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Posted (edited)
Holy crap, I just looked at the radar, there is no way in hell this game gets in. The tailend of this storm is all the way in Central Louisiana right now Edited by UMFan83
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Posted
don't start harden if it's gonna rain.

 

Definitely agree.

Posted
ugh, I just cancelled my 1.50 bet on this game over on centsports. Even if the game does get played out, the pitching advantage will be messed with because of rain delays. Go Rays! (and their offense)
Posted
I though Turner Field was notorious for not having rain outs for some reason.

 

Unfortunately, it JUST started raining in Atlanta, and is not likely to stop anytime soon. I'm thinking we're playing 2 tomorrow.

Posted
Holy crap, I just looked at the radar, there is no way in hell this game gets in. The tailend of this storm is all the way in Central Louisiana right now

 

Th earliest the sun will come out in Atlanta---according to weather.com----is 3pm tomorrow.

 

So my guess is....tonight's game will be called. Tomorrow's game will be played between the 3pm-6pm opening tomorrow, and a good ole-fashion double header will be played on Thursday.

Posted
Holy crap, I just looked at the radar, there is no way in hell this game gets in. The tailend of this storm is all the way in Central Louisiana right now

 

Th earliest the sun will come out in Atlanta---according to weather.com----is 3pm tomorrow.

 

So my guess is....tonight's game will be called. Tomorrow's game will be played between the 3pm-6pm opening tomorrow, and a good ole-fashion double header will be played on Thursday.

 

They don't need the sun out. They just need the rain to stop. The field will drain once the rain is done. They can play at noon or 1 tomorrow, night game tomorrow night, and then just one game Thursday.

Posted
I'm trying to decide if a DH is better for the Cubs. On one hand, the Cubs can match up Marquis vs. Morton and Harden and Campillo. On the other hand, its tough to sweep a doubleheader. Then again, the Cubs have a pretty deep bench that can handle a DH
Posted
Is it really harder to sweep a double header than two win two in a row in general, or is that just another baseball myth?
Posted

In any two given games, there's about a 25% chance (a little higher for the "better" team, a little lower for the "worse" team) that one team will sweep both, right?

 

Nothing wrong with opening a whole separate can of worms in a rainout thread.

Posted
The percentages probably change slightly for doubleheaders due to bullpen usage. The winning team of game 1 is more likely to use their good bullpen arms while the losing team would be using lesser arms. That leaves the winning teams arms either tired or unavailable.
Posted
The percentages probably change slightly for doubleheaders due to bullpen usage. The winning team of game 1 is more likely to use their good bullpen arms while the losing team would be using lesser arms. That leaves the winning teams arms either tired or unavailable.

 

Plus the lineups are rarely the same in a DH. The catcher usually switches, as well as several position players meaning that a team is weakened either one or both games. Fortunately, the Cubs are deep so it wouldn't hurt them as much. Elias Sports Bureau says DHs are swept 48.9% of the time.

Posted

FWIW, lineups are out

 

A. Soriano lf 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .299

K. Fukudome rf 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .269

D. Lee 1b 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .291

A. Ramirez 3b 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .278

J. Edmonds cf 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .241

M. DeRosa 2b 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .276

G. Soto c 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .281

R. Theriot ss 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .314

R. Harden p 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .091

 

Atlanta

AB R H RBI BB K LOB Season Avg

G. Blanco rf 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .262

Y. Escobar ss 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .279

C. Jones 3b 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .370

B. McCann c 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .305

C. Kotchman 1b 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .205

O. Infante lf 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .304

M. Kotsay cf 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .289

K. Johnson 2b 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .271

C. Morton p 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .100

 

I understand the need to try and get Fukudome going, but not at the expense of the team. Theriot should be at the top of the order.

Posted
The percentages probably change slightly for doubleheaders due to bullpen usage. The winning team of game 1 is more likely to use their good bullpen arms while the losing team would be using lesser arms. That leaves the winning teams arms either tired or unavailable.

 

Plus the lineups are rarely the same in a DH. The catcher usually switches, as well as several position players meaning that a team is weakened either one or both games. Fortunately, the Cubs are deep so it wouldn't hurt them as much. Elias Sports Bureau says DHs are swept 48.9% of the time.

 

Which is pretty much what you expect if both teams have a 50/50 shot at winning.

Posted
The percentages probably change slightly for doubleheaders due to bullpen usage. The winning team of game 1 is more likely to use their good bullpen arms while the losing team would be using lesser arms. That leaves the winning teams arms either tired or unavailable.

 

Plus the lineups are rarely the same in a DH. The catcher usually switches, as well as several position players meaning that a team is weakened either one or both games. Fortunately, the Cubs are deep so it wouldn't hurt them as much. Elias Sports Bureau says DHs are swept 48.9% of the time.

 

Which is pretty much what you expect if both teams have a 50/50 shot at winning.

 

Well I don't have the data sample they used, but I'd assume its a large enough sample to conclude that the % should be within 0.30% of 50%. 48.9 seems like a big deviation, suggesting that it is harder to sweep a DH than just win 2 games in a row on consecutive days.

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