08/11 CUBS (Hill) @ Colorado (Cook) 8:05 CDT, CSN TV, XM188

[Fred Hornkohl]

http://chicago.cubs.mlb.com/images/gameday/mugshots/mlb/448179.jpg Hill (2-4) 6.69

 

vs.

 

http://chicago.cubs.mlb.com/images/gameday/mugshots/mlb/346871.jpg Cook (7-10) 3.95

 

 

 

 

That Cook is a real friendly looking charchter, no? Makes me wonder what the CUBS' record is against ugly starting pitchers ??

[Laura]

If you don't know, Fred, I don't think anyone else will! :)

[Fred Hornkohl]

Greetings one and all from beautiful West Memphis, AR !!!

 

Worthless stats of the day for Friday.....

 

CUBS are 7-11 on Fridays

CUBS are 0-0 vs. Colorado

CUBS are 6-16 vs. the NLW Division

CUBS are 3-10 when they've lost their last 2 game(s) in a row

CUBS are 29-37 when they've lost their previous game

CUBS are 16-21 in games that start a series

CUBS are 26-29 at night

CUBS are 23-35 on the road

CUBS are 28-18 when CSN broadcasts the game

CUBS are 29-44 when the temperature is 70 degrees or above

CUBS are 45-13 when they outhit the opponents.... 3-46 when they get outhit.... and 4-6 when the hits are even

CUBS are 35-22 when their pitchers average 16 pitches per inning or less..... 13-44 when they don't

CUBS are 13-33 when they throw more pitches than the opponent.... 21-13 when they throw fewer pitches than the opponent.... 14-20 when the pitch counts are even.

CUBS are 15-16 when they average 3.4 P/PA or fewer.... 33-50 when they don't

CUBS are 38-23 when the opponent's starter pitches 6-1/3 inning or less.... 10-44 when he doesn't

CUBS are on a pace to win 68 games this year..... compared to 79 last year

CUBS are on a pace to score 686 runs this year..... compared to 703 last year

CUBS are on a pace to hit 158 home runs this year..... compared to 194 last year

CUBS are on a pace to draw 412 walks this year..... compared to 419 last year

CUBS are scoring 4.24 runs per game compared to 4.34 last year

CUBS are seeing 3.69 pitches per plate appearance compared to 3.61 last year

CUBS are drving in 19.5% of their runners on base compared to 18.4% last year

CUBS are scoring 0.358 runs per baserunner compared to 0.365 last year

CUBS extra base hit ratio is 32.2% compared to 35.8% last year

CUBS have 12 GIDP's in their last 21 games.... 21 GIDP's in their last 39 games

CUBS have 26 SB in their last 28 games

CUBS have 19 sac bunts in their last 26 games...... 25 sac bunts in their last 48 games

CUBS have 67 home runs in their last 58 games..... 34 home runs in their last 24 games

CUBS have drawn 89 BBs in their last 29 games

CUBS have 12 sac flies in their last 49 games

CUBS have 6 errors in their last 17 games

CUBS have allowed 34 HR in their last 32 games

CUBS have hit 25 batters in their last 38 games

CUBS have 4 quality starts in theie last 20 games.... 13 quality starts in their last 32 games

The CUBS surrendered no extra base hits in Thursday's loss to the Brewers. The last time they did that was on Thur 20 July 2006 in a 4-1 win over Houston, a game which snapped an 8 game losing streak on Thursdays.

 

CUBS are 3-4 when Hill starts

Hill is 2 of 7 in quality starts

Hill's ERA pitching to Barrett is 6.15 ... pitching to Blanco it's 11.25

CUBS score 4.24 R/G overall.... 3.00 R/G when Hill pitches

CUBS hit 0.97 HR/G overall.... 1.14 HR/G when Hill pitches

 

CUBS' offensive support of Hill.....

 

04/03 - 08/10      AB    R    H   2b   3b   HR   TB  RBI   BB   SO     BA    OBP    SLG    OPS
CUBS w/Hill       227   21   57   12    1    8   95   20   10   38  0.251  0.285  0.419  0.703
CUBS overall     3864  483 1032  192   29  111 1615  459  290  616  0.267  0.320  0.418  0.738

 

Hill's pitching lines (2-4).....

