Jump to content
North Side Baseball
Guest
Guests
Posted
The use of defensive metrics to calculate WAR is irresponsible. The metrics are so unreliable they have almost no value at all. I can't really imagine how to differentiate the defensive performance of first basemen using those tools. Besides that, 1st is the easiest position to play so the median guy isn't that much worse than the best guy.

 

I love how passionate you are about this topic. I'm not as hardline about it but in general agree with the sentiment behind it.

I'm really surprised there isn't a better defensive metric out there yet or a better more consistent way to calculate defensive WAR.

Too many variables to account for and the positional requirements outside of perhaps LF and RF are so dissimilar it makes it hard to get an absolute value.

  • Replies 1.2k
  • Created
  • Last Reply

Top Posters In This Topic

Top Posters In This Topic

  • 2 weeks later...
Old-Timey Member
Posted

If he maintains his current rates, Rizzo would end the season with about 22 HR, 46 doubles, and 76 BB.

Those aren't eye popping numbers, but I think they're acceptable for a 23 YO playing his first full season in MLB.

Old-Timey Member
Posted
If he maintains his current rates, Rizzo would end the season with about 22 HR, 46 doubles, and 76 BB.

Those aren't eye popping numbers, but I think they're acceptable for a 23 YO playing his first full season in MLB.

 

Man, he's seemingly been around for so long (in my brain with the whole attachment to the FO) that it seems like he should be at least 25 or so. The fact that he's still only 23 definitely gives me some hope that he'll evolve into the .300/.400/.500 guy we all want him to be.

Guest
Guests
Posted
If he maintains his current rates, Rizzo would end the season with about 22 HR, 46 doubles, and 76 BB.

Those aren't eye popping numbers, but I think they're acceptable for a 23 YO playing his first full season in MLB.

 

Man, he's seemingly been around for so long (in my brain with the whole attachment to the FO) that it seems like he should be at least 25 or so. The fact that he's still only 23 definitely gives me some hope that he'll evolve into the .300/.400/.500 guy we all want him to be.

 

more like .280/.360/.540

Guest
Guests
Posted
If you guys think Rizzo's ever going to consistently hit .280 or above, you're gonna have a bad time.

 

why? it's not like he strikes out a ton

Posted
If you guys think Rizzo's ever going to consistently hit .280 or above, you're gonna have a bad time.

 

He just did last year, and had all of one season in the minors where he hit below 280

Posted

His average in the minors was inflated by the PCL. MLB teams getting the book on him and teams bringing lefties out of the bullpen to face him every team late in games doesn't help either.

 

But it doesn't matter anyway. .260/.350/.500 is fine with me.

Guest
Guests
Posted
His average in the minors was inflated by the PCL. MLB teams getting the book on him and teams bringing lefties out of the bullpen to face him every team late in games doesn't help either.

 

But it doesn't matter anyway. .260/.350/.500 is fine with me.

 

 

Hitting .336 in 700 AAA PA at ages 21 and 22 are a lot more indicative than the rest of his minor league career, especially when he was sidetracked with the whole having cancer thing.

Guest
Guests
Posted
I'd say Rizzo's defense narrowly beats out the uncertainty over who will be a better hitter long-term.
Posted
Who will have the better career?

 

Anthony Rizzo vs. Freddie Freeman

 

(show your notes)

 

I think that they will have similar net production (Freeman might hit for better average, Rizzo may take more walks), with comparable power numbers for both.

Posted
Who will have the better career?

 

Anthony Rizzo vs. Freddie Freeman

 

(show your notes)

 

I would have said Rizzo last year, but FF has really surprised me this year.

Posted
Who will have the better career?

 

Anthony Rizzo vs. Freddie Freeman

 

(show your notes)

 

I would have said Rizzo last year, but FF has really surprised me this year.

 

This year Freeman has been the beneficiary of a high babip, has walked less than Rizzo, and struck out more. Meanwhile Rizzo has been relatively unlucky. Even so, Freeman has only been about half a win better.

Posted
Rizzo is 16th in the league in BB, 1 ahead of Cano and 1 behind Mauer. Color me surprised.

 

6th in the league.

 

16th in MLB

 

I'm guessing he ment MLB since cano and mauer are in the AL

Posted

I think you should probably look at freeman stats before you decide.

I have not watched much so I don't know anything about his defense, I know Rizzo's is top notch.

Freeman is what we need Rizzo to be offensively

his line .311 .388 .478 .865 13 hr 44 bb

Rizzo .240 .334 .447 .781 17hr 54 bb in roughly 40 more at bats, so the difference in walks is about 6 in 110 games and rizoo has struck out 3 more times than freeman 89-86.

 

I don't know that I'd trade but it's hard to argue that offensively Freeman isn't better. Freeman is on his 3rd full season up, so we can hope that Rizzo makes the same step next year but it's hard to argue that what Rizzo might do in the future is as good as what Freeman is doing currently.

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
The North Side Baseball Caretaker Fund
The North Side Baseball Caretaker Fund

You all care about this site. The next step is caring for it. We’re asking you to caretake this site so it can remain the premier Cubs community on the internet. Included with caretaking is ad-free browsing of North Side Baseball.

×
×
  • Create New...