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Posted
I don't really like him as a catcher and our pitching has degraded each year hes been our fulltime catcher.

 

Team ERA- by year:

 

2017: 91 - T-4th in NL

2018: 91 - T-2nd in NL

2019: 93 - 4th in NL

 

KBB (where framing really shows, IMO)

 

2016: 2.91

2017: 2.60

2018: 2.14

2019: 2.53

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Posted
Unless Caratini is on the move or Contreras is primarily going to the OF I just don't get it at all. With as weak as this bench is already they simply can't afford to roster 3 catchers, especially when one is of the no hit variety. There's already enough offensive black holes. Not to mention that it was an overpay, but I don't particularly care about that since Montgomery was barely seeing the mound anyways.
Posted
I don't really like him as a catcher and our pitching has degraded each year hes been our fulltime catcher.

 

Team ERA- by year:

 

2017: 91 - T-4th in NL

2018: 91 - T-2nd in NL

2019: 93 - 4th in NL

 

KBB (where framing really shows, IMO)

 

2016: 2.91

2017: 2.60

2018: 2.14

2019: 2.53

 

1) how is this showing a progressive degradation

2) focusing on raw K/BB as evidence of the progression/regression of a catcher's impact on a pitching staff is profoundly bad logic

Posted
Unless Caratini is on the move or Contreras is primarily going to the OF I just don't get it at all. With as weak as this bench is already they simply can't afford to roster 3 catchers, especially when one is of the no hit variety. There's already enough offensive black holes. Not to mention that it was an overpay, but I don't particularly care about that since Montgomery was barely seeing the mound anyways.

 

every bench player is already effectively a no hit catcher so why not get a real one?

Posted

As far as the trade itself goes, lots of folks have made these thoughts, but in no particular order:

 

- Contreras might be out for an extended period, although early reports are this is unlikely

- Caratini might be on his way out the door in another trade, which would be good business, IMO

- Maldonado is a playoff-oriented addition, he's not going to be much of a pinch hitter but he's able to fill that Ross gap in a way that Caratini can't. Especially on a playoff roster, you can use a defensive catching replacement easier than you can use your 5th best pinch hitter

- Montgomery has fallen out of favor with the team. He's having a bad year, he's not particularly young or far from FA any longer, even at his best he was never murder on LHP which means his primary value is as a swingman, which the team already has Chatwood and Alzolay to help with(plus more help in future seasons from the farm than in the past)

 

I think it's probably a pretty proportional combination of those 4 factors.

Posted
Unless Caratini is on the move or Contreras is primarily going to the OF I just don't get it at all. With as weak as this bench is already they simply can't afford to roster 3 catchers, especially when one is of the no hit variety. There's already enough offensive black holes. Not to mention that it was an overpay, but I don't particularly care about that since Montgomery was barely seeing the mound anyways.

 

every bench player is already effectively a no hit catcher so why not get a real one?

 

Agreed. We're only going to be about a month out from expanded rosters when Contreras comes back (if you're optimistic about his injury, which I'm not). For that month, Caratini becomes your top bat off the bench who you can use freely, instead of worrying about burning your backup catcher. Plus, as has been pointed out, we were one catcher injury away from putting Taylor Davis on a postseason roster (and there are no more August trades). This gives you flexibility on the injury, pinch hitting, trading Caratini, etc.

Community Moderator
Posted
As far as the trade itself goes, lots of folks have made these thoughts, but in no particular order:

 

- Contreras might be out for an extended period, although early reports are this is unlikely

- Caratini might be on his way out the door in another trade, which would be good business, IMO

- Maldonado is a playoff-oriented addition, he's not going to be much of a pinch hitter but he's able to fill that Ross gap in a way that Caratini can't. Especially on a playoff roster, you can use a defensive catching replacement easier than you can use your 5th best pinch hitter

- Montgomery has fallen out of favor with the team. He's having a bad year, he's not particularly young or far from FA any longer, even at his best he was never murder on LHP which means his primary value is as a swingman, which the team already has Chatwood and Alzolay to help with(plus more help in future seasons from the farm than in the past)

 

I think it's probably a pretty proportional combination of those 4 factors.

 

And Monty always wanted to be a starter...could be that the Cubs had made him some promises to try to get him somewhere that he could do that.