 

Hill                    IP    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    PC  BB/9   K/9  HR/9  WHIP   ERA
05/04  vs. Ariz        4.0    6    5    5    2    1    2    67  4.50  2.25  4.50  2.00 11.25
05/09  vs. S.F.        6.0    8    5    5    3    4    1   100  4.50  6.00  1.50  1.83  7.50
05/14  vs. S.D.        5.3    4    3    3    5    4    0    90  8.44  6.75  0.00  1.69  5.06
05/20  vs. CWS         4.0    5    7    7    5    2    2    87 11.25  4.50  4.50  2.50 15.75
07/27  vs. St. L       3.3    6    4    4    3    1    1    83  8.10  2.70  2.70  2.70 10.80
08/01  vs. Ariz        8.0    6    3    3    1    6    1   109  1.13  6.75  1.13  0.88  3.38
08/06  vs. Pitts       7.0    5    1    1    2    9    1   103  2.57 11.57  1.29  1.00  1.29

Home                  23.7   21   11   11   11   20    3   385  4.18  7.61  1.14  1.35  4.18
Road                  14.0   19   17   17   10    7    5   254  6.43  4.50  3.21  2.07 10.93

Day                   16.3   14   11   11   12   15    3   280  6.61  8.27  1.65  1.59  6.06
Nite                  21.3   26   17   17    9   12    5   359  3.80  5.06  2.11  1.64  7.17

season totals         37.7   40   28   28   21   27    8   639  5.02  6.45  1.91  1.62  6.69

 

CUBS bullpen usage for the last weeek

 

              Thurs      Wed        Tue        Mon        Sun        Sat        Fri           Totals
             10 Aug     09 Aug     08 Aug     07 Aug     06 Aug     05 Aug     04 Aug
             at Milw    at Milw    at Milw    no game    vs Pitts   vs Pitts   vs Pitts
pitcher        IP Pit     IP Pit     IP Pit     IP Pit     IP Pit     IP Pit     IP Pit        IP Pit

Dempster                            1.0  20               1.0  20    1.0  12                  3.0  52
Eyre                     0.7  16          5                          0.3   4                  1.0  25
Howry         1.0  13               1.0  10               1.0  23    1.0  13                  4.0  59
Ohman         1.0  17               1.0   6                          0.3   5                  2.3  28
Novoa                    1.3   9                                                1.0  10       2.3  19
Wuertz                   0.3   5    0.3  12                          0.7   7                  1.3  24
Aardsma       1.0  10    1.0  14    0.3   8                                     2.0  46       4.3  78
Mateo         2.0  30                                                                         2.0  30

Totals        5.0  70    3.3  44    3.7  61               2.0  43    3.3  41    3.0  56      20.3 315

 

CUBS' season series vs. Colorado (0-0) .......

 

Gm#    Date       Opponent         Score  Starter
115  Fri 08/11  @ Colorado      N    -    Hill        
116  Sat 08/12  @ Colorado      N    -    Mateo        
117  Sun 08/13  @ Colorado           -    Marmol        
160  Fri 09/29    Colorado           -             
161  Sat 09/30    Colorado           -             
162  Sun 10/01    Colorado           -             

 

CUBS season series vs. Colorado last year (4-2)

 

Gm#    Date       Opponent         Score  Starter
46  Fri 05/27    Colorado         10- 3  Prior        
47  Sat 05/28    Colorado          5- 1  Rusch        
48  Sun 05/29    Colorado         11- 6  Mitre        
122  Fri 08/19  @ Colorado          5- 3  Prior        
123  Sat 08/20  @ Colorado      N   2- 4  Rusch        
124  Sun 08/21  @ Colorado          7- 9  Maddux        

 

CUBS' hitters during the last 14 games......

 

