Week 10: Lions at Bears Sunday noon on Fox

[bukie]

what is hyperbole

Wrong show

[minnesotacubsfan]

 

Sucks, I know some people wanted him

 

 

I'm not sure I really wanted him unless he was cheap. He does have some mileage and our DE's are pretty solid as is. If anything, I really want a new kicker.

 

it sucks that he missed that kick in Miami but i don't really see how Parkey has been a big problem

 

he's 13/16... 5/7 from 40-49 and 1/2 from 50+ (28/28 on xp also)

 

I just dont see him as the future. Love to be wrong

[UMFan83]

 

 

I'm not sure I really wanted him unless he was cheap. He does have some mileage and our DE's are pretty solid as is. If anything, I really want a new kicker.

 

it sucks that he missed that kick in Miami but i don't really see how Parkey has been a big problem

 

he's 13/16... 5/7 from 40-49 and 1/2 from 50+ (28/28 on xp also)

 

I just dont see him as the future. Love to be wrong

 

I mean yes you'd like to have a solid stable kicker like we had with Gould for the previous decade but among concerns for the Bears, having a kicker of the future is pretty low.

[David]

 

it sucks that he missed that kick in Miami but i don't really see how Parkey has been a big problem

 

he's 13/16... 5/7 from 40-49 and 1/2 from 50+ (28/28 on xp also)

 

I just dont see him as the future. Love to be wrong

 

I mean yes you'd like to have a solid stable kicker like we had with Gould for the previous decade but among concerns for the Bears, having a kicker of the future is pretty low.

 

plus he's 26...so even if having a kicker of the future were a thing, as long as he stays relatively competent, like he has been, he probably will be here for the foreseeable future.

[minnesotacubsfan]

yea, but, he hasn't been relatively competent which is why he's with his 4th team since 2014

[David]

yea, but, he hasn't been relatively competent which is why he's with his 4th team since 2014

 

he hit 89% of his kicks his first year, 32/36 (made pro-bowl, for whatever that is worth), looks like he got hurt and went on IR in 2015, made 80% in 2016, and 91% in 2017...how's that not relatively competent?

[minnesotacubsfan]

yea, but, he hasn't been relatively competent which is why he's with his 4th team since 2014

 

he hit 89% of his kicks his first year, 32/36 (made pro-bowl, for whatever that is worth), looks like he got hurt and went on IR in 2015, made 80% in 2016, and 91% in 2017...how's that not relatively competent?

 

I'll concede the age argument, being only 26 and having time on his side to improve, but he hasn't had a lot of kicking experience and he's bounced around a good bit. that makes me question his competency a lot despite hitting 89% of 23 fg's or so in the last few years. Thats not a lot of attempts. And, he's struggled over 40 yards a good bit

[David]

yea, but, he hasn't been relatively competent which is why he's with his 4th team since 2014

 

he hit 89% of his kicks his first year, 32/36 (made pro-bowl, for whatever that is worth), looks like he got hurt and went on IR in 2015, made 80% in 2016, and 91% in 2017...how's that not relatively competent?

 

I'll concede the age argument, being only 26 and having time on his side to improve, but he hasn't had a lot of kicking experience and he's bounced around a good bit. that makes me question his competency a lot despite hitting 89% of 23 fg's or so in the last few years. Thats not a lot of attempts. And, he's struggled over 40 yards a good bit

 

he's 70% on 43 attempts over 40 yards for his career...i honestly don't know if that's good or bad...my guess is it's mediocre.

[minnesotacubsfan]

 

he hit 89% of his kicks his first year, 32/36 (made pro-bowl, for whatever that is worth), looks like he got hurt and went on IR in 2015, made 80% in 2016, and 91% in 2017...how's that not relatively competent?

 

I'll concede the age argument, being only 26 and having time on his side to improve, but he hasn't had a lot of kicking experience and he's bounced around a good bit. that makes me question his competency a lot despite hitting 89% of 23 fg's or so in the last few years. Thats not a lot of attempts. And, he's struggled over 40 yards a good bit

 

 

he's 70% on 43 attempts over 40 yards for his career...i honestly don't know if that's good or bad...my guess is it's mediocre.

 

I just looked quickly at other kicker's and were seeing consistent numbers in the upper 80's+, so that was my basis for the statement about 40+.

 

ETA: I looked at Crosby, Hauska and the Pats kicker (similar stadiums/weather). Only Crosby was similar to Parkey and everyone in GB seems to want him out.

[David]

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[David]

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https://theathletic.com/644267/2018/11/09/one-important-statistic-that-shows-why-the-bears-could-win-the-nfc-north-yards-per-point/

 

I'll post a snippet for non-subscribers

 

Pick any year and you’ll find that NFL teams average a point scored about every 15 scrimmage yards. This year, that figure is 15.6. But the Bears this year are beating this average by scoring a point every 12.2 yards. Conversely, Bears opponents have had to gain 16.8 yards to score a point. When you subtract this defensive yards per point from their offensive one, the resulting difference of 4.59 yards is the best mark in the NFC and trails only the Chiefs in all of the NFL.

