04/20 Pittsburgh (Duke) @ CUBS (Dempster) 1:20pm, WGN TV

[Post Count Padder]

bunt

[Hairyducked Idiot]

Now I wish we had Soriano leading off :(

[Fred Hornkohl]

CUBS are 4-2 when they execute a sac bunt.... 7-4 when they don't

 

 

Go CUBS !!

[Guest]

I know some people might disagree, but I like the bunt here. Sure, you may cost yourself an out, but getting on the scoreboard first is that important.

It is pretty important. That's why you don't lower your chances of doing it by bunting.

 

I would actually say that you raise your chances of scoring by bunting him to third there. If you got a guy that hits .300, there's a 70% chance he's getting out. Might as well make the out productive by moving the runner over to third, where an out, which again is 70% likely, can still score the runner.

 

Given, I realize this entire discussion is based upon odds and an individual's baseball theory prefernce.

 

Reed Johnson is a faster runner so it's likely that he's going to be able to score from second on a majority of base hits to the outfield. By not bunting him over, it gives your team one more chance to drive him home. The fact that the 3-4-5 hitters are coming up means it makes even less sense to waste an out.

 

And according to a run expectancy table, a team will score an average of 1.189 runs with a runner on 2nd with no outs and only .983 runs with a runner on third with one out.

[bcl412]

Is it just me or does it look like Reed would enjoy 4/20?

[Hairyducked Idiot]

Even when they don't score, these Cubs make pitchers earn it. I like it.

[Outshined_One]

Ah, nuts.

[Post Count Padder]

Darn

[erik316wttn]

Johnson pops to 2nd. Inning over.

[vance_the_cubs_fan]

Crap! We start an inning with two straight singles and no runs!

 

That sucks!

[Fred Hornkohl]

BOTTOM OF THE SECOND INNING

 

DeRosa singled to left field

Soto singled to center field , DeRosa to second

Cedeno grounded into a FC, 1-5, DeRosa out at third, Soto to second

Dempster sacrificed, 1-4, Soto to third, Cedeno to second

Johnson popped out to shallow right field

 

0 runs 2 hits 0 errors 2 men left on base

 

                1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9              R  H  E
Pittsburgh      0 0                            0  2  0
CUBS            1 0                            1  4  0

 

Home runs:

Pittsburgh: none

CUBS: none

 

Pittsburgh     IP  H  R ER BB  K HR PIT
Duke          2.0  4  1  1  0  0  0  26

 

CUBS           IP  H  R ER BB  K HR PIT
Dempster      2.0  2  0  0  0  1  0  33

[Outshined_One]

Is it just me or does it look like Reed would enjoy 4/20?

 

Soul Patches don't do the best of jobs of conveying sobriety, imo.

[Fred Hornkohl]

            Pittsburgh            CUBS
P/PA              4.71            2.60

[BigSlick]

bleh something tells me we're going to want those runs later.

[Outshined_One]

That ump's been generous with that outside corner with RH hitters.

[Keener98]

Braden Looper is officially getting his ass handed to him woooo

[Post Count Padder]

Have a seat

[Fred Hornkohl]

Bixler struck out swinging

[erik316wttn]

Bixler K's. Sit down, kid.

[Soul]

Right now Demp is getting ahead of everyone. It's great to see, please continue.

[bcl412]

Is it just me or does it look like Reed would enjoy 4/20?

 

Soul Patches don't do the best of jobs of conveying sobriety, imo.

 

This is true.

[Andy]

Braden Looper is officially getting his ass handed to him woooo

He's a Cardinal, so naturally I don't believe you.

[erik316wttn]

Duke grounds to Soto. 2 down.

[Post Count Padder]

2 down

[Fred Hornkohl]

Duke grounded out to the catcher, 2-3