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Posted
Not predicting this -- and at this moment it's pretty hard to conceive what would have to happen to get there -- but would be mighty, mighty satisfying to watch the Cubs celebrating a fourth straight LCS berth up in Miller Park next Wednesday.

 

These are the days that put the "die" in diehard. Try it again tomorrow and see what happens. Go Cubs!

 

wouldn't that be the "hard"

 

or is that like a joke from movie/tv that i'm derwooding

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Old-Timey Member
Posted
i mean stop acting like the brewers ended 70-0 and yelich hit .874 or something.

 

they played well, the cubs didn't, ergo the brewers caught the cubs. i don't know why it seemingly makes people feel better to say the cubs didn't horsefeathers this up.

 

yelich carried a .500 wOBA for a month

 

and the cubs played well in september. milwaukee went balls out. why is it a bad thing that i'm willing to give more credit to milwaukee than blame to the cubs?

 

Because the Cubs are a bunch of gutless choking dogs and no rational explanation matters.

 

/abuck

 

lol the cubs just got 2-hit by jouhlys chacin on their home field in a clinching game big dog

Posted

im actually not meaning to criticize the cubs because 95 wins is like ... what can you even say? I would have taken that with a healthy team. It's just the constant "well here's the thing, the cubs are good and the brewers are actually bad. ok they're not bad but they aren't good. ok they're good now but they're not real good and we're better. ok actually now we got 2 hit at home and lost the division OK NOW THEY"RE BETTER THAN WE ARE SORRY GUYS" that's obnoxious and wrong.

 

Yeah, that sums up the 2018 regular season perfectly. It was frustrating and mind-boggling and the Brewers played much better than anyone would have thought.

 

i tried to warn you idiots but noooo "lol schoop what is stearns thinking lol the brewers are trash lol look at the run differential"

 

anyway all we have to do is beat colorado* (please be colorado) tomorrow and everything is essentially fine. sucks watching the brewers win on your field in a game you didn't even really need to play but whatever, just win one game and our {entering david mode} win probability for the playoffs or whatever is not meaningfully different than it would have been had we won today. Plus lester is going

You do realize that the Brewers won the division by 1 game and closed the season with 8 in a row, right? You were whining about amazing they were long before they pulled off an extremely improbable end to the season. Kudos to Milwaukee for pulling it off, but the hubris was always based on probability. It sucks for us that this is how the division was lost but your warnings in mid-July were still dumb.

Posted
and maybe, just maybe, it’s not Chili’s fault. maybe some of these guys just aren’t that great?

 

They hit 223 HRs last year and 161 this year with a roster of mostly the same players after hiring a hitting coach that has a philosophy of going the other way and sacrificing power for contact (I could be just making that up or explaining it wrong)

Posted

 

Yeah, that sums up the 2018 regular season perfectly. It was frustrating and mind-boggling and the Brewers played much better than anyone would have thought.

 

i tried to warn you idiots but noooo "lol schoop what is stearns thinking lol the brewers are trash lol look at the run differential"

 

anyway all we have to do is beat colorado* (please be colorado) tomorrow and everything is essentially fine. sucks watching the brewers win on your field in a game you didn't even really need to play but whatever, just win one game and our {entering david mode} win probability for the playoffs or whatever is not meaningfully different than it would have been had we won today. Plus lester is going

You do realize that the Brewers won the division by 1 game and closed the season with 8 in a row, right? You were whining about amazing they were long before they pulled off an extremely improbable end to the season. Kudos to Milwaukee for pulling it off, but the hubris was always based on probability. It sucks for us that this is how the division was lost but your warnings in mid-July were still dumb.

 

God this is the stupidest, most NSBB take and I'm surprised even more people aren't in on it.

Posted

Well guys, on to game 42 in the last 43 days. The reward for winning - an off day!. The reward for losing - a LOT of off days!

 

Crap maybe we don't frame it that way to the players.

Old-Timey Member
Posted

 

Yeah, that sums up the 2018 regular season perfectly. It was frustrating and mind-boggling and the Brewers played much better than anyone would have thought.

 

i tried to warn you idiots but noooo "lol schoop what is stearns thinking lol the brewers are trash lol look at the run differential"

 

anyway all we have to do is beat colorado* (please be colorado) tomorrow and everything is essentially fine. sucks watching the brewers win on your field in a game you didn't even really need to play but whatever, just win one game and our {entering david mode} win probability for the playoffs or whatever is not meaningfully different than it would have been had we won today. Plus lester is going

You do realize that the Brewers won the division by 1 game and closed the season with 8 in a row, right? You were whining about amazing they were long before they pulled off an extremely improbable end to the season. Kudos to Milwaukee for pulling it off, but the hubris was always based on probability. It sucks for us that this is how the division was lost but your warnings in mid-July were still dumb.

 

yeah my warning of "hey guys sometimes teams with worse run differentials win divisions because things like health and performance can change drastically over the course of 162 games rendering early season totals as moot" was totally dumb, while on the other hand extremely smart posts like "yeah our sure our offense has only scored 0 or 1 run in like a quarter of the games this year but we have the best record in the NL so everything is fine" were good

Posted
i mean stop acting like the brewers ended 70-0 and yelich hit .874 or something.

