90 wins?

[CubsNSkers07]

37-25 thats all we need and we'll be sittin at 90-72 to finish the season!

 

 

35-13 is what we have to go now.

[Omar]

37-25 thats all we need and we'll be sittin at 90-72 to finish the season!

 

 

35-13 is what we have to go now.

 

Uh-oh :x . I think I'm gonna be sick...

[Cynosure]

If our little guys can keep up the offense like yesterday for just a couple weeks we are going to be in damn good shape. All we need is to get hot before the playoffs!

[Ender]

If our little guys can keep up the offense like yesterday for just a couple weeks we are going to be in damn good shape. All we need is to get hot before the playoffs!

 

yep, if the team hits .381 with 3 doubles, a triple and a HR every game the rest of the year the Cubs will be in good shape.

[third eye]

37-25 thats all we need and we'll be sittin at 90-72 to finish the season!

 

 

35-13 is what we have to go now.

 

Whoa, not sure how that math works out. They are 4 games over .500 now. 90 wins is 18 games over. You are saying they need to be 22 games over the rest of the way? I'm guessing some numbers got switch around there. I'm not one to call people out on this kind of stuff, but I'm pretty sure 31-17 is the right number from here for 90 wins. A little better outlook and still doable with the schedule ahead. :)

[98navigator]

Right now, the Cubs are on pace to win approximately 85.6 games based on PECOTA projections (the brewers pace is 85.5). 5 more wins isn't inconceivable if they are able to have a prolonged winning streak again.

 

Link

[SABR Gamer]

37-25 thats all we need and we'll be sittin at 90-72 to finish the season!

 

 

35-13 is what we have to go now.

 

Don't know what math your doing, but for us to finish 90-72, we need to go 31-17, which is more than doable.

[CubsNSkers07]

haha dangit it was late/early and I dont know what i was thinking and now 31-17 makes me feel a lot better seeing that I did the math wrong haha. I think i just used the losing record and was like oh 90 35 more losses good thing you all corrected me. Because I hope we don't finish with 90 losses on the losing side!

 

Go Cubs 31-17 HAHA

[SABR Gamer]

Lol when i read it i first was doubting it because I never remembered the Cubs going through a 2-12 stretch.

[CubFanPhilly]

47 games to play and half a game out of first.

 

As I add them up it looks like somewhere between 84 and 91 wins. From June 3rd through the end of the Cardinals series July 26, the Cubs were 30-17. The same record for the balance of the season would bring them to 90-72.

 

The Cubs were playing great baseball during that strech with everyone healthy, it'd be a tall order to do it again. But on the plus side, they did that against a much stronger schedule than the one that remains - going 12-8 against contending teams, while they have only 12 of 47 games remaining against contenders. Much depends on how the Cubs play against the bottom of the NL Central (32 games remaining vs. the NLC, only three vs. the Brewers)

 

I'm optimistic, but the playoffs are certainly not a lock.

 

 

 

PLAYOFF RACE 08/10/07
                          Games Remaining - (Contenders)     | TOTAL V.  TOTAL V.                 
Div. Leaders   W-L  GB-WC  ATL ARI CHI COL  LA MIL  NY PHL SD | CONTEND   NON-CONTEND
New York      64-51   -     5   0   0   0   3   0   X   7  3  |    18       29
Arizona       66-51   -     3   X   3   6   6   3   0   0  7  |    28       17
Milwaukee     61-55   -     4   3   3   0   0   X   0   0  4  |    14       32	
               	                                           |
Wildcard Race                                                 |
San Diego     62-53   -     0   7   0   9   6   4   3   3  X  |    32       15
Philadelphia  61-54  1.0    8   0   0   0   3   0   7   X  3  |    20       27
Altanta       61-55  1.5    X   3   0   0   0   4   5   8  0  |    21       25
Chicago       60-55  2.0    0   3   X   2   4   3   0   0  0  |    12       35
Los Angeles   60-55  2.0    0   6   4   9   X   0   3   3  6  |    28       19
Colorado      59-56  3.0    0   6   2   X   9   0   0   0  9  |    26       21
_____________________________________________________________|
Totals                     20  28  12  26  31  14  18  21 32  |                 

[Guest]

37-25 thats all we need and we'll be sittin at 90-72 to finish the season!

 

 

35-13 is what we have to go now.

 

Don't know what math your doing, but for us to finish 90-72, we need to go 31-17, which is more than doable.

 

more than doable?

[bhogg]

First team to 84 wins gets the trophy!

[Keener98]

90 wins? At this point Im hoping we can reach 75

[Soul]

90 wins? At this point Im hoping we can reach 75

 

Maybe a little pessimistic, but I know where you are coming from.