Old-Timey Member
Posted
I feel like some people have a weird obsession with balance. Willson's been the 4th best catcher in baseball this year. If he were 9th, but had positive numbers on both offense and defense, he'd get practically no criticism.
Posted

Additionally...Maldonado was always going to get traded to a contender. We got there first, and sorting the catchers on FG by defense, there isn't a whole out there in terms of non-prospects from non-contending teams.

 

Looking at the non-contenders, you have Hedges, Posey, Danny Jansen, Alfaro, Carson Kelly all as prospects. Then you hit Maldanado. Then you get to Barnhart, Wolters, and Maile, who are all hitting as bad, if not worse, than Maldanado (without nearly the track record). Everyone wants the veteran backup catcher...we might have gotten the best one available. Which, I'm aware isn't saying much, but it's something.

Old-Timey Member
Posted

 

Are you talking about Willson Contreras? The converted infielder who has been the primary catcher the past four years? You are disappointed they handed the keys to him, 4 years ago? Four years they've largely spent in 1st place and been among the best teams in baseball. That disappoints you?

 

I don't really like him as a catcher and our pitching has degraded each year hes been our fulltime catcher. So, yes. He's had the keys. But they have an opportunity to hand those keys to a better defender. So I'll rephrase and say that I'll be disappointed if he retains those keys.

by pretty much every account I've ever read, the guy works his ass off to get better and is very open to instruction. I'd be interested in where you are getting your info that he has no "desire" to improve. Or admit that's [expletive] and what you really mean to say is that he simply hasn't gotten better at that aspect of the game.

 

i mean that's not exactly true. i'm a huge fan of willson and don't really care about stuff like this but he flat out admitted he got comfortable last year, blew off his training, and figured he could just show up and play well.

 

like i said, i don't really care about it. he's a human being and human beings do horsefeathers like that. god knows i do. i just felt like that was over the top praise for his prep given what he himself said.

Community Moderator
Posted
As far as the trade itself goes, lots of folks have made these thoughts, but in no particular order:

 

- Contreras might be out for an extended period, although early reports are this is unlikely

- Caratini might be on his way out the door in another trade, which would be good business, IMO

- Maldonado is a playoff-oriented addition, he's not going to be much of a pinch hitter but he's able to fill that Ross gap in a way that Caratini can't. Especially on a playoff roster, you can use a defensive catching replacement easier than you can use your 5th best pinch hitter

- Montgomery has fallen out of favor with the team. He's having a bad year, he's not particularly young or far from FA any longer, even at his best he was never murder on LHP which means his primary value is as a swingman, which the team already has Chatwood and Alzolay to help with(plus more help in future seasons from the farm than in the past)

 

I think it's probably a pretty proportional combination of those 4 factors.

 

And Monty always wanted to be a starter...could be that the Cubs had made him some promises to try to get him somewhere that he could do that.

 

[tweet]

[/tweet]
Posted
As far as the trade itself goes, lots of folks have made these thoughts, but in no particular order:

 

- Contreras might be out for an extended period, although early reports are this is unlikely

- Caratini might be on his way out the door in another trade, which would be good business, IMO

- Maldonado is a playoff-oriented addition, he's not going to be much of a pinch hitter but he's able to fill that Ross gap in a way that Caratini can't. Especially on a playoff roster, you can use a defensive catching replacement easier than you can use your 5th best pinch hitter

- Montgomery has fallen out of favor with the team. He's having a bad year, he's not particularly young or far from FA any longer, even at his best he was never murder on LHP which means his primary value is as a swingman, which the team already has Chatwood and Alzolay to help with(plus more help in future seasons from the farm than in the past)

 

I think it's probably a pretty proportional combination of those 4 factors.

 

And Monty always wanted to be a starter...could be that the Cubs had made him some promises to try to get him somewhere that he could do that.

 

[tweet]

[/tweet]

 

So basically it was a start me or trade me. Doesn't seem like a lot of layers to me.

Posted
Maldonado gets the start tonight

 

I would assume he’s going to start most games until Contreras gets back. It’ll be more interesting what happens when Contreras gets off the IL.

 

As for this trade... I would have wanted something sexier than 60 or 70 games of a defense-first backup catcher for Montgomery. I’m really curious to see how Monty performs when given a consistent starting role.

