General 2011 Other Games Thread

[Guest]

Does anyone know where to find past playoff odds for the season? I'm curious as to which team (the Red Sox or Braves) was more likely to make the playoffs at their highest point.

[UMFan83]

Does anyone know where to find past playoff odds for the season? I'm curious as to which team (the Red Sox or Braves) was more likely to make the playoffs at their highest point.

 

Atlanta: http://www.sportsclubstats.com/MLB/National/NLEastern/Atlanta_ChanceWillMakePlayoffs.html

 

99.64% on August 25th

 

Boston: http://www.sportsclubstats.com/MLB/American/ALEastern/Boston_ChanceWillMakePlayoffs.html

 

Strangely enough, Boston's chances also peaked on the same day, when they hit 99.90% on August 25th.

[TruffleShuffle]

Does anyone know where to find past playoff odds for the season? I'm curious as to which team (the Red Sox or Braves) was more likely to make the playoffs at their highest point.

 

Atlanta: http://www.sportsclubstats.com/MLB/National/NLEastern/Atlanta_ChanceWillMakePlayoffs.html

 

99.64% on August 25th

 

Boston: http://www.sportsclubstats.com/MLB/American/ALEastern/Boston_ChanceWillMakePlayoffs.html

 

Strangely enough, Boston's chances also peaked on the same day, when they hit 99.90% on August 25th.

 

nate silver did an article about the biggest collapses in baseball history when he was still with BP... the 1995 angels had the biggest choke, because on august 20th they led their division by 9.5 games and led the next-closest wild card contender by 12 games. they were 99.988% likely to make the playoffs, or 8,332-to-1 to miss it.

 

the 2007 mets ended up blowing the division, and were 99.8% likely to make it. i don't think there were teams with odds that high in 2008, 2009 or 2010 that blew it, so the red sox would be the second-worst choke in MLB history. the braves would be #4 or #5, depending on whether the red sox miss out (the braves would also trail the infamous 1951 dodgers).

[CubColtPacer]

Does anyone know where to find past playoff odds for the season? I'm curious as to which team (the Red Sox or Braves) was more likely to make the playoffs at their highest point.

 

Atlanta: http://www.sportsclubstats.com/MLB/National/NLEastern/Atlanta_ChanceWillMakePlayoffs.html

 

99.64% on August 25th

 

Boston: http://www.sportsclubstats.com/MLB/American/ALEastern/Boston_ChanceWillMakePlayoffs.html

 

Strangely enough, Boston's chances also peaked on the same day, when they hit 99.90% on August 25th.

 

nate silver did an article about the biggest collapses in baseball history when he was still with BP... the 1995 angels had the biggest choke, because on august 20th they led their division by 9.5 games and led the next-closest wild card contender by 12 games. they were 99.988% likely to make the playoffs, or 8,332-to-1 to miss it.

 

the 2007 mets ended up blowing the division, and were 99.8% likely to make it. i don't think there were teams with odds that high in 2008, 2009 or 2010 that blew it, so the red sox would be the second-worst choke in MLB history. the braves would be #4 or #5, depending on whether the red sox miss out (the braves would also trail the infamous 1951 dodgers).

 

Silver did an article on the depth of the Red Sox collapse a couple of days ago:

 

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2011/09/27/september-collapse-of-red-sox-could-be-worst-ever/

[bukie]

nate silver did an article about the biggest collapses in baseball history when he was still with BP... the 1995 angels had the biggest choke, because on august 20th they led their division by 9.5 games and led the next-closest wild card contender by 12 games. they were 99.988% likely to make the playoffs, or 8,332-to-1 to miss it.

 

the 2007 mets ended up blowing the division, and were 99.8% likely to make it. i don't think there were teams with odds that high in 2008, 2009 or 2010 that blew it, so the red sox would be the second-worst choke in MLB history. the braves would be #4 or #5, depending on whether the red sox miss out (the braves would also trail the infamous 1951 dodgers).

 

The really amazing thing about that 1995 AL season was on August 20th, the Angels were 63-38, the Rangers were 54-47 and the Yankees were 51-50. And the Mariners won the AL West.

[jersey cubs fan]

nate silver did an article about the biggest collapses in baseball history when he was still with BP... the 1995 angels had the biggest choke, because on august 20th they led their division by 9.5 games and led the next-closest wild card contender by 12 games. they were 99.988% likely to make the playoffs, or 8,332-to-1 to miss it.

 

the 2007 mets ended up blowing the division, and were 99.8% likely to make it. i don't think there were teams with odds that high in 2008, 2009 or 2010 that blew it, so the red sox would be the second-worst choke in MLB history. the braves would be #4 or #5, depending on whether the red sox miss out (the braves would also trail the infamous 1951 dodgers).

 

The really amazing thing about that 1995 AL season was on August 20th, the Angels were 63-38, the Rangers were 54-47 and the Yankees were 51-50. And the Mariners won the AL West.

 

The Yankees?

[TruffleShuffle]

nate silver did an article about the biggest collapses in baseball history when he was still with BP... the 1995 angels had the biggest choke, because on august 20th they led their division by 9.5 games and led the next-closest wild card contender by 12 games. they were 99.988% likely to make the playoffs, or 8,332-to-1 to miss it.

