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9/11 Cubs (Harden) vs D Baker's Reds (Cueto) 1:20 CDT, WGNTV

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UMFan83 GOAT

UMFan83

Old-Timey Member
Posted
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Stupid Cubs. They lose when we want them to win and they win when we want them to lose.

 

Either way, I'd just like them to play Jake Fox in LF over Bobby "I have no future in Major League Baseball" Scales.

 

I'm not big on tanking unless you are fighting for a top 5 pick. Where the Cubs are at, they have an opportunity to draft a player with more talent than the pick they're drafting at simply by being willing to pay for a player that other teams ahead of them can't afford to. So IMO it doesn't matter.

 

I just want this team to have a winning record for the 3rd year in a row. We'll likely finish with 79 wins or more in 6 of the last 7 years, which if you keep things in perspective (aka how the Cubs did in the decade prior to this one), it's a good thing. Still, they should be like the Yankees and Red Sox and making the playoffs 9/10 years.

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Garwilly ACL Cubs

Garwilly

Old-Timey Member
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Stupid Cubs. They lose when we want them to win and they win when we want them to lose.

 

Either way, I'd just like them to play Jake Fox in LF over Bobby "I have no future in Major League Baseball" Scales.

 

I'm not big on tanking unless you are fighting for a top 5 pick. Where the Cubs are at, they have an opportunity to draft a player with more talent than the pick they're drafting at simply by being willing to pay for a player that other teams ahead of them can't afford to. So IMO it doesn't matter.

 

I just want this team to have a winning record for the 3rd year in a row. We'll likely finish with 79 wins or more in 6 of the last 7 years, which if you keep things in perspective (aka how the Cubs did in the decade prior to this one), it's a good thing. Still, they should be like the Yankees and Red Sox and making the playoffs 9/10 years.

 

The 15th (and prior picks) are proctected when signing a Type A free agent. Having the 16th pick means it is lost, rather than a second rounder.

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Fred Hornkohl GOAT

Fred Hornkohl

Community Moderator
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Worthless stats of the day for Friday..........

 

CUBS are 11-10 on Fridays

CUBS are 6-3 in September

CUBS are 8-4 vs. Cincinnati

CUBS are 39-24 vs. NL Central

CUBS are 5-3 when they've won their last 3 game(s) in a row

CUBS are 37-33 when they've won their previous game

CUBS are 20-25 in games that start a series

CUBS are 4-5 in games that open a home stand

CUBS are 11-5-6 in home series

CUBS have won 1 consecutive series

CUBS are 7-4 in series sweeps

CUBS are 40-25 in day games

CUBS are 40-27 at home

CUBS are 56-54 against right handers

CUBS are 53-31 when they get a quality start.... 18-36 when they don't

CUBS are 24-49 when the opponent gets a quality start.... 47-18 when they don't

CUBS are 47-16 when they score first in the game.... 24-51 when they don't

CUBS are 32-9 when they score in the first inning.... 39-58 when they don't

CUBS are 54-38 when they don't allow any first inning runs.... 17-29 when they do

CUBS are 60-15 when they score 4 runs or more.... 10-52 when they don't

CUBS are 47-17 when they allow fewer than 4 runs.... 24-50 when they don't

CUBS are 53-13 when they outhit the opponent.... 11-46 when they get outhit.... 5-7 when the hits are even

CUBS are 28-10 when their pitcher gets a hit.... 43-57 when he doesn't

CUBS are 15-19 in one run games .... 17-10 in two runs games

CUBS are 43-40 when the temperature is 70 degrees or above.... 28-27 when it's less than 70

CUBS are 51-29 when their pitchers average 16 pitches per inning or less.... 20-38 when they don't

CUBS are 28-24 when they average 3.7 P/PA or less.... 42-43 when they don't

CUBS are 36-24 when their starter pitches 6-1/3 innings or more.... 35-43 when he doesn't

CUBS are 53-29 when the opposing starter pitches 6-1/3 innings or less.... 18-35 when he doesn't

CUBS are 34-39 when they wear their pinstripes / road grays.... 37-28 when they wear alternate blues

 

CUBS are on a pace for:                   Compared to:
                                  2008  2007  2006  2005
..83 wins                            97    85    66    79
.714 runs                           857   752   716   703
.174 home runs                      185   151   166   194
.585 walks                          638   500   395   419
1216 strikeouts                    1193  1054   928   920
..53 stolen bases                    87    87   121    64
.129 GIDPs                          136   128   135   129
.106 errors                          97    94   104   100
..58 hit batsmen                     50    37    41    50
4.41 runs per game                 5.29  4.64  4.42  4.34
3.84 pitches per plate appearance  3.88  3.74  3.68  3.61
17.2 % of baserunners driven in    19.7  18.9  20.0  18.4
.347 runs per baserunner          0.381 0.364 0.370 0.365
35.2 % of extra base hits          34.3  34.1  32.3  35.8

 

CUBS are 25-29 when WGN broadcasts the game

CUBS are 63-22 when they get at least 8 hits .... 8-45 when they don't

CUBS are 66-47 when they draw 2 or more walks.... 5-20 when they don't

CUBS are 23-10 when they steal a base.... 48-57 when they don't

CUBS are 28-17 when they execute a sac bunt.... 43-50 when they don't

CUBS are 38-36 when they GIDP.... 33-31 when they don't

CUBS are 24-43 when they commit one or more errors.... 47-24 when they don't

CUBS are 68-50 when they hit at least one double.... 3-17 when they don't

CUBS are 19-5 when they hit at least one triple.... 52-62 when they don't

CUBS are 31-9 when they hit at least 2 HRs.... 40-58 when they don't

CUBS are 19-11 when they hit at least 1 sac fly.... 52-56 when they don't

CUBS are 26-17 when they allow fewer than 3 walks.... 45-50 when they don't

CUBS are 28-22 when the opponents strike out at least 9 times.... 43-45 when they don't

CUBS are 16-38 when the opponent steals a base.... 55-29 when they don't

CUBS are 22-31 when the opponent executes a sac bunt.... 49-36 when they don't

CUBS are 38-37 when the opponent GIDPs at least once.... 33-30 when they don't

CUBS are 42-24 when the opponent commits at least 1 error.... 29-43 when they don't

CUBS are 9-17 when the opponent triples.... 62-50 when they don't

CUBS are 12-24 when the opponent hits at least 2 HRs.... 59-43 when they don't

CUBS are 14-15 when the opponent hits a sac fly.... 57-52 when they don't

CUBS are 20-22 when they hit an opposing batter.... 51-45 when they don't

CUBS are batting 25 for 128 (.195/.322/.305/.627) in extra innings

CUBS have not hit a triple in their last 16 games

CUBS have allowed exactly 1 HR in each of their last 6 games

 

CUBS' starting rotation......

