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Posted
would have been 2 awesome matchups if the chargers and kaeding didn't norv it up today

 

based on today's game, the Colts would have won by 3 touchdowns

Posted
Jets .v. Colts?

 

I wonder where Joe Namath is? And will he be making any predictions?

 

I predict Joe Namath is hammered right now and thinking about jerking it to Suzy Kolber.

Posted
way to go espn prognosticators

 

for the record, if you'd just picked based on the vegas odds, or picked the home team every game, you'd be 5-3. meaning that every espn "expert" is doing worse than you could do while knowing nothing about any of the teams participating.

 

I can't get on anyone for picking individual professional sport games wrong. It's like getting on someone for calling coin flip wrong really.

Posted
way to go espn prognosticators

 

for the record, if you'd just picked based on the vegas odds, or picked the home team every game, you'd be 5-3. meaning that every espn "expert" is doing worse than you could do while knowing nothing about any of the teams participating.

 

I can't get on anyone for picking individual professional sport games wrong. It's like getting on someone for calling coin flip wrong really.

Posted
way to go espn prognosticators

 

for the record, if you'd just picked based on the vegas odds, or picked the home team every game, you'd be 5-3. meaning that every espn "expert" is doing worse than you could do while knowing nothing about any of the teams participating.

 

Yeah, it's kinda funny that there is so much demand for predictions in the media when their predictions aren't any more or sometimes less accurate than any joe blow predicting. The media in general pick horribly. They only seem to care about what happened the last 3-4 weeks and base their predictions on that. Here are some examples:

 

-The Saints dominated all year, scoring the 9th most points in NFL history, having a very opportunistic defense, and a legit home field advantage. Unfortunately they couldn't go undefeated, losing at home to Dallas, and with nothing to play for anymore lost their last 2 games. This caused everyone to jump ship and choose a team that gave up 45 points last weekend over the Saints at home after a bye week. Simply idiotic.

 

-The Cowboys are teetering on the edge of disaster in early December before winning a big game in New Orleans. Then they shut out a horrible Redskins team and destroyed an Eagles team twice that they clearly match up well against. I'm not saying the Cowboys are bad, but you can't ignore their flaws and give them the NFC title before they earn it like some in the media did. The Vikings, while I've knocked them at times, are a really good team and oftentimes absolutely dominated opponents in the dome this year. They were 8-0 at home this year, they have playmakers all over the field, and people predicted that the Cowboys were going to win easy. It's like the media completely forgets the dominating play that got teams where they are and only focus on the last 3-4 games when in a lot of cases teams ease up, intensity is down slightly, teams are worn down tired and battling nagging injuries. For a team like the Vikings the bye week is the best thing that could happen to them.

 

Picking the Cowboys isn't a stupid thing (I did it), but when only 2 out of 8 ESPN experts pick the Vikings at home after a bye week, something is wrong.

Posted

That said, I'm 2-6 predicting games this playoffs (so you should all listen to my rants about expert predictions). Without further ado, here are my (wrong) predictions.

 

Saints 27

Vikings 17

 

Colts 20

Jets 13

 

So congrats Jets and Vikings on your trip to the Super Bowl. I can't wait to hear nonstop talk about Favres last 2 teams.

Posted
way to go espn prognosticators

 

for the record, if you'd just picked based on the vegas odds, or picked the home team every game, you'd be 5-3. meaning that every espn "expert" is doing worse than you could do while knowing nothing about any of the teams participating.

 

Yeah, it's kinda funny that there is so much demand for predictions in the media when their predictions aren't any more or sometimes less accurate than any joe blow predicting. The media in general pick horribly. They only seem to care about what happened the last 3-4 weeks and base their predictions on that. Here are some examples:

 

-The Saints dominated all year, scoring the 9th most points in NFL history, having a very opportunistic defense, and a legit home field advantage. Unfortunately they couldn't go undefeated, losing at home to Dallas, and with nothing to play for anymore lost their last 2 games. This caused everyone to jump ship and choose a team that gave up 45 points last weekend over the Saints at home after a bye week. Simply idiotic.

