Cubs (Pomeranz) vs Nationals (Irvin): 6/5/25, 5:45pm

[Geographyhater8888]

9 hours ago, squally1313 said:

the dumbest game 

Cubs got one back from Cincy on Saturday may 24th where our XBA Was 150 points higher or something like that in a 6-4 loss.

Edited June 6, 2025 by Geographyhater8888

[Rcal10]

8 hours ago, BKHoo said:

We have the best road record in baseball. 

Yep, that is why I think 4-5 is very possible. That is why I am not afraid of those teams. But Yankees are 20-10 at home, Tigers are 21-8 and Phillies are 19-12. Sure, Cubs can play them well and maybe even beat them. It is very possible. But those are 3 very good teams all on the road. I wouldn’t be shocked if the Cubs did better, I am just saying they need to tread water in those 3 series. 4-5 against 3 trams with a composite home record of 60-30 isn’t bad. 

[Geographyhater8888]

52 minutes ago, Rcal10 said:

Yep, that is why I think 4-5 is very possible. That is why I am not afraid of those teams. But Yankees are 20-10 at home, Tigers are 21-8 and Phillies are 19-12. Sure, Cubs can play them well and maybe even beat them. It is very possible. But those are 3 very good teams all on the road. I wouldn’t be shocked if the Cubs did better, I am just saying they need to tread water in those 3 series. 4-5 against 3 trams with a composite home record of 60-30 isn’t bad. 

4-5 is acceptable. I’d love 5-4 to make a statement since losing 6/9 to the giants Phillies and Mets left me with a sour taste. 

[NorthsideAvenger]

9 hours ago, Rcal10 said:

Those are all on the road. Sure, Cubs can beat them, but there is a good chance they are under .500 in those 9 games. I would take 4-5. 

Same here. That is why I am not stressing. 

[Bull]

28 minutes ago, NorthsideAvenger said:

Same here. That is why I am not stressing. 

5 game division lead in June will do that for you.

[squally1313]

(Three road series against the top three records in baseball, a combined 45 games above .500)

Well, I guess I would take 4-5

[Rcal10]

25 minutes ago, squally1313 said:

(Three road series against the top three records in baseball, a combined 45 games above .500)

 

Well, I guess I would take 4-5

Yep, and as for the other teams over .500 in the next 35 games, none are better than the Cubs. Cubs can go something like 19-16 in the stretch before the all star break and be fine. As long as they don’t give up games to Milw and St.l they are fine. Even 7-6 series wins against each of those teams is ok. I do expect better, but it is alright.  Right now, if the Cubs played .500 ball the rest of the season (and I believe they will do better than that) they win 89 games. That is a playoff team. I am expecting more than that. Maybe another 55-57 wins and end with 94-96 wins. I think that is a realistic expectation. 

[gflore34]

33 minutes ago, squally1313 said:

(Three road series against the top three records in baseball, a combined 45 games above .500)

Well, I guess I would take 4-5

Ya, think?  4-5 would pretty damn impressive, even more so when you consider they'll be facing - Wheeler, Luzardo, Skubal, Rodon and Fried - have not looked at opponents rotations.  However, when have the Cubs missed the opponents top starters?  Seems like never, I know it's happened but, horsefeathers, if the Cubs don't, for example, face Skenes every horsefeathers time they play the Pirates.

[squally1313]

2 hours ago, Rcal10 said:

Yep, and as for the other teams over .500 in the next 35 games, none are better than the Cubs. Cubs can go something like 19-16 in the stretch before the all star break and be fine. As long as they don’t give up games to Milw and St.l they are fine. Even 7-6 series wins against each of those teams is ok. I do expect better, but it is alright.  Right now, if the Cubs played .500 ball the rest of the season (and I believe they will do better than that) they win 89 games. That is a playoff team. I am expecting more than that. Maybe another 55-57 wins and end with 94-96 wins. I think that is a realistic expectation. 

I think that if your expectations for three road series against the three best records in baseball are 4-5, if you were to add up all your 'expectations' based on the talent level of the opponent based off the expectaion of these series you'd end up with like 105 wins. 

[Rcal10]

21 minutes ago, squally1313 said:

I think that if your expectations for three road series against the three best records in baseball are 4-5, if you were to add up all your 'expectations' based on the talent level of the opponent based off the expectaion of these series you'd end up with like 105 wins. 

I didn’t say my expectations were 4-5. I said I would be happy with that. I was also answering a person who suggested the Cubs were the best road team in baseball so why couldn’t they win those series.
I believe I also said in those 35 games they could go 19-16 and that would be acceptable. That would put them at 58-39 with 65 games to go. How does that make you suggest I expect 105 wins? To get to 105 from there they would have to go 47-18. Show me where I said anything that would suggest that. 
As I said, I can see 55-57 wins in the last 100 games. Nowhere did I ever say 66-34. 
This is baseball. They can go 4-5 against those top teams and then go 4-6 on the homestand they should win at least 6 games. I have followed the sport long enough to know they will lose games they shouldn’t and win games they shouldn’t. But over 162 it should level out. Going in I thought this was a 90 win team. Nothing much has changed my opinion to lower that expectation. So 55-57 wins from here on out is basically an 89-92 win pace. 
i have watched baseball a long time and followed the Cubs for that entire time. I know not to pencil in wins based on competition. They will lose a series against a team well under .500. It happens. But they will also win some on the road against great teams. In the end it should level out.