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Posted
What the eff does that have to do with anything?

Just because a dumb and non optimal decision has worked out doesn’t make the decision any less dumb and non-optimal

Posted
What the eff does that have to do with anything?

Just because a dumb and non optimal decision has worked out doesn’t make the decision any less dumb and non-optimal

 

Sure, but also just because the decision has been suboptimal over 462 PA's doesn't mean it will forever be going forward. We aren't talking about a 10 year career's worth of splits here

Old-Timey Member
Posted

You know when I play blackjack and double down and win I just keep doubling down every hand after until I bust

 

Oooh, false equivalencies. I like those!

 

You flip a coin 30 times, and it comes up heads 20 times and tails 10 times. For the next flip, someone offers you -150 for heads. Do you take it?

 

Again, false equivalency. Coins and cards are not people with variable emotions and the like, especially on a day to day and week to week basis. If you're talking about a full season of blindly putting the guy in the leadoff spot, sure, I'll concede that point.

Posted
I'd rather have a guy like Zobrist at the top, but I can see the logic for Almora. Certainly helps with his comfort/confidence, and Mahle is a RHP that Almora is particularly well suited for, with his super heavy fastball reliance and lack of groundballs.
Posted
Mahle is a RHP that Almora is particularly well suited for, with his super heavy fastball reliance and lack of groundballs.

 

To underscore this, Almora this year against qualified RHP who throw 65+% fastballs (Mahle is at 68%, 4th among qualified RHP): 7 for 20 with a HR, .350/.350/.500, 0 K

Posted
It all comes down to his routes/recognition vs his very real lack of speed. His arm is fine, nothing special. He makes a lot of catches that show up on the highlight reel, but it's very possible that someone like Heyward (or even Happ) makes those catches look a little bit easier.

one more minor point: Almora has slightly better sprint speed than Happ

Does he?

Posted

 

Oooh, false equivalencies. I like those!

 

You flip a coin 30 times, and it comes up heads 20 times and tails 10 times. For the next flip, someone offers you -150 for heads. Do you take it?

 

Again, false equivalency. Coins and cards are not people with variable emotions and the like, especially on a day to day and week to week basis. If you're talking about a full season of blindly putting the guy in the leadoff spot, sure, I'll concede that point.

 

Maybe I’m way too Baseball Managering this, but I’d much rather have Maddon (and Theo) looking at these decisions in a weighted coin flip type of way than ‘emotion and the like’. We have probably five better hitters against righties than him in the lineup today, and they’re all going to get less at bats than he is.

Old-Timey Member
Posted

 

You flip a coin 30 times, and it comes up heads 20 times and tails 10 times. For the next flip, someone offers you -150 for heads. Do you take it?

 

Again, false equivalency. Coins and cards are not people with variable emotions and the like, especially on a day to day and week to week basis. If you're talking about a full season of blindly putting the guy in the leadoff spot, sure, I'll concede that point.

 

Maybe I’m way too Baseball Managering this, but I’d much rather have Maddon (and Theo) looking at these decisions in a weighted coin flip type of way than ‘emotion and the like’. We have probably five better hitters against righties than him in the lineup today, and they’re all going to get less at bats than he is.

 

The whole thing that makes Theo Theo is that for inconsequential decisions like this he looks at the human element. If the projections say we'll score like .09 fewer runs with Almora leading off but they know that he's jazzed to do it and they think it's helping his development they're gonna let him do it.

Posted

 

Again, false equivalency. Coins and cards are not people with variable emotions and the like, especially on a day to day and week to week basis. If you're talking about a full season of blindly putting the guy in the leadoff spot, sure, I'll concede that point.

 

Maybe I’m way too Baseball Managering this, but I’d much rather have Maddon (and Theo) looking at these decisions in a weighted coin flip type of way than ‘emotion and the like’. We have probably five better hitters against righties than him in the lineup today, and they’re all going to get less at bats than he is.

 

The whole thing that makes Theo Theo is that for inconsequential decisions like this he looks at the human element. If the projections say we'll score like .09 fewer runs with Almora leading off but they know that he's jazzed to do it and they think it's helping his development they're gonna let him do it.

 

I would bet pitchers tend to throw fastballs more to the first batter, which would benefit Almora too.

Posted
Look, the other team has to inevitably score first before the Cubs can remember they're the CLUBES, so might as well get to it already.

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