07/27 - 08/10      AB    R    H   2B   3B   HR   TB  RBI   BB   SO     BA    OBP    SLG    OPS
Murton             28    4   11    5    0    2   22    9    4    0  0.393  0.469  0.786  1.254
Theriot            11    3    6    1    0    0    7    1    1    1  0.545  0.583  0.636  1.220
Ramirez            48   11   17    4    1    4   35   13    7    7  0.354  0.448  0.729  1.177
Pagan              33   10   14    2    0    1   19    5    2    3  0.424  0.444  0.576  1.020
Blanco              8    2    2    0    0    1    5    3    1    1  0.250  0.333  0.625  0.958
Barrett            43    6   13    5    0    2   24    6    1    3  0.302  0.362  0.558  0.920
Walker             13    3    3    1    0    1    7    2    2    1  0.231  0.333  0.538  0.872
Cedeno             36    4   12    0    0    2   18    6    0    7  0.333  0.351  0.500  0.851
Pierre             59    8   17    4    2    0   25    6    4    1  0.288  0.344  0.424  0.767
Mabry              28    5    6    1    0    2   13    7    4    6  0.214  0.303  0.464  0.767
Jones              43    3   11    1    0    2   18    6    6    9  0.256  0.347  0.419  0.766
Izturis            29    3    7    1    0    0    8    2    3    3  0.241  0.313  0.276  0.588
Perez              24    3    5    0    0    0    5    1    1    1  0.208  0.240  0.208  0.448
Nevin              27    4    4    0    0    0    4    3    4   14  0.148  0.250  0.148  0.398

14 game totals    453   71  133   27    3   17  217   70   41   66  0.294  0.358  0.479  0.837

season totals    3864  483 1032  187   29  111 1610  449  289  614  0.267  0.321  0.417  0.737

 

CUBS' pitchers during the last 14 games......

 

07/27 - 08/10        IP    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    PC  BB/9   K/9  HR/9  WHIP   ERA
Wuertz              7.3    2    1    1    2   10    1   108  2.45 12.27  1.23  0.55  1.23
Howry               7.0    4    1    1    1    6    0   100  1.29  7.71  0.00  0.71  1.29
Maddux              6.0    5    1    1    0    6    0    84  0.00  9.00  0.00  0.83  1.50
Aardsma             5.3    4    1    1    1    6    1    91  1.69 10.13  1.69  0.94  1.69
Dempster            8.0    9    2    2    3    4    0   132  3.38  4.50  0.00  1.50  2.25
Eyre                3.7    4    1    1    2    5    1    65  4.91 12.27  2.45  1.64  2.45
Mateo               7.0    8    5    2    5    3    0   118  6.43  3.86  0.00  1.86  2.57
Novoa               5.7    4    2    2    2    5    0    81  3.18  7.94  0.00  1.06  3.18
Hill               18.3   17    8    8    6   16    3   295  2.95  7.85  1.47  1.25  3.93
Zambrano           16.7   19   13   11   12   15    2   336  6.48  8.10  1.08  1.86  5.94
Marmol             15.7   14   13   12   14   10    3   306  8.04  5.74  1.72  1.79  6.89
Prior              13.7   15   15   13   10   11    4   267  6.59  7.24  2.63  1.83  8.56
Ohman               7.0    8    7    7    6   10    0   142  7.71 12.86  0.00  2.00  9.00
Rusch               2.7    6    4    4    1    2    3    51  3.38  6.75 10.13  2.63 13.50

14 game totals    124.0  119   74   66   65  109   18  2176  4.72  7.91  1.31  1.48  4.79

season totals    1002.3  975  589  539  481  851  150 17114  4.32  7.64  1.35  1.45  4.84

 

Percentage of baserunners driven in

 

04/03 - 08/10      BDI  LOB   RBI%
Restovich            1    2  0.333
Blanco              20   51  0.282
Walker              34  105  0.245
Ramirez             49  164  0.230
Barrett             32  113  0.221
Perez               22   78  0.220
Murton              31  112  0.217
Jones               38  146  0.207
Theriot              1    4  0.200
Izturis              2   10  0.167
Mabry               11   57  0.162
Nevin               13   68  0.160
Pagan                6   32  0.158
Lee                 10   58  0.147
Pierre              21  124  0.145
Bynum                4   25  0.138
Cedeno              25  159  0.136
Hairston             4   27  0.129
Womack               1   14  0.067

CUBS               338 1440  0.190

 

Go CUBS !!

[soccer10k]

Let's hope Hill continues his good performances. I won't be able to watch this game seeing as I have to work at 6 (Pacific Time) although that may be a good thing.

[Outshined_One]

Rich Hill in Colorado?

 

Hoo boy.

[soccer10k]

Rich Hill in Colorado?

 

Hoo boy.

 

This is the new Coors Field where pitchers can actually have good games. Colorado has the third best home ERA in the NL (7th in ML).

[Drew Doughty]

Rich Hill in Colorado?

 

Hoo boy.

 

Coors field isn't near as much of a hitter's park as it once was. Humidor.

[C.C.]