 

the 2007 mets ended up blowing the division, and were 99.8% likely to make it. i don't think there were teams with odds that high in 2008, 2009 or 2010 that blew it, so the red sox would be the second-worst choke in MLB history. the braves would be #4 or #5, depending on whether the red sox miss out (the braves would also trail the infamous 1951 dodgers).

 

The really amazing thing about that 1995 AL season was on August 20th, the Angels were 63-38, the Rangers were 54-47 and the Yankees were 51-50. And the Mariners won the AL West.

 

The Yankees?

 

they were the wild card, beating out the AL west loser (which turned out to be the angels, after losing a one-game playoff with the m's) by a game.

[bcl412]

I'm not surprised but the lack of a sell out in Atlanta annoys me.

[TruffleShuffle]

the phillies pretty much have in their regular lineup, except mayberry in cf instead of victorino. wtf. at least fat joe blanton is starting.

[Sammy Sofa]

I'm not surprised but the lack of a sell out in Atlanta annoys me.

 

I don't know, that's a pretty big stadium. Wikipedia says that their capacity is nearly 55,000 with standing room.

[Guest]

Trop not sold out.

[Little Slide Rooter]

Looks like the Cards are knocking around the wife beater early on. 3-0 in the top of the first with runners on 2nd and 3rd and 0 out.

[TruffleShuffle]

well the astros have basically already lost, it's 4-0 and they might score more in the first inning. plus they have no good players.

[Guest]

Please win, Atlanta.

[TruffleShuffle]

cards will lead 27-0 after the first inning on 28 singles and a double.

[Little Slide Rooter]

Not sure why The Phils still have Hamels on the mound. You'd think they'd want him nice and fresh for game 3 along with most of the regulars. Besides, wouldn't they want to play the D Backs over The Cardinals who may not scare the Phillies, but there's something to say about a team full of momentum from winning a playoff spot at the last minute.

[TruffleShuffle]

Not sure why The Phils still have Hamels on the mound. You'd think they'd want him nice and fresh for game 3 along with most of the regulars. Besides, wouldn't they want to play the D Backs over The Cardinals who may not scare the Phillies, but there's something to say about a team full of momentum from winning a playoff spot at the last minute.

 

(a) hamels would be pitching tuesday; pitching today puts him on his normal four days rest. he probably won't be too worn out from the grueling 50 pitches or whatever he throws tonight.

 

(b) there's also something to be said for playing the team with 5 or 6 fewer wins and zero ace pitchers.

[Castro13]

If the cards/braves have a 1 game playoff what tine is the game tomorrow?

[TruffleShuffle]

tampa is down 7-0 to the yankees, so it's probably up to boston-baltimore.... that one is 3-2.

[Guest]

Venters walked/hit the bases loaded but struck out Ibanez to get out of it. 3-2 Braves going to the bottom of the eighth. Kimbrel (I assume) will face Polanco-Ruiz-PH in the ninth.

[Guest]

If the cards/braves have a 1 game playoff what tine is the game tomorrow?

 

http://espn.go.com/mlb/story/_/id/7028238/mlb-reveals-times-potential-wild-card-playoff-games

 

4 p.m. for the AL, 8 p.m. for the NL. Times don't change if there's only one game. That's pretty brutal for Boston if they have to play. Night game in Baltimore, overnight flight then an afternoon game in Tampa the next day.

 

EDITED times for Eastern, not Pacific.

Edited September 29, 2011 by soccer10k

[TruffleShuffle]

red sox-o's are in a rain delay at the 7th inning stretch. doesn't look like something that will last longer than an hour or two. wonder what would happen if it were a situation where it was likely to pour all night... i guess they'd have to call the game, but boy would that piss some tampa people off (assuming that tampa fans exist)

 

also, david ortiz slid headfirst into second base and his pants fell down.

 

http://desmond.yfrog.com/Himg814/scaled.php?tn=0&server=814&filename=ysen.jpg&xsize=640&ysize=640

[bcl412]

If the cards/braves have a 1 game playoff what tine is the game tomorrow?

 

http://espn.go.com/mlb/story/_/id/7028238/mlb-reveals-times-potential-wild-card-playoff-games

 

1 p.m. for the AL, 5 p.m. for the NL. Times don't change if there's only one game. That's pretty brutal for Boston if they have to play. Night game in Baltimore, overnight flight then an afternoon game in Tampa the next day.

 

Are you using Pacific times?

[Guest]

If the cards/braves have a 1 game playoff what tine is the game tomorrow?

 

http://espn.go.com/mlb/story/_/id/7028238/mlb-reveals-times-potential-wild-card-playoff-games

 

1 p.m. for the AL, 5 p.m. for the NL. Times don't change if there's only one game. That's pretty brutal for Boston if they have to play. Night game in Baltimore, overnight flight then an afternoon game in Tampa the next day.

 

Are you using Pacific times?

 

Yeah, sorry. 4 p.m. and 8 p.m. Eastern.

[SouthSideRyan]

WTF VENTERS