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Posted

http://www.bleachernation.com/2015/06/25/report-cubs-targeting-scott-kazmir-as-possible-trade-piece/

 

I feel as though he's been brought up in multiple trade threads. But seeing as there's some actual smoke here, it should have its own thread.

 

He's been healthy and productive for almost 2 1/2 seasons after being left for dead. So far, he's put together a 1.9 WAR. It's easy for people to go crazy in terms of potential return. And if you look at the Facebook thread attached to this, plenty of them are.

 

My starting offer would be Dan Vogelbach and Daury Torrez.

 

And I'm sure that a lot of you laughing and desperately searching the web for gifs and memes. But using as a template the package that we got for a guy who was at the time, one of the best starting pitchers in the NL, and with a 3.5 WAR to back it up, Ryan Dempster, it's not that unrealistic.

 

Sure, the return was a bit of a disappointment following the Delgado fiasco. But the blocked, fringe top 100 prospect and little known but intriguing young pitching prospect was a very good return for the front end but non-elite rental.

 

Yeah, Dempster was 35 at the time and Kazmir 31, but when talking about a healthy and productive 2 month rental, does that really make a difference?

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Posted
I don't know why but I'm a big fan of Kazmir. Well I know why. I think he's due for a couple 3 win seasons. A Ted Lilly/Travis Wood like breakout. Ks are back up. BBs are down. HRs will go down a little. And I think he can give a team 180-190 innings.
  • 2 weeks later...
  • 2 weeks later...
Guest
Guests
Posted
To Astros for people I never heard of

 

hope that says something about the market for rentals

Old-Timey Member
Posted

RHP Daniel Mengden, 22, 4th-round pick last year, 1.16 ERA/2.65 FIP/0.98 WHIP in 38.2 IP at low-A this year, now in high-A

C Jacob Nottingham, 20, 2013 6th-rounder, .326/.387/.543 at low-A this year, .324/.368/.606 in 76 PA since being moved up to high-A

Posted
To Astros for people I never heard of

 

hope that says something about the market for rentals

 

Hmm its too bad the Cubs seem to have no desire in rentals.

Guest
Guests
Posted
To Astros for people I never heard of

 

hope that says something about the market for rentals

 

Hmm its too bad the Cubs seem to have no desire in rentals.

 

lol arguello

Posted

If Kazmir was that cheap, Latos would be doable and cheap.

 

They just need a 5th starter running beeler/wada/other crap AAA pitcher out there for the stretch is no bueno

Posted
Nottingham is a guy who is going to finish well within the top 100 prospects. Kazmir didn't come that cheap.

 

what would have been a comparable pair of Cubs prospects?

 

We don't really have one to be honest. I guess Ian Happ would currently be the closest.

Posted

Nottingham seems like a Jesus Montero-type prospect (which is actually meant to be flattering in this case) with less bonus-hype

 

it's at this point we remember he was actually traded for Michael Pineda...

Posted
Nottingham is a guy who is going to finish well within the top 100 prospects. Kazmir didn't come that cheap.

 

what would have been a comparable pair of Cubs prospects?

 

We don't really have one to be honest. I guess Ian Happ would currently be the closest.

 

Josh Donaldson?

Posted
I haven't seen anything on him as being a top 100 type. Kiley said top 150ish and that's the best I've seen. Seems pretty fair for Kazmir to me.
Posted
I haven't seen anything on him as being a top 100 type. Kiley said top 150ish and that's the best I've seen. Seems pretty fair for Kazmir to me.

 

Sickels had him #71 on his midseason list.

Posted
I haven't seen anything on him as being a top 100 type. Kiley said top 150ish and that's the best I've seen. Seems pretty fair for Kazmir to me.

 

Sickels had him #71 on his midseason list.

 

Ah, he counts. But I'm definitely not a fan of his.

Posted

I think Nottingham's profile is probably going to make him one of those borderline top 100 candidates - legit power, some defensive questions behind the plate, and relatively far away. I could see it go either way ... that general profile tends to feel like borderline top 100.

 

As for the deal ... I'm always fascinated with Beane deals, and from his perspective, I totally get this deal. He goes after what he can't get in FA - power hitters, and gets a solid arm along with it. Sure, the guys far away, but they have some system depth that he they didn't need to force a return.

 

Overall value ... I think it's about right. I could buy arguments on both sides of it, tbh, and it really would probably be dependent solely on how one feels about Nottingham. I wonder if this move will really set the tone for the market, or if it will be Beane striking early for something he liked.

Posted
Not really. One domino has fallen, so the sellers have that to their advantage. And the return was mostly underwelming, so the buyers have that. But at the end of the day, the market depends on how much the buyers want the sellers have.
  • 4 months later...

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