Marlins (Weathers) vs Cubs (Taillon): 5/14/25, 6:40pm

[squally1313]

15 minutes ago, We Got The Whole 9 said:

That is a huge fall from April. Are you trying to argue its not? The lineup is too good to be collectively slumping like this.

The Cubs offense is not as good as it was in April. It’s better than it has been in May. These things happen. 

[Hot Sauce]

32 minutes ago, Jason Ross said:

I swear I'll make every kid have a lunch detention until I'm having a good day. Just for you.

Suddenly I'm curious how many of my detentions were the result of my teacher making an arbitrary promise to someone on an online forum. 

[Bertz]

39 minutes ago, We Got The Whole 9 said:

Ok Article Writers,

 

Tell us what's going on. Dramatic decrease in fastballs? Increase in change ups? What the heck is going on with the offense?

March/April BABIP - .303

May BABIP (coming into today)- .234

[profisme]

8 minutes ago, Bertz said:

March/April BABIP - .303

May BABIP (coming into today)- .234

Quality of contact seemingly has been worse. Tucker is trying to pull everything. He could easily hit 40 homers this year using LCF to RCF power alleys. 

[Bertz]

4 minutes ago, profisme said:

Quality of contact seemingly has been worse. Tucker is trying to pull everything. He could easily hit 40 homers this year using LCF to RCF power alleys. 

A bit, but nothing substantial

Hard Hit Rate:

40.9% in April, 40.6% in May

Barrel Rate:

9.6% in April, 10.3% in May

GB Rate:

37.8% in April, 42.3% in May

K's and BB's both went the wrong way as well, but less than a percentage point for each.  

Add it all up and the team's xwOBA has dropped a bit, from .350 in April (4th in MLB) to .341 (9th) in May.  

Their actual wOBA on the other hand has dropped from .348 (3rd) to .311 (16th).

It's luck, these things ebb and flow.  Everyone wants to make it some big failing but it's just something that happens.

[profisme]

25 minutes ago, Bertz said:

A bit, but nothing substantial

Hard Hit Rate:

40.9% in April, 40.6% in May

Barrel Rate:

9.6% in April, 10.3% in May

GB Rate:

37.8% in April, 42.3% in May

K's and BB's both went the wrong way as well, but less than a percentage point for each.  

Add it all up and the team's xwOBA has dropped a bit, from .350 in April (4th in MLB) to .341 (9th) in May.  

Their actual wOBA on the other hand has dropped from .348 (3rd) to .311 (16th).

It's luck, these things ebb and flow.  Everyone wants to make it some big failing but it's just something that happens.

I guessed that statistically it would not be incredibly significant, but having watched Kyle bat, he is pulling off of everything. Reminds me of Aramis when he would go into his funks. All it would take would be for him to drive the ball the other way a few times and he would be right as rain. 
 

I understand that hitting MLB pitching is a skill that very few people in the world possess. Just frustrating to watch. 

[Soul]

This Stowers kid is pretty good.  Looks like he's playing on a 1 year deal worth $768,000.  I predict an upcoming feeding frenzy and one team that won't be involved will be the Marlins.

Edited May 15, 2025 by Soul
punctuation fat finger

[Cuzi]

6 minutes ago, Soul said:

This Stowers kid is pretty good.  Looks like he's playing on a 1 year deal worth $768,000.  I predict an upcoming feeding frenzy and one team that won't be involved will be the Marlins.

Considering the Marlins own the rights to his services for another 4+ years, I think the Marlins will very much be involved.

[squally1313]

6 minutes ago, Soul said:

This Stowers kid is pretty good.  Looks like he's playing on a 1 year deal worth $768,000.  I predict an upcoming feeding frenzy and one team that won't be involved will be the Marlins.

He's got a bunch of team control still, doesn't hit free agency until 2030. I joked last night about trading for him in a couple years (in a post Seiya and/or Happ world), but even as unserious as the Marlins are, bailing on a good player with 4 more years after control seems a little beyond the pale. 

[Soul]

Gemini failed to give this additional, rather critical information.  That's what I get for trusting AI.

[CubinNY]

16 minutes ago, Soul said:

Gemini failed to give this additional, rather critical information.  That's what I get for trusting AI.

[BKHoo]

1-6 in ending home games.  
 

White Sox games scare me. The first pitcher we face, Smith, has been dynamite this year so far. 
 

Wow I did not know this but the Cubs are 2-14 when scoring less than four runs.  That is the worst record in baseball except for of course the Rockies. Yikes. 

Edited May 15, 2025 by BKHoo

[Rcal10]

Scare me as well. TBH, I would gladly take 2 of 3. Seems these games always mean more to the Sox than others during the season. And no matter the records, they always play the Cubs tough. On top of that, Fridaynlooks like a wind blowing out day, so no telling how it ends up. Last I looked winds were 15-20mph, out. 

[DrCub]

19 hours ago, Bertz said:

A bit, but nothing substantial

Hard Hit Rate:

40.9% in April, 40.6% in May

Barrel Rate:

9.6% in April, 10.3% in May

GB Rate:

37.8% in April, 42.3% in May

K's and BB's both went the wrong way as well, but less than a percentage point for each.  

Add it all up and the team's xwOBA has dropped a bit, from .350 in April (4th in MLB) to .341 (9th) in May.  

Their actual wOBA on the other hand has dropped from .348 (3rd) to .311 (16th).

It's luck, these things ebb and flow.  Everyone wants to make it some big failing but it's just something that happens.

Seems like it just happens every May. 

[squally1313]

The cubs went 4-0 against the Sox last year, 3-1 the year before. People truly just remember the bad stuff about this team. 

[Rcal10]

32 minutes ago, squally1313 said:

The cubs went 4-0 against the Sox last year, 3-1 the year before. People truly just remember the bad stuff about this team. 

I know what they did against them. But they were tight games. I said the Sox play them tight, and IMO they view these games as their biggest games of the year. Seems they line up the best pitching they can against them and if I remember correctly, Robert came back from an injury right before the Cubs  series. He sat versus Milwaukee . Didn’t Morel hit a game winning walk off against them to save them from losing to the Sox? Weren’t the other games at close? I think they won 3 games by one run and another by 2. My only statement was I do worry about the games against the Sox, especially with the Cubs treading water right now. 

Edited May 16, 2025 by Rcal10

[squally1313]

1 hour ago, Rcal10 said:

I know what they did against them. But they were tight games. I said the Sox play them tight, and IMO they view these games as their biggest games of the year. Seems they line up the best pitching they can against them and if I remember correctly, Robert came back from an injury right before the Cubs  series. He sat versus Milwaukee . Didn’t Morel hit a game winning walk off against them to save them from losing to the Sox? Weren’t the other games at close? I think they won 3 games by one run and another by 2. My only statement was I do worry about the games against the Sox, especially with the Cubs treading water right now. 

I mean, if you’re worried about playing a terrible team that we’ve beaten 7 out of the last 8 times, more power to you, but that also generally means you worry about every game.