Mariners (Kirby) vs Cubs (Boyd): 6/20/25, 1:20pm

[harmony]

19 minutes ago, gflore34 said:

I was referring to Garver and Solano, I'm guessing their combined OPS+ is less than 111.  I was close, it's 116 combined for those two.

Thanks.

The previous post has been clarified.

[DrCub]

5 hours ago, gflore34 said:

That's OK Cubs may hit 8 themselves.

They won’t hit 8 in the next 6 games.  

[soccer10k]

According to Fangraphs, the last four seasons, with bases empty and 2 outs, teams scored 0.1 runs on average. With a runner on 1st with 2 outs, its 0.63. That means for those five innings where Seattle scored 9 runs, their total run expectancy after getting to 2 outs was 0.63.

[Stratos]

12 hours ago, squally1313 said:

Michael Busch is so good at hitting

Such a good 1B.  What a trade!

[Stratos]

11 hours ago, mul21 said:

I think it's over a month until the trade deadline and if he doesn't show some improvement by then, I'll probably agree with you, but jumping the gun on a rookie when we saw this exact situation play out with a prospect of similar caliber last season seems a bit premature, no?

PCA and Amaya both started off very slow last season.

Just from what i've seen, Shaw just hasn't been getting the barrel on the ball much.  Not getting off great swings.  Getting jammed a lot, chasing some low pitches and putting them in play but not hitting them too hard.

He's made a lot of adjustments.  His stance isn't closed anymore, and the leg kick is smaller, so maybe he just needs some time.

Not giving up on him, but it sucks that Cam Smith has a full run higher in WAR so far and a 131 wRC+ since May 1, and the K% is down to around 25%.  We'll see Smith and co. soon in Houston.

[Stratos]

Cub offense is 25th in runs scored in June, and around the same in wRC+.  April was more funner.  2nd best ERA in MLB in June though.

[chibears55]

17 hours ago, Geographyhater8888 said:

I would’ve kept Boyd in at 76 pitches.

Just heard he came out because he was actually injured on his left shoulder when he caught that line drive.  Nothing serious, but it's bruised.

[gflore34]

13 hours ago, soccer10k said:

According to Fangraphs, the last four seasons, with bases empty and 2 outs, teams scored 0.1 runs on average. With a runner on 1st with 2 outs, its 0.63. That means for those five innings where Seattle scored 9 runs, their total run expectancy after getting to 2 outs was 0.63.

They did it in consecutive innings so the probability of that is .63*.63 = .4, 4 percent.

[gflore34]

On 6/20/2025 at 10:37 PM, DrCub said:

They won’t hit 8 in the next 6 games.  

You're correct they'll hit 9 in 2 games.