 

                     Team                                                                      Run
Pitcher       GS   Record   Q/S    Q/S %       IP    # Pit    P/IP  IP/GS     P/GS     ERA   Suppt

Zambrano      24    15- 9    15    0.625    143.3     2423    16.9    6.0    101.0    3.77    4.50
Dempster      26    10-16    15    0.577    163.0     2636    16.2    6.3    101.4    4.03    4.58
Lilly         24    15- 9    19    0.792    156.3     2327    14.9    6.5     97.0    3.17    3.79
Harden        24    12-12    14    0.583    134.0     2320    17.3    5.6     96.7    4.16    4.46
Marshall       9     2- 7     2    0.222     46.3      777    16.8    5.1     86.3    5.24    2.78
Wells         22    12-10    16    0.727    139.3     2099    15.1    6.3     95.4    2.84    4.91
Hart           4     3- 1     2    0.500     22.0      368    16.7    5.5     92.0    2.86    7.25
Gorzelanny     4     2- 2     1    0.250     18.7      298    16.0    4.7     74.5    4.82    4.00
Samardzija     1     0- 1     0    0.000      3.3       74    22.2    3.3     74.0   18.90    5.00

CUBS         138    71-67    84    0.609    826.3    13322    16.1    6.0     96.5    3.76    4.41

 

 

 

CUBS are 12-12 when Harden starts

Harden is 14 of 24 (.583) in quality starts

Harden has 2 consecutive non-quality start(s)

Harden's ERA pitching to Soto is 5.53.... pitching to K Hill it's 2.67

CUBS score 4.41 R/G overall.... 4.46 R/G when Harden pitches

CUBS hit 1.07 HR/G overall.... 1.17 HR/G when Harden pitches

CUBS have scored first in 7 of Harden's 24 starts

CUBS have scored in the first inning in 2 of Harden's 24 starts

Harden has given up run(s) in the first inning in 7 (12 runs total) of his 24 starts

 

CUBS' offensive support of Harden.....

 

04/06 - 08/31      AB    R    H   2b   3b   HR   TB  RBI   BB   SO     BA    OBP    SLG    OPS
CUBS w/Harden     844  107  216   42    3   28  348  100   84  173  0.256  0.327  0.412  0.739
CUBS overall     4733  608 1206  250   27  148 1954  587  498 1036  0.255  0.330  0.413  0.743

 

Composite scoring in games started by Harden.........

 

                  1   2   3   4   5   6   7   8   9  10  11  12  13  14  15  16    Total

CUBS              7   7  17   9  12  16  11  19   8   1   0   0   0   0   0   0      107
Opponents        12  16  15  14   6  11   5   8   8   0   0   1   3   0   0   0       99

 

Harden's starts this year (9-8)

 

Harden                  IP    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    PC    ST   ST%  P/IP   GB   FB   GB%  BB/9   K/9  HR/9  WHIP   ERA
04/10  vs. Milw        6.0    3    2    1    2   10    1    96    63  0.66  16.0    4    4  0.50  3.00 15.00  1.50  0.83  1.50
04/15  vs. Colo        3.0    5    4    4    4    8    1    92    53  0.58  30.7    0    0  0.00 12.00 24.00  3.00  3.00 12.00
04/21  vs. Cincy       6.0    3    2    2    2    8    1    92    60  0.65  15.3    5    5  0.50  3.00 12.00  1.50  0.83  3.00
04/26  vs. St. L       6.0    4    2    2    2    9    2   107    69  0.64  17.8    2    7  0.22  3.00 13.50  3.00  1.00  3.00
05/01  vs. Flor        3.7    6    5    5    4    2    0    86    50  0.58  23.5    5    4  0.56  9.82  4.91  0.00  2.73 12.27
05/06  vs. Houst       7.0    8    3    3    3    4    1    99    66  0.67  14.1    8    9  0.47  3.86  5.14  1.29  1.57  3.86
05/12  vs. S.D.        6.0    4    2    2    1    5    1   101    62  0.61  16.8    5    8  0.38  1.50  7.50  1.50  0.83  3.00
05/17  vs. Houst       6.0    6    4    4    3    7    1   112    69  0.62  18.7    5    6  0.45  4.50 10.50  1.50  1.50  6.00
06/13  vs. Minn        6.0    5    2    2    2    9    1    92    61  0.66  15.3    4    4  0.50  3.00 13.50  1.50  1.17  3.00
06/19  vs. Cleve       5.0    7    7    7    3    2    2    87    53  0.61  17.4    7    6  0.54  5.40  3.60  3.60  2.00 12.60
06/24  vs. Detr        5.3    4    4    2    4    3    2   109    58  0.53  20.4    4    9  0.31  6.75  5.06  3.38  1.50  3.38
06/29  vs. Pitts       7.0    9    1    1    1    9    0   102    65  0.64  14.6    9    3  0.75  1.29 11.57  0.00  1.43  1.29
07/04  vs. Milw        2.0    8    7    7    1    1    2    52    33  0.63  26.0    3    2  0.60  4.50  4.50  9.00  4.50 31.50
07/10  vs. St. L       5.0    7    4    4    4    6    1   101    60  0.59  20.2    4    5  0.44  7.20 10.80  1.80  2.20  7.20
07/16  vs. Wash        6.0    3    1    0    0    7    0    99    61  0.62  16.5    5    6  0.45  0.00 10.50  0.00  0.50  0.00
07/21  vs. Phila       7.0    4    1    1    2    6    1   116    74  0.64  16.6    3   11  0.21  2.57  7.71  1.29  0.86  1.29
07/26  vs. Cincy       6.0    1    1    1    0    8    1    90    61  0.68  15.0    3    7  0.30  0.00 12.00  1.50  0.17  1.50
07/31  vs. Flor        5.0    5    2    2    3   11    1    99    60  0.61  19.8    1    3  0.25  5.40 19.80  1.80  1.60  3.60
08/05  vs. Cincy       6.0    4    3    2    4    9    1   103    63  0.61  17.2    5    3  0.63  6.00 13.50  1.50  1.33  3.00
08/11  vs. Phila       7.0    2    2    2    2    6    1    87    54  0.62  12.4    5   10  0.33  2.57  7.71  1.29  0.57  2.57
08/19  vs. S.D.        7.0    1    0    0    3    8    0   103    62  0.60  14.7    6    6  0.50  3.86 10.29  0.00  0.57  0.00
08/26  vs. Wash        6.0    5    2    2    2    5    0    95    66  0.69  15.8    9    4  0.69  3.00  7.50  0.00  1.17  3.00
08/31  vs. Houst       5.0    5    5    5    6    9    1    98    52  0.53  19.6    3    2  0.60 10.80 16.20  1.80  2.20  9.00
09/05  vs. Mets        5.0    7    2    1    1   10    1   102    73  0.72  20.4    3    2  0.60  1.80 18.00  1.80  1.60  1.80