[CubsNSkers07]

From this point out win 2 of every 3 and we got it! haha

 

I think If I did my math right this time. 30-15 We now need to finish. Is it possible? yes. will it happen? Not likely. I'd be happy if we could manage to go 25-20 even.

[anabiono]

89-73

 

this will be our final record

 

will it be enough though?

[Garwilly]

89-73

 

this will be our final record

 

will it be enough though?

 

 

To get to 90 wins, one of the following would need to happen.

 

Brewers go 28-16

Cards go 35-12

Astros go 38-7

Reds go 40-5

Pirates go 42-6

 

I would take my 89 wins and start printing the divison champs t-shirts.

[SouthSideRyan]

Rest of the season

 

3 vs. CIN (3-0)

4 vs. STL (2-2)

3 @ SF (2-1)

3 @ AZ(1-2)

3 vs. MIL(2-1)

3 vs. HOU(2-1)

4 vs. LA(1-3)

3 @ PIT(3-0)

3 @ HOU(2-1)

4 @ STL(1 DH) (1-3)

3 vs. CIN (3-0)

3 vs. PIT 2-1)

3 @ FLA (1-2)

3 @ CIN (1-2)

 

26-19 finish putting them at 86-76. Probably enough to fend off the Cards, not so sure about the Brewers.

[Ender]

No team is ever expected to sweep another. Even the best team against the worst team is more likely to be a 2-1 than a 3-0. Expecting the Cubs to sweep three teams including one on the road is probably not being fair to the team.

[CubColtPacer]

No team is ever expected to sweep another. Even the best team against the worst team is more likely to be a 2-1 than a 3-0. Expecting the Cubs to sweep three teams including one on the road is probably not being fair to the team.

 

He also has the Cubs going 3-5 against the Cardinals the last 8 games in the series. I'd expect better than that, so that sort of evens out the sweeps thing.

[UMFan83]

Rest of the season

 

3 vs. CIN (2-1) 62-58

4 vs. STL (2-2) 64-60

3 @ SF (2-1) 66-61

3 @ AZ(1-2) 67-63

3 vs. MIL(2-1) 69-64

3 vs. HOU(2-1) 71-65

4 vs. LA(3-1) 74-66

3 @ PIT(2-1) 76-67

3 @ HOU(2-1) 78-68

4 @ STL(1 DH) (2-2) 80-70

3 vs. CIN (3-0) 83-70

3 vs. PIT (2-1) 85-71

3 @ FLA (1-2) 86-73

3 @ CIN (1-2) 87-75

 

27-18 putting them at 87-75. Thats about as optimistic as I can get

[UMFan83]

Also for the other teams:

 

3 vs. STL (2-1)

3 vs. CIN (3-0)

3 @ ARI (1-2)

3 @ SF (1-2)

3 @ CHC (1-2)

3 vs. PIT (2-1)

3 vs. HOU (2-1)

3 @ CIN (1-2)

3 @ PIT (2-1)

3 vs. CIN (2-1)

3 @ HOU (1-2)

4 @ ATL (1-3)

3 vs. STL (2-1)

4 vs. SD (2-2)

 

23-21

 

85-77

 

3 @ MIL (1-2)

4 @ CHC (2-2)

3 vs. FLA (1-2)

3 vs. ATL (1-2)

3 @ HOU (2-1)

3 vs. CIN (1-2)

4 vs. PIT (3-1)

3 @ ARI (0-3)

3 @ CIN (1-2)

4 vs. CHC (2-2)

3 vs. PHI (1-2)

4 vs. HOU (3-1)

3 @ MIL (1-2)

1 @ NYM (0-1)

3 @ PIT (2-1)

 

21-26

 

76-86 Should have gotten starting pitching last offseason

 

Just my complete guesses with a little bit of optimism and homerism. With respect to the Cardinals, they are 10-10 in their last 20 games, and 5-2 in their last 7 (following a 5 game losing streak to the Pirates and Nationals) and this is supposed to be their big run. This is as close as the Cardinals will get (save a game or two) the rest of the way.

[David]

Totally forgot about this thread...but updated

 

90 seems mostly out of reach now...but it's not 100% unrealistic. It'll definitely take a 5-6 game winning streak, or an 8/10 or so stretch to really put it into the realm of possibility, though.

 

87-88 seems like the high end of what we can reasonably expect at this point. We'll see, though.

[UMFan83]

Totally forgot about this thread...but updated

 

90 seems mostly out of reach now...but it's not 100% unrealistic. It'll definitely take a 5-6 game winning streak, or an 8/10 or so stretch to really put it into the realm of possibility, though.

 

87-88 seems like the high end of what we can reasonably expect at this point. We'll see, though.

 

22-7 right?

[vance_the_cubs_fan]

We'll finish with 85-84 wins, which will probably be enough.