 

they played well, the cubs didn't, ergo the brewers caught the cubs. i don't know why it seemingly makes people feel better to say the cubs didn't horsefeathers this up.

 

yelich carried a .500 wOBA for a month

 

and the cubs played well in september. milwaukee went balls out. why is it a bad thing that i'm willing to give more credit to milwaukee than blame to the cubs?

 

the cubs did not play well to end the season. they went 14-13 beginning with the first brewers series.

Posted
i mean stop acting like the brewers ended 70-0 and yelich hit .874 or something.

 

they played well, the cubs didn't, ergo the brewers caught the cubs. i don't know why it seemingly makes people feel better to say the cubs didn't horsefeathers this up.

 

yelich carried a .500 wOBA for a month

 

and the cubs played well in september. milwaukee went balls out. why is it a bad thing that i'm willing to give more credit to milwaukee than blame to the cubs?

 

the cubs did not play well to end the season. they went 14-13 beginning with the first brewers series.

 

Please hang tight, the arbitrary sample police are on their way.

Posted
and maybe, just maybe, it’s not Chili’s fault. maybe some of these guys just aren’t that great?

 

I think it's both. Chili sucks, but I think a lot of these guys (namely Schwarber, Almora, Happ, Russell) are what they are.

Posted

 

i tried to warn you idiots but noooo "lol schoop what is stearns thinking lol the brewers are trash lol look at the run differential"

 

anyway all we have to do is beat colorado* (please be colorado) tomorrow and everything is essentially fine. sucks watching the brewers win on your field in a game you didn't even really need to play but whatever, just win one game and our {entering david mode} win probability for the playoffs or whatever is not meaningfully different than it would have been had we won today. Plus lester is going

You do realize that the Brewers won the division by 1 game and closed the season with 8 in a row, right? You were whining about amazing they were long before they pulled off an extremely improbable end to the season. Kudos to Milwaukee for pulling it off, but the hubris was always based on probability. It sucks for us that this is how the division was lost but your warnings in mid-July were still dumb.

 

God this is the stupidest, most NSBB take and I'm surprised even more people aren't in on it.

You split 10s, don't you.

Posted
I’m sure this has already been mentioned, but I’d have let Chavez pitch a third inning. He was mowing them down. And I don’t have much faith in TLS starting a two out rally.
Posted

 

im actually not meaning to criticize the cubs because 95 wins is like ... what can you even say? I would have taken that with a healthy team. It's just the constant "well here's the thing, the cubs are good and the brewers are actually bad. ok they're not bad but they aren't good. ok they're good now but they're not real good and we're better. ok actually now we got 2 hit at home and lost the division OK NOW THEY"RE BETTER THAN WE ARE SORRY GUYS" that's obnoxious and wrong.

 

To be fair I kind of get that. As more data was added, we all changed our opinions on the Brewers. Any whining from me on that is because I used Duke and others to calm me down throughout the year and I feel let down even though it completely isnt their fault

 

everyone being like "well look we all had to change our opinion on the brewers when more information came in!" should go back and look at 99 percent of the posts about the brewers on this board from April until like late August.

 

anyway my real point is that it really doesnt matter because this cubs team is the same team tomorrow having lost today as they would have been had they won today. A 95 win team in the playoffs with a couple hot pitchers is as good a threat to win as anyone.

 

No no no.

 

You have to keep with the negativity. It’s the how we flipped the Dodger series around in 2016.

Old-Timey Member
Posted
and maybe, just maybe, it’s not Chili’s fault. maybe some of these guys just aren’t that great?

 

They hit 223 HRs last year and 161 this year with a roster of mostly the same players after hiring a hitting coach that has a philosophy of going the other way and sacrificing power for contact (I could be just making that up or explaining it wrong)

 

im all for firing chili into the sun just because his record isn't that great even pre-cubs and we already had a roster full of guys that played to whatever his imagined strengths were in the first place so he seemed pointless, but it's just as likely the power outage is entirely due to bryant getting beaned in the head/his shoulder injury and whatever happened to willson contreras. everyone else seemed about as predicted?

Posted

You do realize that the Brewers won the division by 1 game and closed the season with 8 in a row, right? You were whining about amazing they were long before they pulled off an extremely improbable end to the season. Kudos to Milwaukee for pulling it off, but the hubris was always based on probability. It sucks for us that this is how the division was lost but your warnings in mid-July were still dumb.

 

God this is the stupidest, most NSBB take and I'm surprised even more people aren't in on it.

You split 10s, don't you.

 

Probability that can be mathematically measured != takes filtered through fan biases

Posted
holy horsefeathers, yelich down the stretch was more insane than i even realized

 

.500 wOBA for the whole second half

 

.528 for sept/oct

 

Yeah, he literally put up Bonds 2001-04 numbers for a month. Slightly lower OBP, slightly higher SLG.

Posted

 

yelich carried a .500 wOBA for a month

 

and the cubs played well in september. milwaukee went balls out. why is it a bad thing that i'm willing to give more credit to milwaukee than blame to the cubs?

 

the cubs did not play well to end the season. they went 14-13 beginning with the first brewers series.

 

Please hang tight, the arbitrary sample police are on their way.

 

eh it was poor wording by me anyway

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