Harden                  IP    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    PC    ST   ST%  P/IP   GB   FB   GB%  BB/9   K/9  HR/9  WHIP   ERA
Home                  66.7   64   47   47   34   76   13  1185   734  0.62  17.8   58   63  0.48  4.59 10.26  1.76  1.47  6.35
Road                  67.3   52   21   15   25   86   10  1135   714  0.63  16.9   50   63  0.44  3.34 11.50  1.34  1.14  2.00

Day                   53.7   59   40   38   26   72   13  1017   645  0.63  19.0   40   47  0.46  4.36 12.07  2.18  1.58  6.37
Nite                  80.3   57   28   24   33   90   10  1303   803  0.62  16.2   68   79  0.46  3.70 10.08  1.12  1.12  2.69

Home  Day             36.7   45   34   34   21   43    9   712   440  0.62  19.4   31   34  0.48  5.15 10.55  2.21  1.80  8.35

April                 21.0   15   10    9   10   35    5   387   245  0.63  18.4   11   16  0.41  4.29 15.00  2.14  1.19  3.86
May                   22.7   24   14   14   11   18    3   398   247  0.62  17.6   23   27  0.46  4.37  7.15  1.19  1.54  5.56
June                  23.3   25   14   12   10   23    5   390   237  0.61  16.7   24   22  0.52  3.86  8.87  1.93  1.50  4.63
July                  31.0   28   16   15   10   39    6   557   349  0.63  18.0   19   34  0.36  2.90 11.32  1.74  1.23  4.35
August                31.0   17   12   11   17   37    3   486   297  0.61  15.7   28   25  0.53  4.94 10.74  0.87  1.10  3.19
September              5.0    7    2    1    1   10    1   102    73  0.72  20.4    3    2  0.60  1.80 18.00  1.80  1.60  1.80

Season total         134.0  116   68   62   59  162   23  2320  1448  0.62  17.3  108  126  0.46  3.96 10.88  1.54  1.31  4.16

 

Harden's start(s) vs. Cincinnati last year (1-0).....

 

Harden                  IP    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    PC  BB/9   K/9  HR/9  WHIP   ERA
08/19  vs. Cincy       7.0    2    0    0    0   10    0    94  0.00 12.86  0.00  0.29  0.00

season totals         75.3   44   20   17   33   93    6  1271  3.94 11.11  0.72  1.02  2.03

 

 

CUBS' bullpen load during the last week.....

 

              Thur       Wed        Tues       Mon        Sun        Sat        Fri           Totals
             10 Sep     09 Sep     08 Sep     07 Sep     06 Sep     05 Sep     04 Sep
             no game    @ Pitts    @ Pitts    @ Pitts    @ Mets     @ Mets     @ Mets  
pitcher        IP Pit     IP Pit     IP Pit     IP Pit     IP Pit     IP Pit     IP Pit        IP Pit

Gregg                    1.0  28                          0.7  34               0.0   6       1.7  68
Gorzelanny                          0.3   2                          1.0  14                  1.3  16
Grabow                   1.0  12    0.7  11    1.0   8               1.0  19    0.0  16       3.7  66
Guzman                              0.7  15    1.0   8                          1.0  10       2.7  33
Heilman                                                              0.7  21                  0.7  21
Marmol                   1.0  11               1.0  12               1.3  30                  3.3  53
Marshall                                                  1.3  20                             1.3  20
Berg                                                                            1.0   6       1.0   6
Caridad                             1.0  14                                                   1.0  14

Totals                   3.0  51    2.7  42    3.0  28    2.0  54    4.0  84    2.0  38      16.7 297

 

CUBS' season series vs. Cincinnati this year (8-4) .......

 

Gm#    Date       Opponent         Score  Starter         Opp Starter
.12  Tue 04/21    Cincinnati    N   7- 2  Harden          Owings        
.13  Wed 04/22    Cincinnati    N   0- 3  Lilly           Cueto         
.14  Thu 04/23    Cincinnati        1- 7  Zambrano        Harang        
.52  Fri 06/05  @ Cincinnati    N   2- 1  Zambrano        Owings        
.53  Sat 06/06  @ Cincinnati    N   3- 4  Dempster        Volquez       
.54  Sun 06/07  @ Cincinnati        6- 3  Wells           Arroyo        
.94  Fri 07/24    Cincinnati        8- 5  Wells           Harang        
.95  Sat 07/25    Cincinnati        5- 3  Hart            Cueto         
.96  Sun 07/26    Cincinnati        5- 2  Harden          Owings        
104  Mon 08/03  @ Cincinnati    N   4- 2  Wells           Harang        
105  Tue 08/04  @ Cincinnati    N   6- 3  Gorzelanny      Cueto         
106  Wed 08/05  @ Cincinnati    N   0- 4  Harden          Lehr          
139  Fri 09/11    Cincinnati         -    Harden          Owings        
140  Sat 09/12    Cincinnati         -    Wells           Harang        
141  Sun 09/13    Cincinnati         -    Lilly           Volquez

 

CUBS' season series vs. Cincinnati in 2008 (8-7).....

 

Gm#    Date       Opponent         Score  Starter         Opp Starter
.13  Tue 04/15    Cincinnati    N   9- 5  Dempster        Volquez       
.14  Wed 04/16    Cincinnati    N  12- 3  Zambrano        Fogg          
.15  Thu 04/17    Cincinnati        2- 9  Lilly           Harang        
.32  Mon 05/05  @ Cincinnati    N   3- 5  Dempster        Cueto         
.33  Tue 05/06  @ Cincinnati    N   3- 0  Zambrano        Harang        
.34  Wed 05/07  @ Cincinnati        0- 9  Lieber          Volquez       
.90  Tue 07/08    Cincinnati    N   7- 3  Dempster        Harang        
.91  Wed 07/09    Cincinnati    N   5- 1  Zambrano        Cueto         
.92  Thu 07/10    Cincinnati        7-12  Lilly           Arroyo        
125  Tue 08/19    Cincinnati    N   5- 0  Harden          Cueto         
126  Wed 08/20    Cincinnati    N   1- 2  Lilly           Arroyo        
127  Thu 08/21    Cincinnati        3- 2  Zambrano        Fogg          
141  Fri 09/05  @ Cincinnati    N   2-10  Lilly           Arroyo        
142  Sat 09/06  @ Cincinnati    N  14- 9  Marquis         Cueto         
143  Sun 09/07  @ Cincinnati        3- 4  Marshall        Harang

 

Composite scoring vs. Cincinnati this year.....

 

                  1   2   3   4   5   6   7   8   9  10  11  12  13  14  15  16    Total

CUBS              7   7   4   1   5   8   3   9   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0      47
Opponents         5   8   1   2   0   1   4   6  11   0   1   0   0   0   0   0      39

 

CUBS hitters vs. Cueto this year.....

