2020 Playoff Race

[UMFan83]

Still can’t believe we managed to get 4 of the 5 NL Central teams in the playoffs. Sorry Pirates

[Cubswin11]

[bukie]

Still can’t believe we managed to get 4 of the 5 NL Central teams in the playoffs. Sorry Pirates

And 3 of 5 AL central teams. And none are playing each other in round 1, leaving open the possibility of 7 central teams in the division series. Or none.

[Brian707]

All the better seeds in the NL advance except the Braves. Setting up a Cubs-Reds NLDS

[Cubswin11]

Seeing on twitter, don’t know if it’s true or guesses. But marlins rotation is going to be Alcantara-Lopez-Sanchez.

[Cubswin11]

[soccer10k]

NL playoffs set:

1. Dodgers vs 8. Brewers

2. Braves vs 7. Reds

3. Cubs vs 6. Marlins

4. Padres vs 5. Cardinals

 

about as well as it could have set up

 

it's crazy that none of nym/was/phi could get in with the expanded postseason

 

I think I’d prefer swapping the Brewers and Reds.

[Bertz]

 

Sounds like Yankees are 7 PM both Tuesday and Wednesday

 

Edit:. And here's the whole thing

 

[Irrelevant Dude]

1pm start Wednesday is certainly not ideal. Looks like I'll be trying to reschedule some work meetings.

 

Sent from my Pixel 3 using Tapatalk

[UMFan83]

I also read that Game 2 is a 1pm start too. horsefeathers, I have a super busy week at work, looks like I won’t be seeing much

 

Edit: actually that was an unverified twitter account. Can’t find anything else that says it.

[Cubswin11]

I also read that Game 2 is a 1pm start too. horsefeathers, I have a super busy week at work, looks like I won’t be seeing much

 

Edit: actually that was an unverified twitter account. Can’t find anything else that says it.

I’d assume all NL Game 2 start times are TBD until they know how many AL games are going on Thursday.

[bukie]

Over/under on the first Bartman reference on Wednesday? I'm going to guess 2 hours before the game starts, during the day's pregame.

[UMFan83]

Over/under on the first Bartman reference on Wednesday? I'm going to guess 2 hours before the game starts, during the day's pregame.

 

 

Yeah poor guy. He’s gotta be so annoyed at this matchup

[minnesotacubsfan]

Twins don't play the Yanks first rd!

 

Also, the Reds are probably the sneakiest team in the NL, they've def played themselves back into contention

[wvcbxl]

1pm start Wednesday is certainly not ideal.

 

It is for me, as that will be 8pm CET \:D/

[JudasIscariotTheBird]

So I browsed through this pretty fluffy preview of the playoffs that ESPN had:

 

https://www.espn.com/mlb/story/_/id/29957774/mlb-playoffs-preview-everything-need-know-16-team-postseason

 

But what really surprised me was the odds they offered up on particular match ups.

63.9% likely to beat the Marlins seems kinda high. Its a 3 game series, ffs.

 

But only 33.9% to beat the Padres and 22.2% likely to beat the Dodgers seems absolutely bonkers. I also don't know why the Cubs would be a 57.7% fav over the Reds, either. Why is ESPN so dumb?

[stitchface]

So I browsed through this pretty fluffy preview of the playoffs that ESPN had:

 

https://www.espn.com/mlb/story/_/id/29957774/mlb-playoffs-preview-everything-need-know-16-team-postseason

 

But what really surprised me was the odds they offered up on particular match ups.

63.9% likely to beat the Marlins seems kinda high. Its a 3 game series, ffs.

 

But only 33.9% to beat the Padres and 22.2% likely to beat the Dodgers seems absolutely bonkers. I also don't know why the Cubs would be a 57.7% fav over the Reds, either. Why is ESPN so dumb?

 

 

First one isn't too bad considering home teams win 55% of the time over the last 145 years. Add that the cubs have a better record (and run differential) and 64% doesn't seem too out there. I suspect they are just going on game by game odds. The randomness of baseball makes those less than certain bets but they don't seem that unreasonable to me. Would you take the Cubs over the Dodgers at 3:1?

[JudasIscariotTheBird]

Would you take the Cubs over the Dodgers at 3:1?

Mind you, 22.2 is closer to 4:1 than 3:1.

 

For context, Fangraphs has the Cubs as 56% likely to beat the Marlins. I know Tom up there said the Marlins are taylor made for the Cubs, but there are some stats that say the exact opposite. The Marlins have one of the worst chase rates in baseball. They will also be facing two starting pitchers that stay within the zone more than any other top-tier starting pitchers in baseball. If I cared about things anymore, I'd ne nervous. 56% seems right to me.