Posted

I've thought about this trade more......and I'm still annoyed we sold so low on Monty for a backup catcher we could've had for $2 million in the offseason.

 

I'm not questioning that Maldonado fits an important need, and is good to have with Willy on the IL. And I figured we'd be trading Monty anyway. But this feels like a short-sighted overpay.

Posted
Gross.

 

I don't think Greg Gross is playing anymore. Great pinch hitter, though. Hit .322 for the Cubs in '77 with five homers. He only hit two more homers in the other 16 years he played.

Posted
I've thought about this trade more......and I'm still annoyed we sold so low on Monty for a backup catcher we could've had for $2 million in the offseason.

 

I'm not questioning that Maldonado fits an important need, and is good to have with Willy on the IL. And I figured we'd be trading Monty anyway. But this feels like a short-sighted overpay.

 

I justify it by looking at the positive of not letting Maddon continue bringing in Monty with two guys on to face a tough lefty. In the short term, unfortunately, it probably means more Rosario (which, his entire existence continues to baffle me), but if we go into August with him and Ryan as our top lefties (or without letting Kintzler start taking those spots), then I'll just assume Theo has given up on this team.

Old-Timey Member
Posted
I've thought about this trade more......and I'm still annoyed we sold so low on Monty for a backup catcher we could've had for $2 million in the offseason.

 

I'm not questioning that Maldonado fits an important need, and is good to have with Willy on the IL. And I figured we'd be trading Monty anyway. But this feels like a short-sighted overpay.

 

I think Montgomery had more value than this, but not way more. and so ultimately it was about the softer factors:

 

- Having an extra roster opening in the bullpen to use on actual relievers

- Depth in case one of our top 2 guys suffers a more substantial injury

- Any sort of mentorship or whatever Martin can impart on Willson and Vic

- Doing right by Montgomery

 

Ultimately, they must have felt that those were worth the surplus value they just lit on fire. I don't know if they're right, but I'd guess that if they're wrong it's not by a ton.

Old-Timey Member
Posted

 

The starting point for Merrifield would probably be Schwarber and Hoerner, and that wouldn't be enough. That's not happening.

 

Not attacking your point, but it's funny to me how many have written off (or are in the process of writing off) Schwarber, a pedigreed 26 year old with a career .340 wOBA/111 wRC+, and now he's being discussed as not enough to bring back a guy who at 26 hadn't reached the majors and was putting up a .308 wOBA and 81 RC+ in the Texas league.

 

You can say “I reject your reality and substitute my own” all you want, but that’s how things are.

Posted
I've thought about this trade more......and I'm still annoyed we sold so low on Monty for a backup catcher we could've had for $2 million in the offseason.

 

I'm not questioning that Maldonado fits an important need, and is good to have with Willy on the IL. And I figured we'd be trading Monty anyway. But this feels like a short-sighted overpay.

 

If it makes you feel better, they did try to sign him for that contract. But he picked the Royals because he didn't think he'd get to play enough for the Cubs.

Posted

 

The starting point for Merrifield would probably be Schwarber and Hoerner, and that wouldn't be enough. That's not happening.

 

Not attacking your point, but it's funny to me how many have written off (or are in the process of writing off) Schwarber, a pedigreed 26 year old with a career .340 wOBA/111 wRC+, and now he's being discussed as not enough to bring back a guy who at 26 hadn't reached the majors and was putting up a .308 wOBA and 81 RC+ in the Texas league.

 

You can say “I reject your reality and substitute my own” all you want, but that’s how things are.

 

Not rejecting your reality at all. I accept that that may very well be Schwarber's perceived value. I just disagree with that valuation.

Old-Timey Member
Posted

 

Not attacking your point, but it's funny to me how many have written off (or are in the process of writing off) Schwarber, a pedigreed 26 year old with a career .340 wOBA/111 wRC+, and now he's being discussed as not enough to bring back a guy who at 26 hadn't reached the majors and was putting up a .308 wOBA and 81 RC+ in the Texas league.

 

You can say “I reject your reality and substitute my own” all you want, but that’s how things are.

 

Not rejecting your reality at all. I accept that that may very well be Schwarber's perceived value. I just disagree with that valuation.

 

Fair enough.

 

One could counter with the fact that Schwarber has 3 WAR in his career, and Merrifield had 5.5 last season (and 2.6 so far this season).

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