 

-

 

A nitpick although I mostly agree with your overall point, but the Saints still had something to play for in their second to last game. They were playing for homefield advantage when they got beat by Tampa Bay. They then had to wait for the Monday night game when the Bears beat the Vikings in order to clinch. So they had a 2 game losing streak entering their playoffs with their last game not counting since they didn't even play Brees.

Posted
That said, I'm 2-6 predicting games this playoffs (so you should all listen to my rants about expert predictions). Without further ado, here are my (wrong) predictions.

 

Saints 27

Vikings 17

 

Colts 20

Jets 13

 

So congrats Jets and Vikings on your trip to the Super Bowl. I can't wait to hear nonstop talk about Favres last 2 teams.

 

I think I'm 2-6 too, but I like your picks and I also like your score predictions.

Posted

This should finally be the game that the Vikings can run the ball. The Saints were 29th in rush defense DVOA. Adrian should be able to get to the second level more often and break a couple of big runs.

 

Sharper will be a key. He's not good in run support and the Vikings more than anyone will have a good idea of how to exploit him and some of his free-lance tendencies. At the same time he's obviously familiar with Favre and our offense and is capable of making some big plays.

 

The Saints o-line is better than the Cowboys and Brees can get the ball out quicker than Romo. Pressure won't be as much of an issue but they can't start blitzing too much because it's rarely successful.

 

Favre had 11 games out of 17 this year where he threw 0 interceptions. In those 11 games he threw for 31 TD's. That's 65% of the games with a 31/0 TD/INT ratio while completing 70% of his passes.

Posted

Go Colts.

 

As for the NFC...I have no idea who I want to win. That game should be epic. I really hope it's not a letdown.

Posted
The Saints were 29th in rush defense DVOA. Adrian should be able to get to the second level more often and break a couple of big runs.

 

Their run defense is definitely the weakest part of the their defense, but that 29th in the league stat is probably a bit misleading if you are looking at how they are right now. Health was a major concern with their run D this year. Sedrick Ellis and Fujita are both massively important at stopping the run for the Saints and they both missed about six games each in the middle of the season (which was when the Saints D started to go down).

 

Another part of some of their defensive woes throughout the Season were because of the injuries to both Tracy Porter and Jabari Greer, our starting corners. Both of those guys were out for about a five game stretch together and Porter missed a few more games after that. When they were on the field together, offenses averaged 219 passing yards, and when they weren't healthy they averaged 303 yards against the Saints. Also, in the 9 games that they played together the Saints D only gave up 7 passing TD's and had 16 INT's. They are a force when they are both healthy.

 

Favre had 11 games out of 17 this year where he threw 0 interceptions. In those 11 games he threw for 31 TD's. That's 65% of the games with a 31/0 TD/INT ratio while completing 70% of his passes.

 

So you are saying he is due to choke...I like it.

Posted

 

Favre had 11 games out of 17 this year where he threw 0 interceptions. In those 11 games he threw for 31 TD's. That's 65% of the games with a 31/0 TD/INT ratio while completing 70% of his passes.

 

So you are saying he is due to choke...I like it.

 

Well Favre has been really good so I guess it's possible that he's due to choke. Kind of like how Reggie Bush has been a non-factor so he was due to finally have a decent all-around game once in his career.

Posted

 

Favre had 11 games out of 17 this year where he threw 0 interceptions. In those 11 games he threw for 31 TD's. That's 65% of the games with a 31/0 TD/INT ratio while completing 70% of his passes.

 

So you are saying he is due to choke...I like it.

 

Well Favre has been really good so I guess it's possible that he's due to choke. Kind of like how Reggie Bush has been a non-factor so he was due to finally have a decent all-around game once in his career.

 

He's had good games before. He had a 4 TD game a while back against the Niners and returned 2 punts for TD's in a game against the Vikings last year. But this was definitely unexpected.

Posted
Bush scored 8 TDs, caught 47 balls, and averaged 5.6 yards a carry this year. It's not like he came out of nowhere. Of course, they never gave him more than a handful of carries a game.

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