I'm curious to see if the break on his curveball is as pronounced in coors.

 

GO HILL!

 

The rookie pitchers are the only thing worth watching anymore...

[gerby23]

Fred, or anyone else for that matter-

Do you have the piching rotation extrapolated through the end of the season? By any chance do you know who is pitching the three games in Atlanta on Sept. 8, 9, & 10?

Thanks

[Sammy Sofa]

Try not to suck too badly today, boys.

 

Thanks.

[Flames24Rulz]

Go Hill!

[Transmogrified Tiger]

I predict a disaster start for Hill.

[Laura]

Rich Hill in Colorado?

 

Hoo boy.

 

Coors field isn't near as much of a hitter's park as it once was. Humidor.

 

Curveballs are still affected, though, even if the batted ball isn't traveling as far as it used to go.

 

Good luck to Hill!

[C.C.]

I predict a disaster start for Hill.

 

I wouldn't say a disaster, but I do expect a dip in his progress. I don't think he'll get the same bite on his curveball...

[thedaymen]

Fred, or anyone else for that matter-

Do you have the piching rotation extrapolated through the end of the season? By any chance do you know who is pitching the three games in Atlanta on Sept. 8, 9, & 10?

Thanks

 

Thats not possible to know given we aren't 100% sure who's starting tomorrow or whether Prior is going to make his next start.

[gerby23]

Fred, or anyone else for that matter-

Do you have the piching rotation extrapolated through the end of the season? By any chance do you know who is pitching the three games in Atlanta on Sept. 8, 9, & 10?

Thanks

 

Thats not possible to know given we aren't 100% sure who's starting tomorrow or whether Prior is going to make his next start.

 

I realize we can't be 100%, I was just curious as to the projections considering I will be there. I am going to be there anyway, I was just curious if Fred had a spreadsheet on that as well.

[abuck1220]

I predict a disaster start for Hill.

 

wouldn't shock me.

[A New Era]

I predict a disaster start for Hill.

 

You just said that so you could WIN/WIN. You want Hill to do great, and if he does, this is like reverse karma. If he sucks, you can bump your old post and say. . . SEE!?!?

[A New Era]

I predict Hill will have another great outing.

[neely crenshaw]

Fred, or anyone else for that matter-

Do you have the piching rotation extrapolated through the end of the season? By any chance do you know who is pitching the three games in Atlanta on Sept. 8, 9, & 10?

Thanks

 

Thats not possible to know given we aren't 100% sure who's starting tomorrow or whether Prior is going to make his next start.

 

I realize we can't be 100%, I was just curious as to the projections considering I will be there. I am going to be there anyway, I was just curious if Fred had a spreadsheet on that as well.

 

well i think i have got it narrowed down for those 3 days...depending on prior and his status, my guess is either z, marmol,guzman, prior or hill with mateo and marshall as outside possibilities- does that help?

 

sorry my dry sense of humor plays better at the end of a 7-1 loss than here....

[Tim Burr]

Why don't they use a humidor to make the balls heavier in all the live parks? Isn't this giving favortism to one team? How about using the humidor at Wrigley field when the wind is blowing out?

 

In case you are unaware, there is a lot of money being bet on baseball games and the total runs scored is one of the options. If the "doctored" ball can keep the runs down, do you suppose that someone betting on the total could get these balls in play at another live park? What makes these balls different and how can you tell the difference? Just wondering! :shock:

[CaliforniaRaisin]

I predict Hill will have another great outing.

 

Does that mean you're setting yourself up for a LOSE/LOSE situation? :-s

 

Go Hill!

[A New Era]

I predict Hill will have another great outing.

 

Does that mean you're setting yourself up for a LOSE/LOSE situation? :-s

 

Go Hill!

 

Nope. It's a WIN/LOSE situation hoping for the WIN/WIN!!

[Bruce Miles]

Lineups

 

Cubs

Pierre, CF

Izturis, SS

Barrett, C

Ramirez, 3B

Jones, RF

Pagan, LF

Mabry, 1B

Cedeno, SS

Hill, P

 

Rockies

Carroll, 2B

Barmes, SS

Atkins, 3B

Holliday, LF

Spilborghs, RF

Gonzalez, 1B

Freeman, CF

Ardoin, C

Cook, P

[CuseCubFan69]

Hmmm...Murton's playing bench today again. Why in earth can't Baker ever sit Pierre?