 

vs Cueto           AB    R    H   2b   3b   HR  RBI   BB   SO     BA    OBP    SLG    OPS  BABIP  P/PA     RC   IsoD   RBI%
Soriano             9    2    5    0    0    1    1    0    1  0.556  0.556  0.889  1.444  0.571  3.78    4.4  0.000  0.000
Ramirez             7    2    2    1    0    1    2    2    1  0.286  0.500  0.857  1.357  0.200  4.20    3.0  0.214  0.125
K. Hill             5    1    2    2    0    0    2    1    1  0.400  0.500  0.800  1.300  0.500  3.33    2.0  0.100  0.333
Johnson             3    1    1    1    0    0    0    0    0  0.333  0.500  0.667  1.167  0.333  2.75    1.0  0.167  0.000
Fukudome            9    1    3    0    0    1    1    0    0  0.333  0.333  0.667  1.000  0.250  5.11    2.0  0.000  0.000
D Lee              10    1    4    0    1    0    1    0    2  0.400  0.400  0.600  1.000  0.500  3.10    2.4  0.000  0.333
Fontenot            5    0    1    1    0    0    0    1    2  0.200  0.333  0.400  0.733  0.333  4.83    0.7  0.133  0.000
Theriot             8    0    1    0    0    0    0    0    1  0.125  0.222  0.125  0.347  0.143  3.30    0.2  0.097  0.000
Fox                 2    1    0    0    0    0    0    0    0  0.000  0.333  0.000  0.333  0.000  2.00    0.0  0.333  0.000
Hoffpauir           1    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0  0.000  0.000  0.000  0.000  0.000  2.00    0.0  0.000  0.000
Miles               3    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0  0.000  0.000  0.000  0.000  0.000  3.67    0.0  0.000  0.000
Bradley             3    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    2  0.000  0.000  0.000  0.000  0.000  5.00    0.0  0.000  0.000
Soto                3    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0  0.000  0.000  0.000  0.000  0.000  3.00    0.0  0.000  0.000

totals vs Cueto    74    9   20    5    1    3    8    5   11  0.270  0.349  0.486  0.836  0.283  3.76   12.6  0.079  0.109
totals vs Cincy   420   47  105   22    2   16   47   42   86  0.250  0.328  0.426  0.755  0.280  3.85   58.8  0.078  0.124
season totals    4734  608 1206  248   27  148  586  497 1036  0.255  0.330  0.412  0.742  0.298  3.84  643.2  0.075  0.171

 

 

CUBS hitters vs. Cincinnati this year.....

 

vs. Cincy          AB    R    H   2b   3b   HR  RBI   BB   SO     BA    OBP    SLG    OPS  BABIP  P/PA     RC   IsoD   RBI%
Baker               3    1    1    0    0    1    1    0    1  0.333  0.333  1.333  1.667  0.000  5.00    1.3  0.000  0.000
Scales              4    1    1    0    0    1    1    0    0  0.250  0.250  1.000  1.250  0.000  1.50    1.0  0.000  0.000
Ramirez            35    4   13    4    0    2    8    4    5  0.371  0.450  0.657  1.107  0.393  3.60   10.4  0.079  0.300
Soriano            48    7   17    5    0    2    3    5   13  0.354  0.415  0.583  0.998  0.455  4.08   11.6  0.061  0.042
Bradley            16    4    4    0    0    1    1    6    7  0.250  0.478  0.438  0.916  0.375  4.74    3.3  0.228  0.000
K. Hill            25    2    7    3    1    0    3    4   11  0.280  0.379  0.480  0.859  0.500  4.00    4.6  0.099  0.231
Johnson            20    3    5    4    0    0    1    1    2  0.250  0.318  0.450  0.768  0.278  3.36    2.9  0.068  0.083
D Lee              49    4   13    1    1    2    7    2   12  0.265  0.294  0.449  0.743  0.314  3.88    6.5  0.029  0.227
Fontenot           39    2    8    1    0    2    6    5    7  0.205  0.311  0.385  0.696  0.200  4.09    4.7  0.106  0.160
Fukudome           42    7    9    2    0    1    4    8    9  0.214  0.353  0.333  0.686  0.250  4.38    4.9  0.139  0.130
Blanco              8    1    2    0    0    0    0    2    0  0.250  0.400  0.250  0.650  0.250  4.00    0.8  0.150  0.000
Theriot            49    6   13    0    0    1    4    1    6  0.265  0.308  0.327  0.634  0.286  3.63    4.9  0.042  0.094
Hoffpauir          13    1    2    0    0    1    2    1    4  0.154  0.200  0.385  0.585  0.125  3.80    1.0  0.046  0.063
Soto               18    1    2    0    0    1    2    2    0  0.111  0.200  0.278  0.478  0.059  3.60    1.0  0.089  0.059
Fox                13    1    2    0    0    0    2    0    0  0.154  0.200  0.154  0.354  0.154  3.27    0.4  0.046  0.222
Gathright           1    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    1  0.000  0.000  0.000  0.000  0.000  4.00    0.0  0.000  0.000
Fuld                1    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0  0.000  0.000  0.000  0.000  0.000  4.00    0.0  0.000  0.000
Miles               8    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    2  0.000  0.000  0.000  0.000  0.000  4.13    0.0  0.000  0.000

vs. Cincy          AB    R    H   2b   3b   HR  RBI   BB   SO     BA    OBP    SLG    OPS  BABIP  P/PA     RC   IsoD   RBI%
vs Lincoln         10    5    5    2    0    1    4    4    1  0.500  0.688  1.000  1.688  0.500  3.19    6.9  0.188  0.231
vs Herrera         11    2    4    1    0    1    4    2    2  0.364  0.462  0.727  1.189  0.375  3.73    3.7  0.098  0.375
vs Maloney         22    2    6    3    0    2    2    1    4  0.273  0.333  0.682  1.015  0.250  3.71    5.0  0.061  0.000
vs Burton          18    2    6    1    0    1    3    4    4  0.333  0.455  0.556  1.010  0.385  4.74    4.5  0.121  0.118
vs Cueto           74    9   20    5    1    3    8    5   11  0.270  0.349  0.486  0.836  0.283  3.76   12.6  0.079  0.109
vs Harang          78    9   22    6    0    3    9    4   18  0.282  0.325  0.474  0.800  0.333  4.02   12.0  0.043  0.176
vs Owings          53    9   13    1    0    2    8   11   11  0.245  0.369  0.377  0.747  0.275  3.97    7.4  0.124  0.150
vs Masset          29    2    6    2    0    1    2    4    8  0.207  0.303  0.379  0.682  0.250  3.52    3.3  0.096  0.045
vs Cordero         16    0    5    0    0    0    0    1    2  0.313  0.353  0.313  0.665  0.357  3.44    1.8  0.040  0.000
vs Weathers        22    2    5    0    0    1    2    2    7  0.227  0.280  0.364  0.644  0.286  4.32    2.2  0.053  0.063
vs Arroyo          26    3    5    0    0    1    3    2    2  0.192  0.250  0.308  0.558  0.174  3.48    2.0  0.058  0.125
vs Rhodes          18    2    3    0    1    0    2    0    7  0.167  0.167  0.278  0.444  0.273  3.89    0.8  0.000  0.333
vs Lehr            30    0    4    1    0    0    0    1    4  0.133  0.161  0.167  0.328  0.154  3.77    0.8  0.028  0.000
vs Fisher          13    0    1    0    0    0    0    1    5  0.077  0.143  0.077  0.220  0.125  3.86    0.1  0.066  0.000

