and above teams and the back end of 23 in a row while the Cardinals play the Reds, Tigers, Nationals and Pirates.

 

And the Cubs should have run away with it while the opposite when the Cubs had the easy stretch and the Cardinals and Brewers had the tougher stretches. Baseball is baseball like that; what's more likely is the Cardinals' pace slows down despite them playing "easier" teams. It can't be overstated how they essentially have to keep winning like maniacs AND the Cubs have to really play flat or worse for the division to really be an issue.

 

Very much this. The Cubs have 29 games left, if they go 14-15, the Cards need to go 18-10 (104 win pace) and/or the Brewers need to go 18-9 (108 win pace) to match. Crazy things can happen in one month of baseball (I think the Rockies in '07 won like 22/25 or something to end the year) but at this point the Cubs not winning the division would only happen because the Cubs played like crap.

Regular Show ACL Cubs

Regular Show

Old-Timey Member
Posted
Posted

[tweet]

[/tweet]

 

The most illuminating footage of the fight was captured on a two-minute cellphone video taken by a cab driver. Though Martinez told police he didn’t hit anyone, the video shows him rushing toward a crowd of about a dozen people gathered near a barbecue stand and appearing to throw at least one punch before bouncers push him back. It’s unclear whether he landed his punch.

 

Classy organization =D>

 

I can't wait for some Cards fan to respond with "Fake News".

jehr Prep Ball

jehr

Verified Member
Posted
Posted
Is Matheny still managing?

 

They had a good month, which led to them taking the interim off of his title. I'm betting they're stuck now with Matheny 2.0, all due to an ill-timed hot streak.

soccer10k Cooperstown

soccer10k

Old-Timey Member
Posted
Posted
To my untrained eye it seems the Cardinals have the toughest remaining schedule of the teams in the Central. They still have the Dodgers, Braves, Brewers and Cubs.

 

According to BP:

 

Stl: .531

Chi: .499

Mil: .482

 

Other NL Contenders:

 

Col: .550 (12 games vs. Ari and LA plus 4 vs Philly)

Ari: .549 (10 games vs. Col and LA plus 2 vs Atl, 3 vs Cubs and 3 vs Houston

Phi: .510 (7 games vs Atl and 4 vs Col)

Atl: .509 (7 vs. Phi, 3 vs. Stl and 2 vs Ari)

LAD: .490

 

There's really no reason Milwaukee shouldn't at least get a WC spot. They've got 6 games against good teams (us and St. Louis) and 14 against teams that are under .500 (though the Pittsburgh games could switch). Meanwhile, the Rockies/DBacks/Dodgers will all cannibalize themselves and Philly is 5 back with 22 games to go, and they'd pass Atlanta first.

 

So as long as the Brewers play .500ish ball (10-10 or 9-11), they should be fine. Even 8-12 would get them to 88 and that could be enough for the second wild card.

Ding Dong Johnson Cooperstown

Ding Dong Johnson

Old-Timey Member
Posted
Posted
that Bob Gibson stuff needs to die. here’s a list of pitchers who hit more guys: Jamie Moyer, Chan Ho Park, Frank Tanana, Kenny Rogers, Orel Hershiser, Darryl Kile, Bronson Arroyo. a real murderers row there. there are 5 guys this season alone who hit more batters than Gibson hit in any one season
mul21 Myrtle Beach Pelicans

mul21

Old-Timey Member
Posted
Posted
Just for fun:

 

The Cardinals are 9-10 since taking the interim tag off of Schildt.

 

Not-so-coincidentally:

 

Carpenter during this 9-10 run: .772 OPS

 

That's definitely a more apt correlation. He was carrying the entire offense with a few kick ins from others here and there and it made them look a lot better than they were. Martinez has gone ice cold as well.

Clem Fandango All-Star

Clem Fandango

Old-Timey Member
Posted
Posted (edited)
Just for fun:

 

The Cardinals are 9-10 since taking the interim tag off of Schildt.

 

Not-so-coincidentally:

 

Carpenter during this 9-10 run: .772 OPS

 

That's definitely a more apt correlation. He was carrying the entire offense with a few kick ins from others here and there and it made them look a lot better than they were. Martinez has gone ice cold as well.

 

Also, the first game of this 19 game run Carpenter went 4 for 5. If you count the last 18 games, his OPS is .651. One single game adds 121 points of OPS to that total. And for even more arbitrary end points, for the month of September his OPS is .559

 

Good luck getting that MVP now, Carp.

Edited by The Logan

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