 

Individually, many things the Bears are good at are viewed as more descriptive of winning than predictive of it, according to Wharton professor Cade Massey of Massey-Peabody (where I’ve contributed). But teams like the Bears that need less yards to score while requiring their opponents to gain more are doing so many little things well that it’s not believed to be happening by mere chance.

 

Dumb luck, for example, cannot explain the Patriots finishing in the top five in the statistic every year since 2010, including their third-place ranking heading into Week 10. And the Chiefs, this year’s leaders, have been top six in the statistic every year since 2013, when Andy Reid became their head coach.

 

Packers 27th, Lions 24th, and Vikings 21st

[WrigleyField 22]

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https://theathletic.com/644267/2018/11/09/one-important-statistic-that-shows-why-the-bears-could-win-the-nfc-north-yards-per-point/

 

I'll post a snippet for non-subscribers

 

Pick any year and you’ll find that NFL teams average a point scored about every 15 scrimmage yards. This year, that figure is 15.6. But the Bears this year are beating this average by scoring a point every 12.2 yards. Conversely, Bears opponents have had to gain 16.8 yards to score a point. When you subtract this defensive yards per point from their offensive one, the resulting difference of 4.59 yards is the best mark in the NFC and trails only the Chiefs in all of the NFL.

 

Individually, many things the Bears are good at are viewed as more descriptive of winning than predictive of it, according to Wharton professor Cade Massey of Massey-Peabody (where I’ve contributed). But teams like the Bears that need less yards to score while requiring their opponents to gain more are doing so many little things well that it’s not believed to be happening by mere chance.

 

Dumb luck, for example, cannot explain the Patriots finishing in the top five in the statistic every year since 2010, including their third-place ranking heading into Week 10. And the Chiefs, this year’s leaders, have been top six in the statistic every year since 2013, when Andy Reid became their head coach.

 

Packers 27th, Lions 24th, and Vikings 21st

I feel that article failed to make the case that this stat is predictive of success.

[Tim]

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https://theathletic.com/644267/2018/11/09/one-important-statistic-that-shows-why-the-bears-could-win-the-nfc-north-yards-per-point/

 

I'll post a snippet for non-subscribers

 

Pick any year and you’ll find that NFL teams average a point scored about every 15 scrimmage yards. This year, that figure is 15.6. But the Bears this year are beating this average by scoring a point every 12.2 yards. Conversely, Bears opponents have had to gain 16.8 yards to score a point. When you subtract this defensive yards per point from their offensive one, the resulting difference of 4.59 yards is the best mark in the NFC and trails only the Chiefs in all of the NFL.

 

Individually, many things the Bears are good at are viewed as more descriptive of winning than predictive of it, according to Wharton professor Cade Massey of Massey-Peabody (where I’ve contributed). But teams like the Bears that need less yards to score while requiring their opponents to gain more are doing so many little things well that it’s not believed to be happening by mere chance.

 

Dumb luck, for example, cannot explain the Patriots finishing in the top five in the statistic every year since 2010, including their third-place ranking heading into Week 10. And the Chiefs, this year’s leaders, have been top six in the statistic every year since 2013, when Andy Reid became their head coach.

 

Packers 27th, Lions 24th, and Vikings 21st

I feel that article failed to make the case that this stat is predictive of success.

I don't see anything in that article to determine whether that stat has a causal, correlated or resultant relationship with wins. My sense is that it's merely correlated due to other root causes influencing both overall success and points per yard.

[David]

i had similar thoughts. i feel inclined to think it's more correlation more than anything. either way, they're in good company, at least. and the teams in the division are behind by a pretty wide margin, so maybe that's something.

[jersey cubs fan]

[UMFan83]

Kicker....

[Hairyducked Idiot]

That extra point is gonna be a big hassle in their attempt to put up 50 today.

[UMFan83]

Bears 2nd and 10 from fringe FG range, why do they call a pick play that involves Cohen catching it 3-4 yards behind the line of scrimmage. I like getting Cohen the ball with a lane to run but that type of play has a higher probability of losing yards in an area you really don’t want to lose any yards.

 

 

Oh and TB Trubisky is back

[minnesotacubsfan]

Mitch.

[Hairyducked Idiot]

Wonder what the Vaunted PFF Grade says about that quarter from Trubisky. 9/10, 139 yards, 1 TD.

[jersey cubs fan]

Mitchell looks decent, imo

[Bertz]

Wonder what the Vaunted PFF Grade says about that quarter from Trubisky. 9/10, 139 yards, 1 TD.

 

A Bortlesian performance if I've ever seen one

[minnesotacubsfan]

Robinson looks like the guy we all wanted. 98 yrs and a TD on 3 catches so far. I'll take that

[SpongeWorthy]

Nagy might be a genius

[David]

We are good.