vs. Cincy          AB    R    H   2b   3b   HR  RBI   BB   SO     BA    OBP    SLG    OPS  BABIP  P/PA     RC   IsoD   RBI%
vs. starters      283   32   70   16    1   11   30   24   50  0.247  0.318  0.428  0.746  0.266  3.85   38.5  0.071  0.122
vs. relievers     137   15   35    6    1    5   17   18   36  0.255  0.348  0.423  0.771  0.313  3.86   20.2  0.093  0.128

vs Left            51    6   13    4    1    3    8    3   13  0.255  0.309  0.549  0.858  0.286  3.77    8.7  0.054  0.179
vs Right          369   41   92   18    1   13   39   39   73  0.249  0.331  0.409  0.740  0.279  3.86   50.0  0.082  0.117

Home              202   26   58    9    2    8   26   20   38  0.287  0.361  0.470  0.832  0.321  3.89   34.3  0.074  0.134
Road              218   21   47   13    0    8   21   22   48  0.216  0.298  0.385  0.683  0.241  3.82   25.0  0.082  0.112

Day               189   25   55    9    2    9   25   21   33  0.291  0.365  0.503  0.868  0.313  3.80   34.7  0.074  0.125
Nite              231   22   50   13    0    7   22   21   53  0.216  0.299  0.364  0.662  0.251  3.89   25.1  0.082  0.123

Leading off       101   17   29    6    0    8    8    9   17  0.287  0.351  0.584  0.936  0.276  3.95   20.7  0.064  0.000
Pinch hitting      19    3    4    0    0    2    2    1    6  0.211  0.250  0.526  0.776  0.182  4.45    2.5  0.039  0.000
bases loaded       28    1    3    1    0    0   10    3   12  0.107  0.188  0.143  0.330  0.188  4.06    0.8  0.080  0.118
bases empty       237   32   63   16    0   13   13   18   47  0.266  0.326  0.498  0.823  0.282  3.88   38.4  0.060  0.000
runners on        183   15   42    6    2    3   34   24   39  0.230  0.332  0.333  0.665  0.277  3.81   20.2  0.102  0.124
RISP              113   10   23    3    1    3   31   19   30  0.204  0.338  0.327  0.666  0.250  4.09   12.5  0.135  0.142

Game tied          98   17   25    4    0    6   16   15   19  0.255  0.362  0.480  0.842  0.260  4.25   17.0  0.107  0.182
CUBS leading      208   20   52   13    1    6   22   22   49  0.250  0.336  0.409  0.745  0.301  3.69   28.6  0.086  0.112
CUBS trailing     114   10   28    5    1    4    9    5   18  0.246  0.281  0.412  0.693  0.261  3.78   13.2  0.035  0.096
Close score       373   46   97   21    2   15   45   37   77  0.260  0.338  0.448  0.786  0.292  3.80   56.5  0.078  0.138

Early (1-3)       141   18   36    9    1    6   18   17   31  0.255  0.348  0.461  0.809  0.288  3.91   22.6  0.093  0.125
Middle (4-6)      136   14   33    8    0    4   14    9   22  0.243  0.311  0.390  0.701  0.264  3.85   16.5  0.069  0.133
Late (7th on)     143   15   36    5    1    6   15   16   33  0.252  0.325  0.427  0.752  0.288  3.80   19.8  0.073  0.114
Extra Innings      25    3    7    1    0    1    3    6    6  0.280  0.419  0.440  0.859  0.333  4.28    4.6  0.139  0.105

totals vs Cincy   420   47  105   22    2   16   47   42   86  0.250  0.328  0.426  0.755  0.280  3.85   58.8  0.078  0.124
season totals    4734  608 1206  248   27  148  586  497 1036  0.255  0.330  0.412  0.742  0.298  3.84  643.2  0.075  0.171

 

CUBS pitchers vs. Cincinnati this year......

 

vs. Cincy            IP    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    PC    ST   ST%  P/IP   GB   FB   GB%   IR  IRS  IRS%  BB/9   K/9  HR/9  WHIP   ERA
Dempster            6.0    6    3    0    2    7    1    84    56  0.67  14.0    8    2  0.80    0    0  0.00  3.00 10.50  1.50  1.33  0.00
Marshall            2.3    2    1    0    3    2    0    54    28  0.52  23.1    4    1  0.80    2    1  0.50 11.57  7.71  0.00  2.14  0.00
Grabow              0.7    0    0    0    0    0    0     3     1  0.33   4.5    2    0  1.00    1    0  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00
Waddell             0.3    0    0    0    0    0    0     6     3  0.50  18.0    1    0  1.00    0    0  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00
Ascanio             3.0    2    0    0    2    3    0    55    35  0.64  18.3    3    3  0.50    0    0  0.00  6.00  9.00  0.00  1.33  0.00
Vizcaino            1.0    1    0    0    0    1    0    16    11  0.69  16.0    2    0  1.00    0    0  0.00  0.00  9.00  0.00  1.00  0.00
Patton              1.0    1    0    0    1    1    0    20    13  0.65  20.0    1    1  0.50    0    0  0.00  9.00  9.00  0.00  2.00  0.00
Lilly               7.0    5    1    0    0    2    0    96    67  0.70  13.7    8   11  0.42    0    0  0.00  0.00  2.57  0.00  0.71  0.00
Gorzelanny          7.3    3    1    1    1    6    0    98    66  0.67  13.4    9    7  0.56    0    0  0.00  1.23  7.36  0.00  0.55  1.23
Hart                6.0    5    1    1    1    4    0    94    56  0.60  15.7    7    6  0.54    0    0  0.00  1.50  6.00  0.00  1.00  1.50
Zambrano           13.7    9    4    3    7   14    0   218   132  0.61  16.0   16   10  0.62    0    0  0.00  4.61  9.22  0.00  1.17  1.98
Harden             18.0    8    6    5    6   25    3   285   184  0.65  15.8   13   15  0.46    0    0  0.00  3.00 12.50  1.50  0.78  2.50
Wells              20.0   20    6    6    4   14    2   285   181  0.64  14.3   26   20  0.57    0    0  0.00  1.80  6.30  0.90  1.20  2.70
Guzman              7.0    7    3    3    2    7    1   124    80  0.65  17.7    8    5  0.62    5    1  0.20  2.57  9.00  1.29  1.29  3.86
Heilman             4.7    3    2    2    1    4    2    76    47  0.62  16.3    7    4  0.64    2    1  0.50  1.93  7.71  3.86  0.86  3.86
Marmol              5.7    3    3    3    5    7    0   125    74  0.59  22.1    3    7  0.30    3    0  0.00  7.94 11.12  0.00  1.41  4.76
Gregg               5.7    6    3    3    1    5    1   104    64  0.62  18.4    3   10  0.23    1    0  0.00  1.59  7.94  1.59  1.24  4.76
Cotts               1.3    3    1    1    1    2    1    32    20  0.63  24.0    1    0  1.00    0    0  0.00  6.75 13.50  6.75  3.00  6.75
Samardzija          2.7    7    4    4    0    1    0    51    33  0.65  19.1    4    3  0.57    0    0  0.00  0.00  3.38  0.00  2.63 13.50

