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Posted
1 minute ago, Geographyhater8888 said:

Who’s ridiculous? He’s sitting at 567 since the all star break in 122 PAs. I’m pointing out how he’s been awful over the last month. Is that a ridiculous observation or are you referring to someone else?

I've got .597, but splitting hairs there.

In that stretch, his walk rate is significantly higher than his career average (16.4% to 10%) and his K rate is slightly better (23% to 25.1%). His BABIP over this stretch is .236, his career BABIP is .332. If he continues getting BABIP luck 100 points below his career average, I agree his results will continue to look bad. There's reason to believe it won't continue this way, and his expected wOBA being 25 points above his YTD wOBA probably backs that up. 

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Posted

Honestly its kind of amazing that the Cubs have been able to mostly tread water in the 2nd half despite our 4 best hitters completely falling off a cliff.

Posted
1 minute ago, UMFan83 said:

Its mildly humorous that we had the bases loaded and 2 outs for the spot Shaw usually bats in.

It is more than mildly sickening that Tucker absolutely refuses to drive the ball to left field and tries to pull EVERYTHING.

Posted
Just now, profisme said:

It is more than mildly sickening that Tucker absolutely refuses to drive the ball to left field and tries to pull EVERYTHING.

He's not trying to pull everything.  His hand has slowed down his swing so he's starting earlier and is out in front of anything remotely off speed.

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Posted

Top of the order: 23 pitches seen and one base runner in 6 PA. 

Other 6 guys: 29 pitches seen and 3 base runners in 6 PA.

Posted
3 minutes ago, UMFan83 said:

Honestly its kind of amazing that the Cubs have been able to mostly tread water in the 2nd half despite our 4 best hitters completely falling off a cliff.

Very back of the math calculations but believe 2nd half Wrigley games are averaging 6.8 runs total, and the league average on team runs per game is around 4.4, so we're 2 runs below average. Obviously a small sample size but Wrigley is playing like the biggest pitchers park in history over the last month.

Posted (edited)
8 minutes ago, squally1313 said:

Very back of the math calculations but believe 2nd half Wrigley games are averaging 6.8 runs total, and the league average on team runs per game is around 4.4, so we're 2 runs below average. Obviously a small sample size but Wrigley is playing like the biggest pitchers park in history over the last month.

But how much of that is the conditions and how much is it our hitters not performing?  Evidence supporting it being the conditions is that the other teams aren't exactly crushing the ball either (24 runs allowed in 8 games on this homestead).  But at the same time, we're not seeing an uptick of run scoring on the road either, for the Cubs or their opponents.

Only 2 games in August have had at least 1 team score more than 6 runs in a game - 8/9 the Cubs scored 9 at St Louis and 8/18 the Brewers scored 7 at Wrigley.  As much as the Cubs have regressed offensive, the pitching has largely picked up the slack

Edited by UMFan83
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