totals vs Cincy   113.3   91   39   32   37  105   11  1826  1151  0.63  16.1  126  105  0.55   14    3  0.21  2.94  8.34  0.87  1.13  2.54
season totals    1241.0 1141  583  536  512 1076  142 20753 13385  0.64  16.7 1326 1247  0.52  204   56  0.27  3.71  7.80  1.03  1.33  3.89

 

CUBS' last 21 games (11-10)..............

 

Gm#    Date       Opponent         Score  Starter         Opp Starter
118  Wed 08/19  @ San Diego     N   7- 1  Harden          Latos         
119  Thu 08/20  @ Los Angeles   N   2- 7  Gorzelanny      Weaver        
120  Fri 08/21  @ Los Angeles   N   1- 2  Wells           Wolf          
121  Sat 08/22  @ Los Angeles       0- 2  Lilly           Haeger        
122  Sun 08/23  @ Los Angeles       3- 1  Dempster        Billingsley   
123  Tue 08/25    Washington    N   6-15  Zambrano        Mock          
124  Wed 08/26    Washington    N   9- 4  Harden          Hernandez     
125  Thu 08/27    Washington        4- 5  Wells           Martin        
126  Fri 08/28    New York          5- 2  Lilly           Misch         
127  Sat 08/29    New York         11- 4  Dempster        Parnell       
128  Sun 08/30    New York          1- 4  Zambrano        Figueroa      
129  Mon 08/31    Houston       N   3- 5  Harden          Oswalt        
130  Tue 09/01    Houston       N   4- 1  Wells           Moehler       
131  Wed 09/02    Houston           2- 0  Lilly           Paulino       
132  Thu 09/03    Chicago (AL)  N   0- 5  Dempster        Torres        
133  Fri 09/04  @ New York      N   2- 6  Zambrano        Parnell       
134  Sat 09/05  @ New York          5- 3  Harden          Figueroa      
135  Sun 09/06  @ New York          2- 4  Wells           Pelfrey       
136  Mon 09/07  @ Pittsburgh        4- 2  Lilly           McCutchen     
137  Tue 09/08  @ Pittsburgh    N   9- 4  Dempster        Duke          
138  Wed 09/09  @ Pittsburgh        8- 5  Zambrano        Hart

 

Composite scoring during the last 21 games.........

 

                  1   2   3   4   5   6   7   8   9  10  11  12  13  14  15  16    Total

CUBS             11   5  15   7  15   8   8  16   3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0      88
Opponents         7  12   8  11  11   4  10  14   5   0   0   0   0   0   0   0      82

 

CUBS' hitters during the last 21 games......

 

08/19 - 09/09      AB    R    H   2b   3b   HR  RBI   BB   SO     BA    OBP    SLG    OPS  BABIP  P/PA     RC   IsoD   RBI%
Hoffpauir          11    4    3    1    0    2    3    3    1  0.273  0.400  0.909  1.309  0.125  4.53    4.0  0.127  0.250
D Lee              75   13   24    5    0    7   14    7   17  0.320  0.386  0.667  1.052  0.333  3.88   19.3  0.066  0.171
Blanco              6    1    2    2    0    0    0    0    1  0.333  0.333  0.667  1.000  0.400  3.43    1.3  0.000  0.000
Bradley            71   16   21    4    0    4    9    8   15  0.296  0.383  0.521  0.904  0.327  4.22   14.2  0.087  0.200
Baker              58    9   19    3    0    1    3    7   15  0.328  0.403  0.431  0.834  0.429  4.33   10.1  0.075  0.067
K. Hill            42    4   12    4    0    0    8    7   11  0.286  0.388  0.381  0.769  0.387  3.80    6.2  0.102  0.333
Ramirez            77    9   21    3    1    3   17    2   10  0.273  0.300  0.455  0.755  0.281  3.54   10.5  0.027  0.292
Fox                34    3    8    2    0    2    7    0   12  0.235  0.235  0.471  0.706  0.300  3.50    3.8  0.000  0.217
Soriano            28    2    6    0    1    1    3    3    8  0.214  0.290  0.393  0.683  0.263  4.61    3.2  0.076  0.095
Fukudome           75   11   19    4    0    1    7    8   20  0.253  0.325  0.347  0.672  0.333  4.23    8.5  0.072  0.146
Soto               28    2    6    4    0    0    6    4    4  0.214  0.313  0.357  0.670  0.250  3.41    3.1  0.098  0.261
Scales             20    0    5    2    0    0    1    1    3  0.250  0.286  0.350  0.636  0.294  3.48    2.0  0.036  0.100
Fontenot           27    2    7    1    0    0    4    2    6  0.259  0.323  0.296  0.619  0.333  3.65    2.6  0.063  0.250
Fuld               26    2    5    1    0    0    0    7    3  0.192  0.364  0.231  0.594  0.217  4.09    2.2  0.171  0.000
Theriot            78    6   18    0    0    0    4    3   14  0.231  0.268  0.231  0.499  0.281  3.71    4.8  0.038  0.148
Miles               7    0    1    0    0    0    0    1    2  0.143  0.250  0.143  0.393  0.200  3.89    0.3  0.107  0.000

Last 21 games     707   88  182   36    2   22   88   64  157  0.257  0.324  0.407  0.731  0.303  3.90   93.3  0.067  0.176
Season totals    4734  608 1206  248   27  148  586  497 1036  0.255  0.330  0.412  0.742  0.298  3.84  643.2  0.075  0.171

 

CUBS' pitchers during the last 21 games......

 

08/19 - 09/09        IP    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    PC    ST   ST%  P/IP   GB   FB   GB%   IR  IRS  IRS%  BB/9   K/9  HR/9  WHIP   ERA
Berg                1.3    1    0    0    0    1    0    15    12  0.80  11.3    2    1  0.67    3    1  0.33  0.00  6.75  0.00  0.75  0.00
Marmol              9.3    4    2    2    6   14    0   173   114  0.66  18.5    4   10  0.29    2    0  0.00  5.79 13.50  0.00  1.07  1.93
Lilly              27.3   15    6    6    5   19    3   371   250  0.67  13.6   29   33  0.47    0    0  0.00  1.65  6.26  0.99  0.73  1.98
Wells              25.7   26   10    6    8   13    3   404   247  0.61  15.7   32   29  0.52    0    0  0.00  2.81  4.56  1.05  1.32  2.10
Heilman             7.7    8    2    2    1    5    1   106    64  0.60  13.8    9    8  0.53    3    3  1.00  1.17  5.87  1.17  1.17  2.35
Dempster           26.3   28   12    8    6   23    1   398   254  0.64  15.1   32   22  0.59    0    0  0.00  2.05  7.86  0.34  1.29  2.73
Grabow              9.7    6    3    3    7    5    0   165    92  0.56  17.1   13   11  0.54    8    2  0.25  6.52  4.66  0.00  1.34  2.79
Harden             23.0   18    9    8   12   32    2   398   253  0.64  17.3   21   14  0.60    0    0  0.00  4.70 12.52  0.78  1.30  3.13
Caridad             2.0    4    1    1    0    3    0    39    27  0.69  19.5    2    1  0.67    0    0  0.00  0.00 13.50  0.00  2.00  4.50
Guzman              8.0    4    4    4    5    6    1   121    69  0.57  15.1    8    9  0.47    6    2  0.33  5.63  6.75  1.13  1.13  4.50
Gorzelanny          9.0    7    5    5    3    6    1   140    86  0.61  15.6   12    9  0.57    6    1  0.17  3.00  6.00  1.00  1.11  5.00
Zambrano           19.7   26   15   14    9   22    2   364   229  0.63  18.5   19   16  0.54    0    0  0.00  4.12 10.07  0.92  1.78  6.41
Marshall            7.3   11    6    6    1    8    0   131    87  0.66  17.9   10    4  0.71    2    0  0.00  1.23  9.82  0.00  1.64  7.36
Gregg               7.7    8    7    7    4    8    1   135    81  0.60  17.6    8    6  0.57    4    1  0.25  4.70  9.39  1.17  1.57  8.22

Last 21 games     184.0  166   82   72   67  165   15  2960  1865  0.63  16.1  201  173  0.54   34   10  0.29  3.28  8.07  0.73  1.27  3.52
Season totals    1241.0 1141  583  536  512 1076  142 20753 13385  0.64  16.7 1326 1247  0.52  204   56  0.27  3.71  7.80  1.03  1.33  3.89

 

CUBS pitch counts at the plate.........

 

04/06 - 09/09        P   PA  P/PA
Fukudome          2132  513  4.16
Bradley           1846  451  4.09
Fontenot          1562  382  4.09
Baker              579  143  4.05
Fuld               336   84  4.00
Scales             343   87  3.94
D Lee             2109  535  3.94
Soto              1274  324  3.93
Freel              125   32  3.91
Soriano           2008  522  3.85
Hoffpauir          791  208  3.80
Gathright           57   15  3.80
Ramirez           1017  271  3.75
K. Hill            929  250  3.72
Theriot           2168  588  3.69
Fox                716  198  3.62
Miles              579  161  3.60
Johnson            595  166  3.58
Blanco             382  113  3.38

CUBS             20619 5367  3.84

 

Percentage of baserunners driven in........

 

04/06 - 09/09      BDI  LOB   RBI%
Ramirez             39  114  0.255
D Lee               65  210  0.236
Fox                 28   95  0.228
Fukudome            40  157  0.203
Theriot             43  184  0.189
Bradley             28  142  0.165
Soriano             35  181  0.162
Johnson             16   83  0.162
Soto                26  139  0.158
Fontenot            31  167  0.157
K. Hill             21  115  0.154
Hoffpauir           18  104  0.148
Baker               11   65  0.145
Blanco               8   53  0.131
Scales               5   38  0.116
Miles                5   67  0.069
Freel                1   17  0.056
Gathright            0    6  0.000
Fuld                 0   31  0.000

CUBS               438 2128  0.171

 

Fecal League Standings

 

Team             W       L       Pct      GB
Washington      47      92     0.338     ---
Kansas City     54      85     0.388     7.0
Pittsburgh      54      84     0.391     7.5
Baltimore       56      83     0.403     9.0
Cleveland       60      79     0.432    13.0
Arizona         62      79     0.440    14.0
Oakland         62      77     0.446    15.0
Toronto         62      77     0.446    15.0
NY Mets         62      77     0.446    15.0
San Diego       63      78     0.447    15.0
Cincinnati      63      76     0.453    16.0
Milwaukee       66      73     0.475    19.0
Houston         68      71     0.489    21.0
white sox       70      71     0.496    22.0
Minnesota       70      69     0.504    23.0
Atlanta         71      68     0.511    24.0
Seattle         72      68     0.514    24.5
Tampa Bay       72      68     0.514    24.5
CUBS            71      67     0.514    24.5
Florida         74      65     0.532    27.0
San Francisco   76      64     0.543    28.5

 

 

 

 

 

 

Go CUBS !!!

 

 

 

 

 

© 2009, Fred W. Hornkohl

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Magdal College Ball

Magdal

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Posted
Posted

Cubs 4 for 5 and out hitting and out pitching the other teams so stop all the gloom. Braves behind us, next stop Fla. I find all this talk about draft picks while we're still in the hunt really bad.

 

The Stro's Tejada got on Nat. TV last nite and said that they were still fighting for a spot and that's the way they roll....play it hard down to the final day! Pride guys.

 

I think everyone is overlooking the biggest aquisition of the season by the Cubs: sitting Soriano for anyone on the bench improved the team by a mile. Lou could help things by taking a nap on the bench for about 3 hrs and letting the guys play!

 

And you know even if we don't make it the team has a responsibilty to play their guts out vs. teams still in it...even the head case LaRussa will field his best team after clinching to be a spoiler for whomever, and that very well may be the Cubs.

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TruffleShuffle Cooperstown

TruffleShuffle

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Posted
Posted
And you know even if we don't make it the team has a responsibilty to play their guts out vs. teams still in it...even the head case LaRussa will field his best team after clinching to be a spoiler for whomever, and that very well may be the Cubs.

 

who are they going to be spoiling? the cardinals are already in the playoffs so they can play spoiler for ONE team, the giants, and by the time the cubs play them, they might be just about done too.

 

go reds.

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Magdal College Ball

Magdal

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Posted
We're 8 games back with only 20 games left to play. You keep up that blind optimism though.

Did I say we were a shoe-in? We may lose the next 6 games in a row....but the odds are better that we WIN the next 6.

 

We are in a goddam tough spot but the Phils and Cards are the only teams that feel safe...all the teams behind them are nervous. What do we have to be nervous about? We are in the sh*t house already! Look at the teams we play the next week....you tell me we can't beat them?

 

E.J....don't we have 22 games left? (I think)

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Springfield_CUBBY College Ball

Springfield_CUBBY

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We're 8 games back with only 20 games left to play. You keep up that blind optimism though.

Did I say we were a shoe-in? We may lose the next 6 games in a row....but the odds are better that we WIN the next 6.

 

We are in a goddam tough spot but the Phils and Cards are the only teams that feel safe...all the teams behind them are nervous. What do we have to be nervous about? We are in the sh*t house already! Look at the teams we play the next week....you tell me we can't beat them?

 

E.J....don't we have 22 games left? (I think)

I count 23 left . . . but I'm an idiot

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bukie Chicago Cubs

bukie

Old-Timey Member
Posted
Posted
We're 8 games back with only 20 games left to play. You keep up that blind optimism though.

Did I say we were a shoe-in? We may lose the next 6 games in a row....but the odds are better that we WIN the next 6.

 

We are in a goddam tough spot but the Phils and Cards are the only teams that feel safe...all the teams behind them are nervous. What do we have to be nervous about? We are in the sh*t house already! Look at the teams we play the next week....you tell me we can't beat them?

 

E.J....don't we have 22 games left? (I think)

I count 23 left . . . but I'm an idiot

The Cubs are 71-67, meaning they have played 138 games. A season consists of 162 games (barring cancellations), so technically, the Cubs have 24 games left.

 

Let's consider the odds of catching Colorado:

 

Since June 3, the Rockies have gone 60-28 (no, really!) for a .682 winning percentage. Before that, they were 20-32 for a .385 percentage. Say they play that bad for their remaining games, all of a sudden. That puts them at 9-13 to close out the year. Then, all the Cubs would have to do to catch them is go 18-6 (.750 winning percentage) to close out the year.

 

So, all the Cubs need to do to get the wild card is play better than they have all year, and have the white-hot Rockies cool off to pre-June levels at the same time.

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Magdal College Ball

Magdal

Verified Member
Posted
Posted
We're 8 games back with only 20 games left to play. You keep up that blind optimism though.

Did I say we were a shoe-in? We may lose the next 6 games in a row....but the odds are better that we WIN the next 6.

 

We are in a goddam tough spot but the Phils and Cards are the only teams that feel safe...all the teams behind them are nervous. What do we have to be nervous about? We are in the sh*t house already! Look at the teams we play the next week....you tell me we can't beat them?

 

E.J....don't we have 22 games left? (I think)

I count 23 left . . . but I'm an idiot

The Cubs are 71-67, meaning they have played 138 games. A season consists of 162 games (barring cancellations), so technically, the Cubs have 24 games left.

 

Let's consider the odds of catching Colorado:

 

Since June 3, the Rockies have gone 60-28 (no, really!) for a .682 winning percentage. Before that, they were 20-32 for a .385 percentage. Say they play that bad for their remaining games, all of a sudden. That puts them at 9-13 to close out the year. Then, all the Cubs would have to do to catch them is go 18-6 (.750 winning percentage) to close out the year.

 

So, all the Cubs need to do to get the wild card is play better than they have all year, and have the white-hot Rockies cool off to pre-June levels at the same time.

That is correct. They got hot "all of a sudden", but they can't get cold the same way? I know it's a long shot, like that Philly winning the Kentucky Derby, or Buster beating Tyson or the Pirates beating the Yanks in '60.

 

What's wrong with you guys? If in a week from now we are still 6 games back of the WC I will be less optomistic, but the fact is we COULD be 5 back in 3 days, with 20 games to go. How can you not have hope?

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Little Slide Rooter MVP

Little Slide Rooter

Verified Member
Posted
Posted
We're 8 games back with only 20 games left to play. You keep up that blind optimism though.

Did I say we were a shoe-in? We may lose the next 6 games in a row....but the odds are better that we WIN the next 6.

 

We are in a goddam tough spot but the Phils and Cards are the only teams that feel safe...all the teams behind them are nervous. What do we have to be nervous about? We are in the sh*t house already! Look at the teams we play the next week....you tell me we can't beat them?

 

E.J....don't we have 22 games left? (I think)

I count 23 left . . . but I'm an idiot

The Cubs are 71-67, meaning they have played 138 games. A season consists of 162 games (barring cancellations), so technically, the Cubs have 24 games left.

 

Let's consider the odds of catching Colorado:

 

Since June 3, the Rockies have gone 60-28 (no, really!) for a .682 winning percentage. Before that, they were 20-32 for a .385 percentage. Say they play that bad for their remaining games, all of a sudden. That puts them at 9-13 to close out the year. Then, all the Cubs would have to do to catch them is go 18-6 (.750 winning percentage) to close out the year.

 

So, all the Cubs need to do to get the wild card is play better than they have all year, and have the white-hot Rockies cool off to pre-June levels at the same time.

That is correct. They got hot "all of a sudden", but they can't get cold the same way? I know it's a long shot, like that Philly winning the Kentucky Derby, or Buster beating Tyson or the Pirates beating the Yanks in '60.

 

What's wrong with you guys? If in a week from now we are still 6 games back of the WC I will be less optomistic, but the fact is we COULD be 5 back in 3 days, with 20 games to go. How can you not have hope?

 

Anything can happen, but it usually doesnt.

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Andy GOAT

Andy

Old-Timey Member
Posted
Posted
the cubs have less than 1% chance at making the playoffs, according to BP.

 

in other news, i can't believe the [expletive] cardinals have the best record in the NL.

I'm not. They managed to be on the fringes of contention the last two years with ridiculous teams, it would stand to reason that when they got a decent hitter or two and Carpenter came back (inexplicably staying healthy all year and pitching like Bob Gibson) that they'd become an unstoppable force.

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bukie Chicago Cubs

bukie

Old-Timey Member
Posted
Posted
That is correct. They got hot "all of a sudden", but they can't get cold the same way? I know it's a long shot, like that Philly winning the Kentucky Derby, or Buster beating Tyson or the Pirates beating the Yanks in '60.

 

What's wrong with you guys? If in a week from now we are still 6 games back of the WC I will be less optomistic, but the fact is we COULD be 5 back in 3 days, with 20 games to go. How can you not have hope?

 

The Rockies have been "all of a sudden" hot for three solid months now. At this point, they probably would have a better chance of catching the Dodgers. The playoffs really only become an option if the Cubs take off over the next week and either the Rockies, Dodgers, or Cards completely collapse over the same time period. Until then, it's a pipe dream, and there's nothing wrong with people that see it that way.

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